Financial Market Forecasts
David’s advisory work today is based on his direct investment experience combined with a framework that can be used to explain and qualify decisions within an investment team, aid risk assessment, and reduce biases in collective investment decisions. Offering powerful practical insights into the forces for transformation of the world’s power systems, challenging entrenched assumptions, and sharing astute practical examples from history amongst today’s turbulent realities.
Macro Products
Macro Market Forecasts
- Equities
- Crypto
- FX
- Bonds
- Emerging Markets
- Commodities
- The CIOs Macro View – comprises our full spectrum market strategy across all seven Macro sectors defined below, which integrates all of the elements of our Geopolitical perspectives (Murrinations Insights) and market views into one coherent strategy and perspective. They are updated as and when major market events provide new information, which is on average once or twice a month. This product is ideal for CIOs and Senior Risk takers to gain an external and independent perspective. Our clients include hedge funds, pension funds and family offices. Our strategies cover long and medium time frames, and are designed to be used in conjunction with our Macro Trade Executions to maximise risk versus reward through short-term entry points that then cascade in the longer-term trend direction. £1500 per month per subscriber. View Subscription Options
- The Premium CIOs View – This includes Macro Trade Executions, Murrinations Insights and The CIOs Macro View - this service is designed to provide specific trade recommendations in line with The CIOs Macro View – in the seven market sectors outlined below. We provide real-time entry points and stops and recommended sizes relating to our evaluation of the quality of the trade (ranging from 33%, 66%, 100% 133%, 166%, 200%). Our results are published at the end of each quarter, so that our performance in various sectors can be evaluated by our clients, allowing them to assess the reliability of our forecasts and the quality of our returns. New trades are sent via emails providing actionable real-time trade recommendations. Each sector is available to subscribe to separately or all together as part of our Global Macro package.; The global market sectors are: Equity Indices, FX, Crypto Currencies, Bond Markets, Emerging Market FX and Indices and Commodity Markets.
The Premium CIOs View includes one sector for £2200 per month. Additional sectors can be purchased at the same time at a cost of £1000 per month. View Subscription Options - The Global Macro Package includes Murrinations Insights, The CIOs View, and The Premium CIOs View with its Macro Trade Executions for all sectors costing £5000 per month. In addition, advisory packages are available on request. View Subscription Options
- The External CIO – provides a bespoke service that integrates every aspect of The Global Macro Package subscription with the risk-taking aspects of our clients portfolios through personnel discussion and interaction. This also includes objective support with respect to the harnessing of trading psychology to maximise profitability. A useful tool to maximise returns when under pressure from losses, or indeed after having an excellent run of profitability. Price by agreement. Engage David
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Global Trader - David Murrin
Global Forecaster provides a unique alpha-generation capability, using an in-house geopolitical overview of macro events based on David Murrin’s models of collective human behaviour. These have enabled accurate predictions of UK and US elections, the onset and end of the Covid pandemic, the recent surges in inflation and the dynamics of Russia and China’s hegemonic challenges in relation to the onset of WW3. All with a focus on profitable asset allocation and market timing, achieved by combining geopolitical predictions with our market behavioural models.
This produces actionable real-time market analysis across seven macro sectors: commodities, equity indices, bonds, FX, crypto currencies and EM indices and currencies, covering some 80 individual macro markets. Along with a parallel long/short market-analysis programme covering 200 shares. Both products have demonstrated an outstanding Alpha generation track record.
Geopolitical and market calls are made only when significant opportunities are located, and structured within a risk framework. This service is designed to provide long-term and medium-term investment outlooks with precise short-term risk-controlled entry points. David’s work challenges entrenched assumptions and often the market consensus, whilst sharing astute practical examples from history that provide asset-management roadmaps to guide you through today’s turbulent realities.
About David
David has been described as a polymath. His financial career of more than three decades has focussed on finding and understanding collective human behavioural patterns and then using them to project future events. He has a remarkable track record that goes back to 1990, when whilst at JPM he developed a unique and effective set of behavioural models to predict financial markets, which were extremely effective and profitable. They acted as the foundation for his 20-year career as CIO of his hedge fund Emergent, which achieved some remarkable returns in especially in bear markets (e.g. 84% in 2008).
David follows Winston Churchill’s maxim “The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see.” He has combined his fascination with military history, geopolitics and finance into a unified geopolitical model, published in Breaking the Code of History in 2009. This book highlights the key factors in today's changing world, as power shifts from the West to the East. His central idea is the Five-Phase Life Cycle of Empire, which analyses and “decodes” the rise and fall of empires throughout history, from the Roman Empire right through to the rise of China today. He also points out the many factors that influence the rise and fall of regions and countries, including demographics, climate change and its impact on scarce resources, and technology. Whilst these forces take decades to build up, much like tectonic plates straining motionless at their boundaries, they can be released over a very short time. Today we are living through the release of just such huge geopolitical forces, which will change our world significantly.
Key Market and Geopolitical calls: See All
© David Murrin 2023. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |