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Who Is This For?
Asset Managers
Hedge and PE funds, Family offices
David’s history in managing macro capital and predicting market dislocations makes him an invaluable advisor to senior risk takers. His expertise and Financial Market Analysis are particularly relevant to the successful management and preservation of capital as the global financial system faces challenges of the order of 2008 in the years ahead.
Natural Resources
Oil, Mining and Agricultural Organisations
David’s background in the oil business and agriculture has given him personal experience in this sector, which when combined with his market predictions, gives him a unique perspective to advise natural resource companies on geopolitical risk and market timing in his commodity Market Analysis as to the impending low of the commodity price cycle, and subsequent hyper inflation cycle.
Businesses
Entrepreneur & Corporations
David can act as a special advisor to boards or senior management. Helping you maximize your business strategy in an uncertain geopolitical world, and to also apply the five-phase life cycle to optimize business development. Additionally David's Iconic Leadership program allows organisations to maximise their potential.
Governments
Politicians & Armed Forces
The theories within BREAKING THE CODE OF HISTORY have significant implications for governments to anticipate well in advance the needs of the electorate and the threats posed by other nations in an uncertain world. Follow David’s global forecasts and predictions for the world around us.
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Past history
About David
David Murrin began his unique career in the oil exploration business, amongst the jungles of Papua New Guinea and the southwestern Pacific islands, engaging with the numerous tribes of the Sepik River and exploring the mineral composition of the region. Before the age of adventure tourism, this region was highly dangerous, very uncertain and local indigenous groups were often hostile and cannibalistic.
Not only did he keep his head, but it was his work with the PNG tribespeople that catalyzed his theories on collective human behaviour.
Future
Past & Present Predictions
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Decline of American Power
The decline of American power (2003) over the next decades.
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China's Expansion To Challenge US
The rise of Chinese power (2003) and it's an economic/military expansion to challenge America.
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Climate Change Acceleration
The acceleration of irreversible climate change (2005) and its huge global economic impact.
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March Towards UK Leaving The EU
Brexit – Predicted the referendum result to leave the EU, with the key social drivers correctly identified (2015) and the course of Brexit with Boris becoming PM.
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Trump's Rise To Presidency
The rise of Trump to become the next US president (2015) numerous blogs on my site.
Commentator
Media Coverage
Clients / Coverage
Murrinations
Applying the Code of History to the current political situation indicates that the end of the British democratic civil war is in sight and a new dawn beckons.
I recently gave an… Read more.
The story so far
So far we have called the highs of the equity markets accurately and have seen the first significant drops which coincide with ratcheting up of US-China tension and the Fed… Read more.
Casting one’s mind back to the S&P low of March 2009 when most the family office’s wealth had halved since the Nov 2007 high. Diversification had provided no protection against the… Read more.
Background
The current discourse that occupies Britain over Brexit is a critical issue for the Nation. Simultaneously, it has been a fascinating current day example of the power of the… Read more.
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Writer
Publications
Breaking The Code Of History
We must identify the theories that underlie historical cycles, learn the lessons and apply them to today’s changing world. Studying the ebb and flow of empires throughout history, in particular, can enable us to pinpoint the mechanisms that cause civilisations to rise and fall. Read about the book, an introduction to BTCH, feedback or purchase the book direct.
Lions Led By Lions
History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I. Read about the book, extracts from Lions Led By Lions, feedback or purchase the book direct.
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Theory
The Theory Behind My Predictions
Understand history's "big picture" and accurately assess current and future geopolitical environments
Future
Thought Leadership
Exclusive content
Finance Market Analysis
What Information?
David developed a unique and effective set of behavioural models to predict financial markets whilst at JPM which were extremely effective and profitable. These pattern recognition models acted as the foundation for his 20-year career as a CIO of his hedge fund Emergent. With some remarkable returns in the most bearish of markets(e.g. 84% in 2008).
Why Subscribe?
This service is designed to provide long term and medium term investment outlooks and in a range of markets from Equity indices, Bonds Fx, and Commodities. Be the first to gain David's market insights. Which include his Arkent scenario predictions of a pending major paradigm shift that will result in a greater stock market decline than 2008 with the most serious Financial, political and geopolitical consequences.
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Speaker
Events
© David Murrin 2019. All images courtesy of Getty Images.