Summary
Russia’s covert "shadow fleet"—a loosely regulated group of vessels operating beyond international norms—has become a key enabler of its sanctions evasion and wartime economy. A recent…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights Examples
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 19/05/2025 - 14:00
Last Update: Tue, 20/05/2025 - 07:48
Summmary
Starmer’s recent summit with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, framed as a “reset” of UK-EU relations, with details yet to be negotiated. The reset can only be seen as…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 19/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/05/2025 - 11:36
Summary
The forced resignation of Admiral Sir Ben Key—the Royal Navy's First Sea Lord—over a consensual relationship with a junior colleague marks an unprecedented and politically charged moment…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 16/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 17/05/2025 - 08:11
Summary
Global Forecaster has been bullish on gold since its 2022 low, projecting a long-term target of $10,000 by 2030 amid rising global instability. Central banks are buying gold at record…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 15/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 20/05/2025 - 08:05
Summary
Trump’s second term has increasingly blurred the line between public office and personal gain, exemplifying the final stage of America's imperial decline as described in the Theory of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 13/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 17/05/2025 - 11:42
Summary
The era of the aircraft carrier, much like the battleship before it, is facing potential obsolescence due to advances in long-range strike capabilities—most notably Chinese hypersonic and…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 12/05/2025 - 11:45
Last Update: Sat, 17/05/2025 - 08:06
Summary
As the world marked the 80th anniversary of VE Day, it was starkly reminded that peace is maintained not by hope, but by strength and credible deterrence. Amid the collapse of Pax…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 10/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 17/05/2025 - 08:09
Summary
While hailed as a milestone, the U.S.–UK Economic Prosperity Deal primarily reflects Britain's strategic concession to Donald Trump’s hardline trade agenda. Key tariff reductions favour U…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 08/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 17/05/2025 - 08:14
Summary
China views Donald Trump’s rise not as a threat, but as a strategic gift—one that weakens America from within and accelerates its own path to global dominance. Comparing Trump’s…
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