Global Forecaster: Your Essential Advisor

We predict the future path of global geopolitics and markets, much like a weather forecaster predicts the weather. Real-time, ever-changing.

The application of our unique collective behavioural models, based on complex human systems, provides high probability predictions.

We predict Geopolitical and Market trends, reversals, events, and outcomes that others might not anticipate or see. 

We then apply adaptive, strategic lateral thinking to navigate and maximize your success and profitability, allowing us to support and empower you. 

We have an outstanding long-term track record with perspective and applied knowledge second to none.

We look forward to discussing how we can work together. Contact David.

Products & Clients

Global Forecaster

For those seeking a greater understanding of our human world and to be forewarned of major Geopolitical events before they happen.

  • Banks
  • Pension Funds
  • Resource and commodity companies
  • Hedge Funds (Macro and Long/short)
  • Corporate Treasuries
  • Family Offices
  • HNWIs
  • Financial Institutions
  • Private equity
  • Entrepreneurs and Startups
  • Companies
  • Governments
  • Armed Forces
  • Politicians

Global Forecaster

David Murrin dazzles us with the scope of his learning, the depths of his experience and the vigour of his enthusiasms; all are lit with the gleam of his focus. His book is closely and tirelessly argued and superbly and relevantly illustrated, whilst his analysis is lucid and vivid. Murrin warns of the dangers ahead if the human race fails to deal with the consequences of our systematic self-destructive behaviour. This is a book that each of us should read and learn from.

Rear Admiral Richard Cobbold  Director of the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

Murrinations Insights

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.


Populism encompasses a range of political views that emphasise the idea of "the people", often in contrast to "the elite", holding the reins of power. As such, today and in the past, they are… Read more.


Israel is under attack from Hamas to the west and Hezbollah to the north, but the real enemy is Iran. Indeed, Israel was attacked by its neighbour state, under a Hamas government, in a heinous act… Read more.


Global Forecaster's aspiration is to predict future events using our various human behavioural models. These essentially predict that the optimal outcome for Britain at… Read more.


The clear strategic intention behind the Hamas/Iranian attack was to create an external provocation similar to 9/11 so heinous that it would consume Netanyahu and the Israeli nation with hatred… Read more.

“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Has ww3 started
Has ww3 started

“I have worked through your well-written and disturbing book “Breaking the Code of History”. I am in broad agreement with what you have written and think the book makes a great contribution towards understanding the past and the present better, thus laying a sound foundation for preparing for the future.”

Former President FW de Klerk
arkite alert banner
arkite alert banner

Global Trader: Your External CIO 

Global Trader is designed for professional asset managers and financial institutions to support their directional risk profiles in all sectors of the world's financial and commodity markets.

We make predictions as to the future path of global geopolitics and markets, much like a weather forecaster predicts the weather. Real-time, ever-changing.

Using our unique behavioural models and market theories, holistically monitoring the different asset classes and strict stop loss procedures have made us able to predict events, trends and favourable trading opportunities. 

Our long-term track record is second to none and all our predictions are recorded and auditable.

We would be delighted if we could assist you in tilting the probabilities in your favour. 

“David, your fully integrated work combining global geopolitical historical perspective, overlaid with a keen understanding of the inner working of financial markets, provides a level of wisdom that is rare. The quality and depth of research is invaluable to leaders across the political, corporate and investment disciplines.”

Satish Rai - Chief Investment Officer OMERS Pension Fund Canada

Real-Time Trade Executions

Front Financial Slideshow

Recent examples


Bitcoin has broken its diagonal 5th wave in a sharp decline over the weekend, in a signal that could be the the death knell of both the cryptocurrency rally and potentially equities. this is a high quality max sized trade with a 30,000 target.

T7a We are already short 100% from 62730 with a 65800 stop now lowered to 59000 locking in over 100% profit.

T7b sell a further 100% here @ 56700 with a 57000 stop

Forecast on 19/4/2021

Dollar turkish

Our Dollar Turkish trade has been enormously successful with a 70 x return on the trade since inception. As we are now at what now looks to be close to the end of the 3rd wave we are taking our profit. We expect some kind of correction from here that will allow us to re-establish the trade after a correction lower/sideways. 

T6a take all profit here @ 14.37 for a 74x profit to return, making this our most successful trade so far!

Forecast on 14/12/2021

Iron ore

Iron Ore reversed as expected and is now falling in a C wave to make new lows, signalling ongoing weakness in Chinese demand.

T6a short 200% from 772 with an 832 stop

Forecast on 18/02/2022

Nat Gas

So far we have traded this commodity well having captured the whole A wave down. Since then we have seen a B wave and it looks as if we are now in the C wave. As such we will look to enter a short trade if the wave 2 of C Bounces in a clear three into the 4.27 zone (as per the chart).

Forecast on 08/02/2022


Facebook or Meta as it is now known has more downside to come as we target sub 15000.

T2a 200% lower the stop profit to 38000

Forecast on 18/02/2022


The above BTC with a log scale shows the clear wave structure we are counting at present, with a wave IV target of 23000K

Medium term Bitcoin has rallied in three clear waves which looks to be a wave iv within the trend and has now reversed whilst remaining under or key 45700 stop level.

We are short from higher but for those who are not this is a great entry point using the 45700 stop. We are still targeting sub 30000 and ideally 23000

Forecast on 08/02/2022


The NASDAQ is very close to it 16700 target and looks like it could be in the process of reversing here with a 14300 target.

T23a @ 16521 with a 16700 stop 

Forecast on 19/11/2021

Global Strategist

We use our Dyslexic Strategic Thinking process coupled with our global forecasting models to map the geopolitical and economic terrain ahead, which we combine with historically proven strategies based on lessons from our five-phase lifecycle as applied to the environment and our client organisation. In so doing, we follow the Art of War (10:5.14–18):

Know the enemy and know yourself and your victory will be painless. Know the weather and the field and your victory will be complete.

The result is that our strategies empower leaders with powerful and proven global strategies that apply the maxim from the Art of War (4:1.9–10):

You see the opportunity for victory; you do not create it.

hedge fund advisor

Hedge Fund / Financial Institutional Advisor

Deliverable: Align your business and assets, under management, with macro trends – de-risking against shocks and finding new opportunities and strategies for growth.

corporate advisor

Company/Board Advisor

Deliverable: David's focus will be to futureproof your business against macro trends – de-risking against shocks and finding new opportunities and strategies for growth.

us china trade war

Governmental Advisor

Deliverable: Our focus will be to futureproof national strategies against macro trends, de-risking against shocks and finding new opportunities and strategies for growth.

Defence advisor

Defence Advisor

Deliverable: We harness our theory on warfare to predict future wars and threats, and then use our extensive understanding of military history and modern weapons to provide advice and strategies to deter or resolve aggression.


Political Advisor

Deliverables: to design political policies that match the current and next term period on the five-phase lifecycle, allowing us to understand what policies a national democratic system will demand next, maximising the outcomes of political leaders.

Thought Leadership Strategies

adaptation logo
UK defence
Confront China
Vision Global Britain 2025
Climate Change
Vision USA 2025
Vision Africa 2025


Breaking The Code Of History

We must identify the theories that underlie historical cycles, learn the lessons and apply them to today’s changing world. Studying the ebb and flow of empires throughout history, in particular, can enable us to pinpoint the mechanisms that cause civilisations to rise and fall. Read about the book, an introduction to BTCH, feedback or purchase the book direct.

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I. Read about the book, extracts from Lions Led By Lions, feedback or purchase the book direct.

Having just finished David Murrin’s book, Breaking The Code of History, I have to conclude that it is the most complete work in the field of socio-politics that I have come across.

Julian Debreuil, - Opera Singer, Writer & Researcher, Retail Investor. Read more

Now Or Never

Today, Britain is living through a time of crisis, triggered by the pandemic and the consequent economic contraction. To compound the uncertainties ahead, Britain is also in the final stage of its Brexit process. However every signal from the five-stage roadmap model indicates that phase is, in reality, a time of great opportunity for Britain to reset and rebuild as we return to our global maritime heritage and increase our integration into a global trading system in a new multi-polar world. A time when Britain will be able to fill the numerous vacuums created as America contracts, which will sure up the democratic world against the rising threat of dictatorships.

Download a copy of the defence review or preorder a hard copy now:

Red Lightning

Red Lightning

Since the end of the Cold War, the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

Karen Harradine - Writer at TCW Contributor to @Cotomag. Read more

Future Trends Speaker

future trends speaker
geopolitical speaker

David Murrin is one of those rare creatures – he not only possesses a massive amount of knowledge about financial markets and investment but he looks at the sector from a totally different perspective than most other observers.

About David

David Murrin has been described as a polymath. His 30-year career has focused on finding deep-seated patterns in history and using them to understand and accurately predict the future in both today’s turbulent geopolitical dynamics and financial markets. To achieve this, he has developed a unique model for human systems and their cyclical behaviour that is applicable to empires, nations, military organisations and companies. This five-stage roadmap enhances understanding and decision-making and has a remarkable track record of predicting events over the past two decades.

our Mission

  • We study cycles within history to locate the position of nations and markets in the present day and then predict future events
  • We try to understand underlying patterns in human and system behaviour to enable accurate predictions with a high probability of an outcome.
  • We seek to transform multi-variable complexity into the simplicity of first-order effects.
  • We seek to learn and grow to improve our systems and perspectives.
  • We are alert to extreme consensus, allowing the opportunity to benefit from contrarian perspectives.
  • We seek to present truths even if they are uncomfortable and raise the individual and collective consciousness.
  • We seek to confront and expose malign energy wherever it may manifest in human systems.
  • We seek to understand previous system traumas, both in nations and markets. As by the Rule of Alternation, this memory then creates differing outcomes in the next similar event.
  • We seek to inspire our readers, subscribers and ideally all of humankind to reach their potential over the shortest possible time, recognising that a great shift is upon us this decade.
  • We seek to share our knowledge to empower our readers and subscribers with more realistic ways of understanding our human world and how best to create more positive outcomes, especially when faced with global challenges such as the role of economic cycles, warfare in human evolution and climate change.

Clients / Coverage

Global Forecaster’s clients range from the largest pension funds and hedge funds in the world to family offices – all who value our long- and medium-term strategies. Whilst our hedge fund clients benefit from our specific trading recommendations as part of an integrated strategy, all benefit from the increase of 360-degree situational awareness that we offer, derived from a source of analysis that is independent of the impact of collective sentiment that makes most analysis bullish at the highs and bearish at the lows.


What You Can Do
How you can make a difference?

When faced with the increasing risk of the disastrous global events described in BREAKING THE CODE OF HISTORY, which include the West’s potentially catastrophic… Read more.

Iconic Leadership
Leadership should be viewed as service

One of the key elements in safely resolving the crisis of the western world and ultimately moving towards a Sentient World is the concept of how power is… Read more.

Transcending our current collective limitations

We often look at the animal world with a detached curiosity as if Mankind had transcended the limitations of mindlessness. Insect colonies are a… Read more.

Sentient World

A new movement dedicated to the study of human history and the cycles of empires with the specific educational focus of transcending unconscious repetitive collective behavioural… Read more.