David Murrin

David Murrin

David Murrin began his unique career in the oil exploration business amongst the jungles of Papua New Guinea and the southwestern Pacific islands. There, he engaged with the numerous tribes of the Sepik River and exploring the mineral composition of the region. Before the age of adventure tourism, this region was highly dangerous, very uncertain and local indigenous groups were often hostile and cannibalistic. His work with the PNG tribespeople catalysed his theories on collective human behaviour.
In the early 1980’s David embarked on a new career, joining JP Morgan in London. Watching his colleges on the trading floors he quickly identified modern society also behaved collectively. He was sent to New York on JPM’s highly rated  internal MBA equivalent finance program. Once back in London, he traded FX, Bonds, equities and commodities on JPM’s first European Prop desk. In 1991 he founded and managed JPM’s highly successful European Market Analysis Group, developing new behavioural investment techniques which were utilised to deploy and manage risk at the highest level of the bank.

In 1993 David founded his first hedge fund Apollo Asset Management and in 1997 co-founded Emergent Asset Management as CIO. His primary role was overseeing trading across all fund products as well as being particularly active in the firm’s private equity business he co-founded Emvest, Emergent’s African land fund, in 2008 and acted as its Chairman until its sale from the group in 2011. In addition through Emergent’s Advisory Business, David was responsible for the critical fund raising for Heritage Oil allowing it to expand significantly by investing in its Uganda exploration program. He took full control of Emergent in 2011 combining his management of the Geomacro fund with the role of Chief Executive Officer until 2014.
David has been described as a polymath and his career of more than three decades has been focussed on finding and understanding collective human behavioural patterns including deep-seated ‘patterns’ in history and then using them to try and predict the future for geopolitics and markets in today’s turbulent times. He has a remarkable track record.
David’s advisory and future trends speaking is based on his direct investment experience combined with a framework that can be used to explain and qualify decisions within an investment team, aid risk assessment and reduce biases in collective investment decisions.

Since his early 30’s David has owned and raced the famous classic racing yacht Cetewayo. The vessel is occasionally used as part of senior management team strategy days as part of David's leadership program.

David is a keen racing and classic yachtsman, co-founding the British Classic Yacht Club in 2002 which has grown over the past decade into a substantial organisation. He was the Vice Commodore and then Commodore of the Club, resigning in 2019. Visit Zulu Yachting for more information.

David has written two books. Breaking the Code of History recognises that, post 9/11, the world changed in an instant. It highlights the key process in human social structures that impact on today’s changing world.

book covers

His 2018 book Lions Led By Lions examines Britain’s involvement in the First World War and the achieved learning curve of its leadership.

David offers audiences powerful practical insights into the forces for transformation in the world’s power systems, challenging entrenched assumptions and sharing astute practical examples from history amongst today’s turbulent realities.


Theories     Predictions     Aspirations