David Murrin's Subscription based views and analysis straight to your inbox
Who is this For?
This Market Analysis Service is designed by a highly experienced market Risk-taker of over three decades; for asset managers (Hedge Funds, Banks, institutional investors, and Family offices) with Medium and Long Term Time frames. David’s history in managing macro capital and predicting market dislocations makes him an invaluable advisor to senior risk takers. His expertise and Financial Market Analysis are particularly relevant to the successful management and preservation of capital as the global financial system faces challenges of the order of 2008 in the years ahead. David credentials as a super forecaster are outlined below.
Basis of Analysis
David developed a unique and effective set of behavioural models to predict financial markets, whilst at JPM, which were extremely effective and profitable. They acted as the foundation for his 20-year career as a CIO of his hedge fund Emergent. With some remarkable returns in the most bearish of markets (e.g 84% in 2008 - see track record).
How does it work?
The service is subscription-based and provides two distinct inputs to our market analysis:
Arkent Updates named after the Ark and severity of the next expected global economic downturn. These are the integration of all elements of our market views into one coherent strategy and perspective. Integrating price models and our Geopolitical perspectives (Murrinations) into a single holistic predictive perspective. They are updated as and when major market events provide new information, which is on average once or twice a month.
Individual Market Analysis.This service is designed to provide long term and medium-term investment outlooks and specific recommendations in a range of markets outlined below. Updates are sent out real time as and when the market moves require.
- S&P 500
- Euro Stoxx 50
- China 300
- India 50
- Individual Stocks
- Bitcoin ($)
- Dollar Index
- Sterling (Cable)
- Sterling Yen
- UK Gilts
- Italian BtB
- US Bonds
- German Bunds
- Carbon Emissions
- Iron Ore
Global macro managers have to navigate a complex web of interconnected risks: market, credit, liquidity, financing, counterparty and operational, to name but a few...
Pattern analysis templates for Market Analysis based on Elliott wave counts.
Below is an example Market Outlook you would commonly receive from David. But as a subscriber you will also get a lot more detail and exclusive guidance on what to do with your investments.
Example Market Outlook
Oil coiling To Drop
The $78 high in late 2018 completed the end of the wave 4 correction and since then we have been coiling to make a new low. The secondary high at $67 is significant as a wave 2. The pop upwards post the strike on Saudia facilities is also a smaller wave 2 correction and as such we expect to see oil break down in the weeks ahead. Long term targets are sub $27.