David Murrin's views and analysis straight to your inbox
David developed a unique and effective set of behavioural models to predict financial markets, whilst at JPM, which were extremely effective and profitable. They acted as the foundation for his 20-year career as a CIO of his hedge fund Emergent. With some remarkable returns in the most bearish of markets (e.g 84% in 2008 - see track record). His current Arkent scenario predictions expect a major paradigm shift that will result in a western debt crisis and a greater stock market decline than 2008 with the most serious Financial, political and geopolitical consequences.
This service is designed to provide long term and medium term investment outlooks in a range of markets including:
- S&P 500
- Euro Stoxx 50
- China 300
- India 50
- Dollar Index
- US Bonds
- German Bunds
- Carbon Emissions
- Iron Ore
Below is an example of the brief market analysis available on David's blog. But when you subscribe to receive his full financial market analysis you will get a lot more detail and exclusive guidance on what to do with your investments.
Example Market Outlook
Market Outlook: Dollar Index Long Term - Bearish
The very long term chart over 30 years shows the dollar in a major bear market that is a diagonal five wave decline. As such it requires a new low sub 7000 and as low as 5500 to complete the down cycle in the next few years.
We are now in Big 5 and have seen wave 1 down to 8600 and a wave 2 bounce up to 9800. From here we expect to see the index turn down and commence a move into the 8000 region as wave 3 unfolds. This view is valid below 10100.