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Introduction

Global Forecaster’s predictive power lies in its unique holographic model, where every theme is interconnected and new information can reshape the whole picture in real time. To make this worldview more accessible, we are introducing a new categorisation system for all Murrinations, structured around our core theories and themes—from the Five Stages of Empire and K-Wave cycles to global politics, science, markets, and strategy. This framework, first revealed in our new overview map, will allow readers to explore topics in detail through the search function. Going forward, all Murrinations will be organised within this system, and past ones will gradually be updated—creating a clearer, more accessible window into Global Forecaster’s strategic worldview.

Our  geopolitical model functions like a three-dimensional hologram,

One of the reasons our predictive tools are so powerful is that our geopolitical model functions like a three-dimensional hologram, where every topic is interconnected. A single piece of significant information can shift the alignment of the entire matrix, reshaping the bigger picture in real time.

In our recent open Murrination, Understanding the Interconnected World of Global Forecaster we outlined both the core themes of our model and many examples of how our forecasts have consistently anticipated unfolding events.

1.0 - The Origins of Murrinations
2.0 - Aspirations
3.0 - Global Trader
4.0 - Global Forecaster Strategy and Future
5.0 - Our Theories
6.0 - Five Stages of Empire
7.0 - K-Wave and War Cycles
8.0 - Polarisation and the Road to War
9.0 - The Theory of Anti-Entropic Human Evolution - Lateralisation
10.0 - Escalation into WW3
11.0 - Grand Strategy
12.0 - Weapons
13.0 - COVID, AKA the Wuhan Pandemic
14.0 - Monitoring Other Countries
15.0 - Global Politics
16.0 - Science
17.0 - Finance and Markets
18.0 - Philosophy 
19.0 - Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAPs)
20.0 - My Annual Predictions

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A New Visual World View 

To stay ahead, it is essential to see the the big Picture from above -not in fragments, but as an interconnected whole.As the saying goes, a picture is worth a thousand words. Below, we reveal for the first time to the public how our 3D hologram of interconnected dynamics can be compressed into 2D. The first image presents the Global Forecaster overview map, while the second offers a more detailed view of its inner workings.

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This framework is one of the secret sources behind our ability to stay consistently ahead of the news—providing not only clarity on the present but also foresight into the trajectory of the world’s future.

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New Infomational Organisation of Murrinations

Using this worldview map, we will henceforth categorise all our Murrinations so that, under the search function, you can explore each topic in detail. We will begin applying this system to new Murrinations going forward, and in time we will also apply it retrospectively to past ones. In doing so, I hope to create a new dimension of accessibility to Global Forecaster’s worldview.

So stay ahead and see the the big Picture 

SUBSCRIBE TO - Murrinations Gold

Dear Arkite,

Every day, headlines fight for your attention. Breaking news. Urgent alerts. Endless commentary.

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But here’s the catch:

• The news tells you what just happened, not what’s coming.

• It overwhelms you with details, while leaving out the bigger picture.

• And it rarely offers context—so you’re left to piece it all together yourself.

No wonder so many people feel informed yet unprepared.

We believe information should empower you, not confuse you. That’s why we don’t just recount yesterday—we help you anticipate tomorrow.

See how we help readers move from information overload to real understanding:

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👉 In my next email, I’ll show you how foresight changes the way you read world events.

Talk soon,

David

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Are you one of the hedge funds piling into the “Rebuild Ukraine” trade, betting on peace after Trump’s talks with Putin in Alaska? If so, you’ve clearly not been reading Murrinations insights—where we explain why peace is nowhere near breaking out.

Some managers are “salivating” at the prospect of a $486bn reconstruction boom, chasing Morgan Stanley’s “Rebuild Ukraine” basket of stocks like Vinci, Heidelberg Materials, Assa Abloy, Holcim, CRH, and Buzzi. But this is classic FOMO investing—misreading geopolitics, mistiming markets, and mistaking noise for signal.

At Murrinations Corporate Platinum, we cut through the hype and show you the real trajectory of this war and its market consequences. Before you chase the wrong trade, get the analysis that matters.

CHOOSE YOUR SUBSCRIPTION | David Murrin

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Dear Arkite,

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"Tom welcomes David Murrin to the Competent Man to explore the importance of resilience and lateral thinking in navigating the challenges facing society. Murrin shares his personal journey as a dyslexic individual who developed unique problem-solving abilities through adversity. He argues that lateral thinkers, often misunderstood, possess valuable skills that are crucial for leadership and innovation, especially as the world faces increasing conflict and disruption. David emphasizes the need for educational systems that nurture diverse learning styles and the importance of parents deliberately fostering resilience in their children through exposure to hardship and challenges. He cautions against the dangers of overprotection, which can stifle personal growth and adaptability.

Murrin also delves into the dynamics of partner selection, advocating for lateral individuals to seek compatible matches to cultivate fulfilling relationships. Looking ahead, David foresees a looming "extinction event" for linear thinkers as artificial intelligence increasingly automates repetitive tasks. He believes lateral individuals, with their ability to think creatively and adapt, will be better positioned to thrive in this shifting landscape. Ultimately, Murrin emphasises the importance of self-awareness, emotional intelligence, and a willingness to confront one's fears as key components of building resilience and competence, both on an individual and societal level."

Watch Now

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A Message from David Murrin

When I launched Murrinations Gold in 2019, my mission was clear: to provide investment-grade geopolitical insight that cuts through the noise of an increasingly chaotic world. Over the past six years, I’ve dedicated myself to delivering high-integrity analysis, helping readers not only understand the forces shaping our era, but also to anticipate what comes next.

Today, that mission is more vital than ever.

In an age defined by misinformation and narrative manipulation, Murrinations Gold has become a rare and trusted source of strategic clarity. True foresight doesn’t emerge from consensus—it’s built on reality-tested models of human systems, historical cycles, and a deep understanding of geopolitical and economic dynamics.

1.0 Our track record speaks for itself.

Over the past few years, we’ve made a series of highly accurate and time-sensitive predictions: Some of the Biggest have been:

• The Pandemic: We forecast the arrival of COVID-19 three months before it hit Europe, and identified Omicron as its natural endpoint.
• World War III: We predicted the onset of global conflict in 2022 two decades ago, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—six months in advance and, more precisely, a week before it occurred. We continue to track its evolution closely.
• Middle East War: On October 8th—immediately following the Hamas massacre—we forecast the strategic phases of Israel’s campaign, from Gaza to Hezbollah. We also warned that once Iran’s proxy threats were neutralised, Israel would strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. To that end, we provided a 24-hour alert ahead of the first strike and a 12-hour warning before the US B2 bombers launched.

So, the question is no longer why follow Murrinations—but whether you can afford not to.

2.0 What’s New at Murrinations Gold?

Our core product, Murrinations Gold, has evolved far beyond its original scope. As global instability accelerates, it has become my most personal and dynamic body of work—an extension of the themes from Breaking the Code of History, updated in real time and pushed into new strategic frontiers.

We’ve enhanced the offering with the following new features:

• Summaries and Key Predictions are included with each post for faster, clearer takeaways.
• Weekly Digest Emails sent to subscribers—so you can catch up quickly with all the critical insights from the past week.

3.0 Introducing: Murrinations Platinum for Corporates

For organisations seeking a deeper edge, our new Murrinations Platinum corporate tier offers an expanded, bespoke advisory service. This includes:

• Extended prediction threads linked to Murrinations Gold content
• Strategic insights tailored for decision-makers in finance, security, and industry
• Direct access to our team for briefings and risk assessments

Now is the moment to stay ahead, not behind.

Join Murrinations Gold or Murrinations Platinum Corporate and gain the foresight to navigate what’s coming. 

CHOOSE YOUR SUBSCRIPTION | David Murrin

Dear Arkite,

We're happy to announce all new subscription options and their associated newsletters, view them now, providing you with big picture views supported by detailed analysis, foresight, and strategy. 

Bronze level - FREE

Now, along with Arkite Alerts, free subscribers will receive Headlines from the Week, once a week on a Friday, which includes the Murrinations image and headlines via email only. This will allow you to keep on top of the latest topics David is writing about.

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Silver level - starting at £9.99 per month

Go Silver For those that wish to receive a single Murrination of the week on Sundays, via email only, but do not wish to access Murrinations in full through the website, as they are published and any of our comprehensive real time updates.

Murrinations of the Week contain the complete article, including the image, title, summary, content, key predictions, aspirations but not predictions strings. Sent out once a week on Sunday mornings, via email only,

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Gold level - starting at £50 per month

Our Gold level is our full level Geopolitical subscription that will unlock a wealth of insights, granting you exclusive online access to David's complete series of Murrinations and the subsequent real time updates to his geopolitical predictions. Delve into the intricacies of David's perspectives, understanding the genesis of his insights, his foresight on the trajectory of key global topics, and the recommended actions for strategies to enhance our outcomes. 

This now includes:

Murrinations Gold Publication Alerts - Alerts to New Murrinations, via email, with the image, title and a few intro lines.

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Murrinations Gold Refresh - Updates to previous Murrinations, via email, that serve as reminders of key live topics.

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Murrinations Gold Key Predictions - The summary of each Murrinations Key Predictions, lessons learned and actions to implement, via email.

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Murrinations Predictive strings - This element is now part of our Platinum service, as it has evolved into a comprehensive list and running commentary on the insights David provides. If you are a current Gold level subscriber and would like to retain access and receive this newsletter, please contact us and we'll be happy to re-subscribe you for the duration of your subscription.

Platinum level - starting at £1,500 per month

Platinum Corporate is our premier Geopolitical Forecasting service, purpose-built for the military, companies, asset managers, and institutional clients who need to stay decisively ahead of fast-moving geopolitical and macroeconomic developments. This elite offering builds upon the foundations of our Murrination Gold service, enhancing it with tailored predictive narrative strings—dynamic, forward-looking insights that help you anticipate key global shifts before they appear in mainstream discourse.

Murrinations Platinum Predictive strings - Follow the unfolding of news linked to a Murrination via email. At the top of each string is the Murrination image, title, and summary.

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One On One Monthly Q&A CC - A monthly hour-long Q and A session. Discussing the key topics of the past month and the next.

Currently subscriptions have to be renewed manually each 6 or 12 months. But starting from today newly purchased subscriptions will take advantage of our new integration with the payment provider Stripe and it's automated recurring payments systems. 

View a comprehensive table of subscriptions to get a complete overview of our products.

Join Murrinations Gold or Murrinations Platinum Corporate and gain the foresight to navigate what’s coming. 

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There are distinct hallmarks that often precede wars launched by authoritarian regimes, led by highly narcissistic leaders —patterns of behaviour that signal a nation has embarked on an inevitable road to war. These include:

1. An expansive and aggressive sense of national energy or destiny
2. Initiation of rearmament programs with associated revolutions in military affairs- seeking asymmetric militray advantage.
3. The systematic suppression of truth and dissent within society
4. The manipulation of historical narratives and the proliferation of state propaganda
5. A heightened belief in national exceptionalism or historic mission
6. The framing of existential security imperatives requiring preemptive action
7. The dominating influence of the leader’s personal ego and desire for an incredible legacy
8. A manufactured sense of urgency—whether due to the ageing of the leader, perceived windows of opportunity, or the desire to correct so-called historic injustices

These warning signs were visible in Putin’s rationale before he invaded Ukraine, and are increasingly echoed in Xi Jinping’s ambitions toward Taiwan.

Both leaders exhibit a convergence of ideological, personal, and strategic motivations that align with this dangerous autocratic pattern, one that history shows almost always ends in war.

Which partially explains how we arrived at this moment............................

SUBSCRIBE TO- Murrinations Gold

Trump has been escalating pressure on Putin all week following his ultimatum to impose 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian oil. This aggressive move marks a significant shift in his stance toward Moscow.

While Trump has claimed that he ordered the forward movement of two U.S. ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) towards Russia, our evaluation is that this is likely just posturing, given that deterrent US submarines are always within range of Russian targets, especially since the invasion of Ukraine. —The message is still clear. After a lifetime of appearing aligned with Russian interests, it seems the tide may be turning.

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This could indicate that Trump is now serious about halting Putin’s war in Ukraine by forcing him to stop through direct economic and strategic pressure.

For more on our Ukraine forecasts as tensions inevitably rise, stay tuned to our upcoming analysis.

SUBSCRIBE TO- Murrinations Gold

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Dear Arkite,

Listen to the latest The State Of It podcast now!

In the second episode of Season 5 of the State of It podcast, David and Horatio talk about the state of the Iran-Israel conflict and how it may expand into a much larger conflict than what people currently believe.

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Listen Now

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