Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrinations Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Our main predictions for 2023 were outlined in a series of posts published in early January called The Year To Take Cover (as below). They have all been quietly building momentum, much like the…

Last Update: Wed, 06/03/2024 - 08:58

Since 27 October when the Houthis started firing missiles and drones at Israel, and ships connected with Israel, we have seen the use of a new type of anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM). A weapons…

Last Update: Mon, 11/03/2024 - 09:20

As memory gradually fades, today we tend to only remember our victories in WW1 and WW2. But we should not forget how those wars started, or how unprepared we were to fight them.

In WW1,…

Last Update: Wed, 27/03/2024 - 07:37

Unlike America and Israel, the European countries have neglected their missile defences since the Cold War – but they have started to take notice since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Germany,…

Last Update: Mon, 04/03/2024 - 18:40

Israel's missile defence has been considered key to the country's survival for decades, living as they do on a speck of land surrounded by enemies. The threat mainly comes from Iran and her…

Last Update: Fri, 05/01/2024 - 22:51

Before the invasion of Ukraine, the neglect of the UK's defences was, as we argued in Now Or Never, both negligent and irresponsible. See also: Sunak 2; Wartime Chancellor Or…

Last Update: Mon, 04/03/2024 - 18:54

1.0 Introduction

History provides us with powerful and useful lessons when it is drawn from the Five Stages of Empire roadmap. In the 1930s, the RAF held…

Last Update: Sun, 14/01/2024 - 09:33

The world we live in is being changed beyond recognition by the increasingly hegemonic challenge of China to Pax America. In this period of great entropic flux, the Chinese have an important…

Last Update: Thu, 21/03/2024 - 07:56

The most dangerous moment for Israel was in the opening moments of the 7 October attack, when its leadership did not know if a multi-front war had opened up to include Hezbollah and Iran in an…