Arkite Alerts Archive

Welcome to the archive of Arkite Alerts, Global Forecaster's free newsletter notifying subscribers of the latest news, podcasts, interviews, Global Trader performance reviews and more.

Arkite: the name derived from my Arkent Strategy to navigate, survive and thrive through the great shift.

Disclosure Day

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Yesterday, I went to see the film Disclosure.

There is absolutely no doubt that Steven Spielberg is one of the great filmmakers of our time.

His first major film on the UFO phenomenon—now more commonly referred to as UAPs (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena)—Close Encounters of the Third Kind, was a huge success when it was released. What few people realise is that elements of the story were reportedly inspired by events associated with Holloman Air Force Base UFO landing. The story is most commonly dated to 1964 at Holloman Air Force Base. According to the UAP legend,  three disc-shaped craft approached the base, one landed, and non-human entities allegedly met with military and intelligence personnel.

His latest offering is equally relevant to the UAP/USO topic, at a time when the drive for NHI disclosure has moved from the fringe into mainstream political discussion in Congress and the White House. The DOW's release of previously classified files on UAPs has been formally mandated by the Trump administration (we argue, with distraction in mind). Whilst progress appears frustratingly slow to those who closely follow the subject and are aware of teh immense body of clear evidence, there can be no doubt that we are in a soft disclosure process that will inevitably lead to a big reveal sooner than many realise.

Disclosure Day draws on witness testimony and evidence provided by a growing number of whistleblowers; Spielberg's latest film is far more than a science-fiction fantasy. It reflects many of the themes and questions now emerging from official investigations and public testimony.

In the process, it tackles what may prove to be the defining question of the twenty-first century: the reality that humanity is not alone and that we are moving steadily towards full disclosure of that complex reality. We would even go further and suggest that this film is part of a long, tightly controlled process to prepare society for the real day of disclosure.

If you find the UAP/NHI topic difficult to grasp, we recommend signing up for Murrinations Gold and reading our extensive series on the subject, accompanied by a wealth of predictive strings that make our work one of the best accessible sources of knowledge on the UAP and NHI topic. Over some twenty-three Murrinations,  we examine the evidence, the scientific arguments, and the growing body of high-quality military and intelligence testimony suggesting this phenomenon is both real and eminently worthy of serious study.

If you prefer not to have your assumptions challenged, then do not be surprised when reality suddenly intrudes upon them.

But if you are curious, sign up for Murrinations and learn more. The evidence may challenge what you think you know about our place in the universe.

Can you afford not to know?

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Are you Curious About My Unified Theory Of Mankind?

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Can you afford not to know?

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Starmer 's Wilful Destruction of the Royal Navy Would Make Nelson Turn In His Grave

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In our recent Murrination Starmer 31: His Wilful  Destruction of the Royal Navy would Make Nelson Turn In His Grave, we warn that Starmer and his Labour Government are doing what our enemies have failed to achieve since the Dutch raided the Medway in June 1667, during the Second Anglo-Dutch War (1665–1667). When a Dutch fleet commanded by Lieutenant-Admiral Michiel de Ruyter sailed up the Thames Estuary and into the River Medway, attacking England's principal naval anchorage at Chatham.

Because Starmer is bringing a once-proud and strong British nation to its knees as our enemies of China, Russia and Iran gather their forces against us to do us most grievous harm.

 

Introduction

Today Britain faces the worst maritime threat it has faced for decades. From the blatant acts of hostility of Putin's Northern fleet, as we outlined in 

Combined with the war in the Gulf and the blockade of the Strait and the Red Sea, which constitutes acts of war against the UK's economic prosperity, as we have outlined in

Taken together, it is clear that Britain is now facing its most serious defence crisis since the start of the Second World War. This time, however, the threat is not solely the result of hostile actions by our enemies, whether Nazi Germany and Japan in the past or Russia and China today. Rather, it is a crisis of our own making which has been accelerated by Starmers willful destruction of the UK's defences

In our Murrination series 

We explained how decades of wilful neglect have hollowed out what was once one of the world's most respected military powers and who was/is responsible for this lamentable catastrophe unfolding before our eyes.

Much of the responsibility lies with successive Conservative governments, which repeatedly delayed difficult decisions, cut force levels and underfunded defence as outlined in Sunak 15; PM has Wilfully Made the UK Defenceless

Yet the situation has worsened manyfold under the destructive leadership of Starmer's Labour Government, which, while loving to blame the Conservatives, is clearly unwilling to rectify the problem and provide the Armed Forces with the resources required to rapidly rebuild and to once more effectively deter aggression and defend Britain's interests.

Since taking office, Starmer and his Labour Party have accelerated the pattern of delay and underinvestment to new disastrous levels. The new  Defence Investment Plan (DIP), which will be announced tomorrow, and we fear Stamer will continue this dangerous trend of the willful destruction of the Royal Navy

Labour Ministers have relied on blatant lies and accounting tricks, counting future spending commitments as present expenditure and claiming to be delivering the largest increase in defence spending for a generation. However, the electorate increasingly sees through such claims. While government spending on social programmes continues to rise, Britain's military capabilities continue to decline. Starmers Britain 21; SDR 2025: Britain Remains Defenceless as It Prepares for Conflict at a Glacial Pace.

 

If you are concerned by the fate of the Royal Navy, and wish to make your voice heard Sign this petition

The next question is, can you afford not to know what comes next as the War in the Gulf Restarts?

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Ukriane Is Gaining The Upper Hand Over Putin

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Well over three months after GF predicted that the pendulum was swinging in Ukraine’s favour, in our Murrination  WW3 106; The Battle For Ukraine 92; Russian Exhaustion, Desperation and Retreat articles like this have become commonplace in the Press.

 

8 June 2026, Ukraine is turning the tide against Putin. What happens next should terrify Europe

Moscow's forces are steadily ceding ground to Ukrainian advances as their logistics networks come under sustained attack. Russian conscripts are dying in their thousands as Ukrainian drones relentlessly target troop concentrations, supply depots, and transport routes far behind the front lines. At home, economic pressures are mounting. Rising prices, punitive taxation, and declining living standards are fuelling public discontent. At a recent meeting of senior economic officials in the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin reportedly acknowledged that Russia's GDP had contracted by almost 2 per cent in 2026. Behind closed doors, both the finance ministry and central bank warned of growing threats to economic stability. Finance Minister Anton Siluanov is said to have cautioned Putin that the country's fiscal position is deteriorating rapidly as Russia edges towards recession.

This reversal has not occurred by chance. Ukraine has quietly pursued a ruthless and highly effective twin-track strategy: systematically degrading Russia's military capability on the battlefield while simultaneously undermining the economic foundations that sustain the Kremlin's war effort.

 

Can you afford not to know what is coming next?

Family Resilience Preparations: Why Now?

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As global geopolitical tensions continue to rise, the likelihood of a major international conflict—potentially World War III—is no longer speculative but increasingly probable.

Escalations in the Russia–Ukraine conflict, Iran–Israel-US ongoing war, and the US–China Pacific competition reflect a breakdown in diplomacy and a loss of deterrent power across the West.

NATO leaders are sounding the alarm, urging both governments and civilians to adopt a "whole-of-society" defence mindset.

While countries like Sweden and Finland are renewing civil defence efforts, the UK remains critically underprepared, lacking both effective missile defence systems and updated contingency plans.

Some governments are now reviving Cold War-era strategies such as the War Book, and households are being encouraged to build resilience against threats ranging from cyberattacks to energy supply disruptions.

In this context, proactive preparation—by both the state and individuals—is not alarmist, but necessary.

So, have you read Global Forecasters Series On  Family Resilience Preparations 1: Why Now?

Can You Afford not To be Briefed By David as his predictions come true?

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Global forecaster David Murrin is now available for speaking engagements and strategic briefings on the rapidly escalating wars in Ukraine and the Gulf, and their profound implications for the global economy and financial markets.

His analysis focuses on the emerging supply shock across energy and commodities, the inflationary consequences of prolonged geopolitical conflict, and the growing risk of a historic global bond bear market as governments confront rising military spending, fractured trade routes and structural inflation.

David provides a unique macro-geopolitical framework linking war, resources, debt and financial instability at a time of extraordinary accelerating global transition.

Engage David | David Murrin

 

Do you want to follow the news or get ahead of it?

 

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1 May 2026, Iran has trapped Trump

Almost 8 weeks after we published our Murrination  Iran's War on Israel and America 25:Trump is Caught In An Iranian Bear Trap, the penny is dropping in the public domain with Mertzs comment about Iran Humiliating Trump and articles like this in the Telegraph-

The article argues that Iran has placed Trump in a strategic bind by turning the conflict into a test of endurance rather than outright military strength. While the US has achieved significant battlefield successes and imposed a blockade aimed at crippling Iran’s economy, Tehran has countered by effectively disrupting global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, creating worldwide economic pressure. As a result, Trump faces a difficult choice: resume military strikes, risking regional escalation and further instability, or accept a diplomatic settlement that delays resolving Iran’s nuclear programme. The current middle-ground strategy—maintaining the blockade—appears unlikely to force Iran to concede, meaning the longer the standoff continues, the more both sides remain locked in a costly and unresolved confrontation.

So the question is, do you want to follow the news or get ahead of it?

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Wake Up The British Lion and Throw off The Yoke of Starmers Defeatism

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Establish and fund a UK National Defence Reinvestment Programme

We urge the Government to launch a National Defence Reinvestment Programme, beginning with an initial capital investment equivalent to 5% of GDP. We are concerned the UK has become dangerously underprepared after decades of under-investment in defence (the so-called post–Cold War “peace dividend”).

The Programme should include:

Immediate strategic investment in building stockpiles and critical infrastructure for homeland defence.

Sustained annual defence investment to ensure Britain possesses the forces, industrial base, and technological edge it needs.

Rebuild national resilience to prioritise air and missile defence, munitions production, advanced technologies, cyber security, and the protection of critical infrastructure.

Strengthen our defence industrial base and review how to better support NATO.

Ensure a credible deterrence for the UK.

Sign this petition

Arkent Fund Hits The Ball Out Of the Park in Q1 2026

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On 23 November 2023, in response to multiple high-net-worth (HNW) client requests, we created an unleveraged, long-only fund that would be simple to manage, with a long-term investment horizon and low turnover, aligned with our strategic view of market moves driven by the rally into the K wave cycle peak in 2030.

We called it Arkent fund after the Biblical Ark, i.e., a vessel/investment fund to survive the financial flood ahead.

The results have been outstanding so far...

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Q1 2026

At the end of Q4 2025, we made the bold switch fully out of precious metals, which comprsied 53% of our portfolio, into energy in anticipation of a war with Iran driving oil much higher. That investment decision paid off in spades, yielding a 25.42% unleveraged return in Q1.

So, if you are an HNW, can you afford not to know Global Forecasters Arkent Strategy?

Engage David | David Murrin

 

 

The Massive Future Social Impact of AI

 

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In our The AI Revolution; Part 3, published over three years ago, we warned that-

The advantages of AI are obvious and include streamlining iterative processes, saving time and money, eliminating bias, and automating repetitive tasks. But like any technological revolution, there will be short-term consequences of massive unemployment in the high-tech nations, which will burden the social security systems. In effect, AI will quickly replace the iterative tasks in human societies. But is a long way from being able to replace the lateral and creative functions in society.

Thus, our long-term prediction is that, over the next generations, AI technology will change the ratio of lateral to linear people in a technological society, lateralising future human societies. Such a process could be very brutal, as it removes employment opportunities for linear thinkers, creating major social discord, lowering incomes, and ultimately forcing adaptations and lower breeding rates for the linear sector within society.

Today, Our Warning to the linear Thinkers is unfolding as affirmed by Antropic's March employment report and How AI Will Favour Lateral and Practical Thinking Over Linear Thinking (aka Neurodiversity)

 

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In a recent interview, the CEO of Palantir Technologies offered a direct and provocative view of the future of work. He stated, “There are basically two ways to know you have a future. One, you have some vocational training. Or two, you’re neurodivergent.”

As AI systems continue to advance, many traditional white-collar tasks—such as coding, writing, and analytical work—are becoming increasingly automated. This shift is already changing which skills hold value in the labour market. Some roles are inherently more exposed than others, particularly those composed of structured, repeatable tasks. At present, AI adoption is clustering in areas such as:

  • Computer and mathematical fields
  • Business and finance
  • Office and administrative work
  • Legal, education, and parts of the media

These sectors rely heavily on language processing, logical structures, and predictable workflows—domains where AI performs well.

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In contrast, the following areas remain significantly more resistant to automation:

  • Construction
  • Agriculture
  • Installation and repair
  • Transport
  • Healthcare and personal care (hands-on roles)

These fields depend on physical presence, real-time judgment, and complex interaction with the physical world—capabilities that AI currently struggles to replicate.

In summary:

  • Work that is predictable, digital, and repeatable is increasingly exposed to AI automation.
  • Work that is physical, context-driven, and human-led will be in future ever more exposed to robotic advances
  • Neurodiversity based on lateral thinking will become an ever more premium quality.

Looking ahead, organisations are likely to reassess how they evaluate talent. There will be a shift away from traditional credentials and toward practical skills, adaptability, and non-linear (lateral) thinking. This transition may elevate candidates with unconventional profiles and, as GF argues, could contribute to a broader shift in the social and economic paradigm.

 

This is just another example of how Global Forecaster keeps you ahead of The Heard!

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