Britain is entering a dangerous political and financial moment in which the bond market may become the decisive force shaping Starmer’s future. The gilt market is already under…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
When Trump travels to Beijing to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping, he will do so as Xi’s most useful Idiot American—because in all probability Xi views Trump as a model of…
WW3 112: Iran's War on Israel and America 30: The Nuclear Endgame Part 2: On The Cusp of A Breakout?
Yesterday, Iran threatened to restart uranium enrichment. But that raises a key question: after the apparent destruction of its visible nuclear facilities, where would that…
In our numerous analyses on Iran, we have consistently argued that the Islamic Republic was established with the goal of confronting and destroying both the “Small” and the “Great…
What Trump appears not to have fully appreciated is that time is working against him. In the presence of a sustained blockade, the resulting supply shock compounds over time,…
Last week, I had the privilege of visiting Ukraine and seeing its remarkable people first-hand and witnessing how they were adapting to being a country at war; meeting numerous…
Since 2017, the world has been moving through what many describe as a “soft disclosure” phase on UAPs; beginning with the public release of Navy encounter footage, followed by formal…
We live our lives governed by time; deadlines, schedules, ageing and memory all reinforce the belief that time is real and constantly moving forward. But physics increasingly…
The Trump administration has sought to weaponise energy dominance as a geopolitical lever against China by attempting to control global…
The world, as rational citizens of the Western order once understood it, now appears increasingly distorted by the erratic and self-reinforcing worldview of Donald Trump. His…
In the aftermath of COVID-19, the world has largely moved on without fully confronting the unresolved questions surrounding the pandemic’s origins and strategic consequences. While…
Putin's Northern Submarine Fleet and The Hidden Front of WW3 Part 2-A Major RN Counter Sub Operation
This recent operation is the manifestation of the Labour…
In our previous Murrination in this series, we outlined how Britain once possessed the world’s most powerful navy. Today, however, the country faces the stark reality of being all…
While the FPV drone revolution has largely remained confined to the battlefields of Ukraine and has yet to transform the NATO way of war, a new and even greater military…
The prospect of Trump withdrawing from the war with Iran while leaving the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian control would represent a profound strategic rupture with far reaching…
Revolutions in Military Affairs (RMAs) have historically reshaped not just how wars are fought, but the broader…
I have recently been undertaking a more detailed study of Japanese history, which is why I was particularly interested to visit the British Museum’s exhibition on the samurai. The…
The relationship between hubris and military defeat is as old as warfare itself. In The Art of War, Sun Tzu warned that victory depends on understanding both oneself and the enemy: “…









