Applying the code of markets to generate significant Alpha Returns
Global Trader is an Inside out Hedgefund. Designed for professional asset managers and financial institutions to enhance your alpha generation across all sectors of the world's financial and commodity markets. Derived from The Hedge fund Models created by CIO David Murrin as used by Emergent Asset management. We integrate unique behavioural models and market theories, across all time frames to predict the future path of global geopolitics and markets. Much like a weather forecaster predicts the weather. Real-time, ever-changing.
All our trade executions use defined entry points and stop losses. Our long-term track record is second to none and all our predictions are recorded and auditable.
“David, your fully integrated work combining global geopolitical historical perspective, overlaid with a keen understanding of the inner working of financial markets, provides a level of wisdom that is rare. The quality and depth of research is invaluable to leaders across the political, corporate and investment disciplines.”
Satish Rai - Chief Investment Officer OMERS Pension Fund Canada
Breaking The Code Of Markets
David’s advisory work today is based on his direct investment experience combined with a framework that can be used to explain and qualify decisions within an investment team, aid risk assessment, and reduce biases in collective investment decisions. Offering powerful practical insights into the forces for transformation of the world’s power systems, challenging entrenched assumptions, and sharing astute practical examples from history amongst today’s turbulent realities. All Subscriptions are per subscriber, with team prices on request.
Macro Market Products
All packages are priced per subscriber; team prices are available on request.
1 The CIO's Macro View Subscription
Comprises our full spectrum market strategy across all seven Macro sectors defined below, which integrates all of the elements of our Geopolitical perspectives (Murrinations Insights) and market views into one coherent strategy and perspective. They are updated as and when major market events provide new information, which is on average once or twice a month. This product is ideal for CIOs and Senior Risk takers to gain an external and independent perspective. Our clients include hedge funds, pension funds and family offices. Our strategies cover long and medium time frames, and are designed to be used in conjunction with our Macro Trade Executions to maximise risk versus reward through short-term entry points that then cascade in the longer-term trend direction. This comprehensive product delivers our full-spectrum market strategy across all seven macro sectors outlined below. It seamlessly integrates our geopolitical insights (via Murrinations Insights) and market perspectives into a single, coherent strategic framework. Updates are issued in response to major market developments, typically one to two times per month.
Designed for CIOs and senior risk-takers, this service provides an independent, external perspective to support high-level decision-making. Our clients include hedge funds, pension funds, and family offices. The strategy spans both medium- and long-term time horizons and is best utilised alongside our Macro Trade Executions, enabling clients to capitalise on short-term entry points that align with broader long trend dynamics—thereby optimising risk-reward performance. £1500 per month Engage David
2 Macro Trade Executions are linked to Premium and Global Macro Subscriptions.
We provide real-time entry points, stop levels, and recommended position sizes for trades aligned with the strategies outlined in our CIO’s Macro View. Our alpha-generative performance results are published quarterly, enabling clients to evaluate the accuracy of our forecasts and the quality of our returns across different sectors. New trade recommendations are delivered via email, offering timely, actionable insights. Each market sector is available for individual subscription or as part of our comprehensive Global Macro Package. The global market sectors include:
• Equity Indices
• FX
• Cryptocurrencies
• Bond Markets
• Emerging Market FX and Indices
• Commodity Markets
3 The Premium CIOs View Subscription
(The Premium CIOs View includes one sector for Additional sectors can be purchased at the same time at a cost of £1000 per month.
This includes one sector of Macro Trade Executions (from the above list), Murrinations Insights and The CIOs Macro View £2200 per month. Engage David
4. The Global Macro Package Subscription
Includes Murrinations Insights, The CIO's Macro View, and The Premium CIO's View, along with access to all of our Macro Trade Execution sectors — all included in a single, comprehensive package.£5000 per month. Engage David
5. The External CIO Advisory
Offers a bespoke service that at its lowest level provides twice-monthly discussions on markets and geopolitics, and at its highest level seamlessly integrates every element of the Global Macro Package subscription with the risk management and return objectives of each client’s portfolio. This is delivered through personalised discussions and direct engagement, including tailored support on trading psychology to help optimise performance. Whether navigating drawdowns or maintaining discipline during a strong run, this service enhances decision-making under pressure and maximises returns. Starting at £10,000 per month. Engage David
6. The Arkent Fund – The Arkent Fund is Global Forecaster’s unleveraged long fund that supports high-net-worth individuals in managing their assets with our real-time portfolio management, with changes sent out in real-time. The rationale behind the fund comes from CIOs View, which is included in the package. This is not research but rather an inside-out asset management process, which is designed to cost 1% on a minimum of assets of £3 million per year. £2500 per month Engage David
7. Murrin One-To-One - Geopolitical & Market Insights — When You Need Them – Global Forecaster is pleased to offer a new one-on-one premium service for Asset managers and C suites. Gain exclusive, timely, tailored geopolitical and market analysis with a consultation with David to address your strategic needs and specific questions. Engage David
- Expert insights on geopolitical shifts and market moves.
- Customised discussion focused on your priorities.
- Flexible scheduling—book at a time that suits you.
- £6000 per hour
Book your session today.
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Global Trader - David Murrin
Global Forecaster provides a unique alpha-generation capability, using an in-house geopolitical overview of macro events based on David Murrin’s models of collective human behaviour. These have enabled accurate predictions of UK and US elections, the onset and end of the Covid pandemic, the recent surges in inflation and the dynamics of Russia and China’s hegemonic challenges in relation to the onset of WW3. All with a focus on profitable asset allocation and market timing, achieved by combining geopolitical predictions with our market behavioural models.
This produces actionable real-time market analysis across seven macro sectors: commodities, equity indices, bonds, FX, crypto currencies and EM indices and currencies, covering some 80 individual macro markets. Along with a parallel long/short market-analysis programme covering 200 shares. Both products have demonstrated an outstanding Alpha generation track record.
Geopolitical and market calls are made only when significant opportunities are located, and structured within a risk framework. This service is designed to provide long-term and medium-term investment outlooks with precise short-term risk-controlled entry points. David’s work challenges entrenched assumptions and often the market consensus, whilst sharing astute practical examples from history that provide asset-management roadmaps to guide you through today’s turbulent realities.
About David
David has been described as a polymath. His financial career of more than three decades has focussed on finding and understanding collective human behavioural patterns and then using them to project future events. He has a remarkable track record that goes back to 1990, when whilst at JPM he developed a unique and effective set of behavioural models to predict financial markets, which were extremely effective and profitable. They acted as the foundation for his 20-year career as CIO of his hedge fund Emergent, which achieved some remarkable returns in especially in bear markets (e.g. 84% in 2008).
David follows Winston Churchill’s maxim “The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see.” He has combined his fascination with military history, geopolitics and finance into a unified geopolitical model, published in Breaking the Code of History in 2009. This book highlights the key factors in today's changing world, as power shifts from the West to the East. His central idea is the Five-Phase Life Cycle of Empire, which analyses and “decodes” the rise and fall of empires throughout history, from the Roman Empire right through to the rise of China today. He also points out the many factors that influence the rise and fall of regions and countries, including demographics, climate change and its impact on scarce resources, and technology. Whilst these forces take decades to build up, much like tectonic plates straining motionless at their boundaries, they can be released over a very short time. Today we are living through the release of just such huge geopolitical forces, which will change our world significantly.
Key Market and Geopolitical calls: See All
© David Murrin 2025. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |