Murrinations

The final chapter before America strikes North Korea

Trump's success in passing his tax bill is a major achievement and one that in the long run could make the world a safer place. It is the first of two critical elements that can temporarily reinvigorate the US economy. The second is to restructure the US debt burden but that is at the moment a little way ahead.

A message to the National Security Adviser of Britain, Mark Sedwill and Mr Hammond

One topic that my readers know I feel deeply concerned about, is Britain's failed defence policy and the urgent need to remedy this potentially catastrophic situation. The urgency could not be better illuminated by yesterday's North Korean ballistic missile test that places Britain within reach of the despotic Kim. This threat is but one of many simultaneous threats on the horizon.

The King is dead, long live the King!

The King is dead, long live the King. The kleptocracy of King Bob has now ended to great applause. But what does come next for the oppressed and long-suffering people of Zimbabwe?

Cryptocurrency madness

The week before last, out of the blue I was bombarded with simultaneous questions about bitcoin by friends and 'Breaking the Code of History' readers, some on behalf of their children. They all announced that they were proudly mining coins and what did I think?

Naturally, I looked at the price history shown below; the price was 7500 at the time. I responded that it was a bubble and most likely the bitcoin price had made a blow off high following which the price would decline significantly back to the 3500 level.

The cycles of empire and leadership - China and Japan today

The Five Stages of Empire model describes the exponential rise of a system in the 'expansion to empire' phase, which compares sharply to the overextension and decline phases. The election of President Xi and Prime Minister Abe within a week provides a stark contrast of the underlying energy of China and Japan who are in these two very different empire phases.

Climate change: The bubbles are rising

For well over a decade Breaking the Code of History (BTCH) has argued that the increasing CO2 levels in the atmosphere have reached a critical point where, even if we stopped putting in anymore C02 into our atmosphere going forward, we have built in an 11-degree temperature shift in our climate which will be catastrophic.

The three deadly sins of Philip Hammond

While I am told that Hammond is a very pleasant chap, I have to take issue with his political record, policies and the damage he has done to our nation. There are three areas where he should be held accountable, any one of which should end his political career.

Defence Policy

Brexit Part XXIX: Boris for PM and the inevitable sinking of the EU

As we have often described in the context of Breaking the Code of History, Prime Minister May falls into the model of a dictator post a regional civil war, employing the energy of force and coercion to keep both previously warring factions together for the sake of the nation’s future. However, May does not have the force or energy to pull this role off. Indeed, she could be described as the accidental dictator, whose delusional self-image got the better of everyone else’s judgement.

North Korea - Trump's 'red line'

Red lines are dangerous concepts in the game of geopolitics. When they are drawn, they have to be enforceable and the creator has to have the intent to follow through with force if they are crossed. Obama’s chemical red line in Syria was the end of his credibility and what happened thereafter was an accelerated degradation of American influence and power.

Britain's new carriers in a post-Brexit world

During the arms race in the late thirties, Britain and the Royal Navy did all they could to ensure that the nation preserved its naval dominance over Germany. However, there were a few anomalies.

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