High-entropy environments—marked by fear, fragmentation, and uncertainty—render democracies vulnerable to both overt and covert assaults on truth. In the U.S., Trump and the MAGA movement…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 27/06/2025 - 08:00
Summary
When war returned to Europe in 1939, Britain entered the conflict with a higher debt burden than in 1914 and a more fragile financial position. Despite this, it pursued a broad, maritime…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 25/06/2025 - 13:48
Last Update: Mon, 30/06/2025 - 12:11
Summary
Trump's recent ceasefire with Iran is more a product of personal ambition than strategic foresight. After months of fruitless negotiations and late military responses, Trump sought a…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 25/06/2025 - 08:00
Summary
The Allied bombing campaign against Germany during World War II was unprecedented in scale and impact. From 1939 to 1945, the RAF and USAAF dropped over 1.5 million tonnes of bombs,…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 21/06/2025 - 18:00
Last Update: Fri, 27/06/2025 - 10:33
SUMMARY
The Israel-Iran conflict has rapidly escalated into a broadening regional war, with the United States on the brink of direct military engagement. Iran has categorically refused to…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 21/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 30/06/2025 - 07:48
Summary
Putin’s theory of victory in Ukraine is built on the expectation that time, attrition, and Western fatigue will erode Ukraine’s resistance and international support. He believes a war of…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 20/06/2025 - 09:00
Last Update: Mon, 23/06/2025 - 11:30
Summary
The two regional wars in Ukraine and the Middle East highlight a broader geopolitical reality: the rise of a China-led Axis of Autocracy waging proxy wars against the West. Israel’s…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 19/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 24/06/2025 - 10:24
Summary
World War I was the first industrial-scale total war, demanding full mobilisation of national economies and testing each nation’s capacity to borrow and sustain prolonged conflict. Both…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 18/06/2025 - 08:00
Summary
History warns us that authoritarianism often begins with the erosion of truth. Adolf Hitler’s rise in 1930s Germany demonstrated how swiftly democratic institutions can collapse under…
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