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If not, then you need to know.

Global Forecaster emphasises weapons and war not out of fascination with destruction but because history shows human evolution has been shaped most decisively by conflict. Revolutions in Military Affairs (RMAs), often emerging at the peaks of long K-wave and war-wave cycles, have enabled rising powers to challenge or overturn hegemonies. By analysing weapons innovation alongside enduring variables—national character, empire cycles, leadership, industrial and borrowing power, strategy, intelligence, command structures, and the balance of firepower and mobility—we gain foresight into when and how major wars erupt.

To  learn more read our new ground breaking Murrination series.

How Revolutions in Military Affairs Change Geopolitical Landscapes 1: The Shaping of Empires | David Murrin

Because you cannot afford not To Know!

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Dear Arkite,

You can listen to my latest The State Of IT podcast episode, The New World Order?, now!

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Horatio and David Murrin discuss a shifting world order: a declining, alliance-strained U.S.-led West versus a rising, industrially scaled China at the centre of an “axis of autocracy.” David argues China has converted economic weight into military power (missiles, drones, hypersonics), created large anti-access/area-denial zones, and now holds the upper hand.

David foresees a decade-long global conflict cycle unless the West urgently mobilises industrially and militarily, coheres alliances, and creates a “firebreak” by decisively backing Ukraine. India and Turkey are portrayed as pivotal fence-sitters; Taiwan is the likeliest trigger, potentially cascading into a wider Pacific war. David is sharply critical of Western leadership—especially Trump—for fragmenting alliances and slowing the response.

Listen Now

Dear Arkite,

In June of this year, when mainstream outlets were still debating Israel's next move on Iran, and if they would strike Iran's nuclear facilities, Murrinations Gold members already knew where the situation was heading with a 36-hour warning—and how to prepare.

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That’s the power of foresight.

• No more drowning in yesterday’s headlines.

• No more confusion about what really matters.

• Just clear insights, twice weekly, giving you the strategic advantage.

👉 Go Gold today and unlock full access to every Murrination, every forecast, and every recommended action.

There is so much material on the website that I am slowly ploughing through. For you, having created it and lived it over nearly 20 years, connecting all concepts in the site is like breathing.  I will continue to revisit, since there is so much to take on, I can't fully appreciate nor comprehend it at the first reading.  I very much look forward to the Murrinations, which you publish and the Forecaster writings.  I also sense that many who read your material will become depressed and never want to see it again, hoping that everything will be ok. Unfortunately, the ostrich strategy is not a good one for survival! Murrinations do not appear to appeal to the warblind!!!

Phil Andryc

Don't be left out in the rain—because in a world this uncertain, foresight isn’t optional, it’s essential.

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A Gold-level subscription gives you full access to my Murrinations on the website.

Talk soon,

David

If you are already a Gold-level subscriber why not share this message with friends, family or colleagues to help them navigate these difficult times.

Dear Arkite,

Imagine if you could see the underlying forces driving the news cycle—long before they hit the front page.

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That’s what Gold members of Murrinations receive:

• Clarity: separating signal from noise.

• Depth: connecting geopolitics, economics, military affairs, and environmental change.

• Foresight: predictions rooted in historical cycles and human behaviour models.

• Action: not just what’s happening, but what to do about it.

Mainstream media reacts. Murrinations forecasts.

Gold isn’t just another subscription—it’s your guide to understanding the world in real time.

On September 2, 1945, during the formal surrender of Japan aboard the USS Missouri, General Douglas MacArthur delivered a speech marking the end of World War II. One of the most famous lines from his address was:

"It is my earnest hope—and indeed the hope of all mankind—that from this solemn occasion, a better world shall emerge out of the blood and carnage of the past, a world founded upon faith and understanding, a world dedicated to the dignity of man and the fulfilment of his most cherished wish—for freedom, tolerance, and justice."

This speech of hope emphasised peace and reconstruction and the noble desire to learn the lessons from war's devastation. However, 80 years on, our weakness and greed, as well as the unfolding of WW3, demonstrate that we have squandered that gift of peace and now will face the consequences. 

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👉 Tomorrow, I’ll share how Gold members are already using these insights to stay one step ahead.

Until then,

David

If you are already a Gold-level subscriber why not share this message with friends, family or colleagues to help them navigate these difficult times.

Dear Arkite,

We've made a number of improvements to the website recently to give you a better experience and to help you navigate the site. These include a new main menu on desktop machines and a revamped media section that now contains 120 posts, including lectures, podcasts, interviews and webinars!

You don’t need more news. You need better foresight.

Find that here:

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Have a good weekend,

David

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Introduction

Global Forecaster’s predictive power lies in its unique holographic model, where every theme is interconnected and new information can reshape the whole picture in real time. To make this worldview more accessible, we are introducing a new categorisation system for all Murrinations, structured around our core theories and themes—from the Five Stages of Empire and K-Wave cycles to global politics, science, markets, and strategy. This framework, first revealed in our new overview map, will allow readers to explore topics in detail through the search function. Going forward, all Murrinations will be organised within this system, and past ones will gradually be updated—creating a clearer, more accessible window into Global Forecaster’s strategic worldview.

Our  geopolitical model functions like a three-dimensional hologram,

One of the reasons our predictive tools are so powerful is that our geopolitical model functions like a three-dimensional hologram, where every topic is interconnected. A single piece of significant information can shift the alignment of the entire matrix, reshaping the bigger picture in real time.

In our recent open Murrination, Understanding the Interconnected World of Global Forecaster we outlined both the core themes of our model and many examples of how our forecasts have consistently anticipated unfolding events.

1.0 - The Origins of Murrinations
2.0 - Aspirations
3.0 - Global Trader
4.0 - Global Forecaster Strategy and Future
5.0 - Our Theories
6.0 - Five Stages of Empire
7.0 - K-Wave and War Cycles
8.0 - Polarisation and the Road to War
9.0 - The Theory of Anti-Entropic Human Evolution - Lateralisation
10.0 - Escalation into WW3
11.0 - Grand Strategy
12.0 - Weapons
13.0 - COVID, AKA the Wuhan Pandemic
14.0 - Monitoring Other Countries
15.0 - Global Politics
16.0 - Science
17.0 - Finance and Markets
18.0 - Philosophy 
19.0 - Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAPs)
20.0 - My Annual Predictions

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A New Visual World View 

To stay ahead, it is essential to see the the big Picture from above -not in fragments, but as an interconnected whole.As the saying goes, a picture is worth a thousand words. Below, we reveal for the first time to the public how our 3D hologram of interconnected dynamics can be compressed into 2D. The first image presents the Global Forecaster overview map, while the second offers a more detailed view of its inner workings.

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This framework is one of the secret sources behind our ability to stay consistently ahead of the news—providing not only clarity on the present but also foresight into the trajectory of the world’s future.

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New Infomational Organisation of Murrinations

Using this worldview map, we will henceforth categorise all our Murrinations so that, under the search function, you can explore each topic in detail. We will begin applying this system to new Murrinations going forward, and in time we will also apply it retrospectively to past ones. In doing so, I hope to create a new dimension of accessibility to Global Forecaster’s worldview.

So stay ahead and see the the big Picture 

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Dear Arkite,

Every day, headlines fight for your attention. Breaking news. Urgent alerts. Endless commentary.

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But here’s the catch:

• The news tells you what just happened, not what’s coming.

• It overwhelms you with details, while leaving out the bigger picture.

• And it rarely offers context—so you’re left to piece it all together yourself.

No wonder so many people feel informed yet unprepared.

We believe information should empower you, not confuse you. That’s why we don’t just recount yesterday—we help you anticipate tomorrow.

See how we help readers move from information overload to real understanding:

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👉 In my next email, I’ll show you how foresight changes the way you read world events.

Talk soon,

David

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Are you one of the hedge funds piling into the “Rebuild Ukraine” trade, betting on peace after Trump’s talks with Putin in Alaska? If so, you’ve clearly not been reading Murrinations insights—where we explain why peace is nowhere near breaking out.

Some managers are “salivating” at the prospect of a $486bn reconstruction boom, chasing Morgan Stanley’s “Rebuild Ukraine” basket of stocks like Vinci, Heidelberg Materials, Assa Abloy, Holcim, CRH, and Buzzi. But this is classic FOMO investing—misreading geopolitics, mistiming markets, and mistaking noise for signal.

At Murrinations Corporate Platinum, we cut through the hype and show you the real trajectory of this war and its market consequences. Before you chase the wrong trade, get the analysis that matters.

CHOOSE YOUR SUBSCRIPTION | David Murrin

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Dear Arkite,

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"Tom welcomes David Murrin to the Competent Man to explore the importance of resilience and lateral thinking in navigating the challenges facing society. Murrin shares his personal journey as a dyslexic individual who developed unique problem-solving abilities through adversity. He argues that lateral thinkers, often misunderstood, possess valuable skills that are crucial for leadership and innovation, especially as the world faces increasing conflict and disruption. David emphasizes the need for educational systems that nurture diverse learning styles and the importance of parents deliberately fostering resilience in their children through exposure to hardship and challenges. He cautions against the dangers of overprotection, which can stifle personal growth and adaptability.

Murrin also delves into the dynamics of partner selection, advocating for lateral individuals to seek compatible matches to cultivate fulfilling relationships. Looking ahead, David foresees a looming "extinction event" for linear thinkers as artificial intelligence increasingly automates repetitive tasks. He believes lateral individuals, with their ability to think creatively and adapt, will be better positioned to thrive in this shifting landscape. Ultimately, Murrin emphasises the importance of self-awareness, emotional intelligence, and a willingness to confront one's fears as key components of building resilience and competence, both on an individual and societal level."

Watch Now

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A Message from David Murrin

When I launched Murrinations Gold in 2019, my mission was clear: to provide investment-grade geopolitical insight that cuts through the noise of an increasingly chaotic world. Over the past six years, I’ve dedicated myself to delivering high-integrity analysis, helping readers not only understand the forces shaping our era, but also to anticipate what comes next.

Today, that mission is more vital than ever.

In an age defined by misinformation and narrative manipulation, Murrinations Gold has become a rare and trusted source of strategic clarity. True foresight doesn’t emerge from consensus—it’s built on reality-tested models of human systems, historical cycles, and a deep understanding of geopolitical and economic dynamics.

1.0 Our track record speaks for itself.

Over the past few years, we’ve made a series of highly accurate and time-sensitive predictions: Some of the Biggest have been:

• The Pandemic: We forecast the arrival of COVID-19 three months before it hit Europe, and identified Omicron as its natural endpoint.
• World War III: We predicted the onset of global conflict in 2022 two decades ago, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—six months in advance and, more precisely, a week before it occurred. We continue to track its evolution closely.
• Middle East War: On October 8th—immediately following the Hamas massacre—we forecast the strategic phases of Israel’s campaign, from Gaza to Hezbollah. We also warned that once Iran’s proxy threats were neutralised, Israel would strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. To that end, we provided a 24-hour alert ahead of the first strike and a 12-hour warning before the US B2 bombers launched.

So, the question is no longer why follow Murrinations—but whether you can afford not to.

2.0 What’s New at Murrinations Gold?

Our core product, Murrinations Gold, has evolved far beyond its original scope. As global instability accelerates, it has become my most personal and dynamic body of work—an extension of the themes from Breaking the Code of History, updated in real time and pushed into new strategic frontiers.

We’ve enhanced the offering with the following new features:

• Summaries and Key Predictions are included with each post for faster, clearer takeaways.
• Weekly Digest Emails sent to subscribers—so you can catch up quickly with all the critical insights from the past week.

3.0 Introducing: Murrinations Platinum for Corporates

For organisations seeking a deeper edge, our new Murrinations Platinum corporate tier offers an expanded, bespoke advisory service. This includes:

• Extended prediction threads linked to Murrinations Gold content
• Strategic insights tailored for decision-makers in finance, security, and industry
• Direct access to our team for briefings and risk assessments

Now is the moment to stay ahead, not behind.

Join Murrinations Gold or Murrinations Platinum Corporate and gain the foresight to navigate what’s coming. 

CHOOSE YOUR SUBSCRIPTION | David Murrin