The Emerging New World

The King is dead, long live the King. The kleptocracy of King Bob has now ended to great applause. But what does come next for the oppressed and long-suffering people of Zimbabwe?

Whilst continuing to believe that the Democratic Alliance (DA) will win the 2019 election, there is one area that is a weak spot for the party.

The Democratic Alliance, on the other hand, is a very different proposition for SA’s future. It is a party of wealth creation, which is what the nation most requires, with a proven track record of effective governance. Now, it has a black rather than white leader which gives them general appeal. There has been, and will continue to be, a massive shift in sentiment as the population no longer chooses a party for its past associations like the ANC, but for its ability to govern and give its children a bright economic future.

The phase of dictatorship ended after Mandela’s death and the pendulum swung back to a form of leadership that was at the other side of the swing. In this case, the old tribal values of hierarchical power, self-aggrandisement and corruption. This process began during Thabo Mbeki’s regime and is now prolific with Jacob Zuma, to the point where it has impaired the growth of the nation in every way possible. The swing in this case was also away from Mandela’s belief that leadership should serve the people towards one where leadership serves itself.

I have been asked with increasing frequency regarding my outlook for SA, set against what feels to be a wave of negative sentiment for the country’s future. Coincidently, I had the privilege of giving a speech in Cape Town on March 31st, 2017. It was the day after Zuma had enacted his ‘night of the long knives’ on his Cabinet. The mood amongst the ‘white tribe’ was very dark indeed. I would go so far as to say the darkest collective sentiment I have ever witnessed. What interested me was that this darkness was not really a reflection of current events.

I consider South Africa to be my second home and have a love for this nation with its beauty, investment potential, warm population and close family ties. As such, I have been a close observer of its political and social development for well over a decade.

China’s civil war between the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and Nationalist Kuomintang (KMT) started in 1927 and ended in 1950. This civil war was the third largest war in human history, and it concluded with the KMT losing the mainland war, escaping to Formosa and founding Taiwan or as it is officially known the Republic of China (ROC).

History remembers the Fall of Troy, caused by the disastrous decision to drag the Trojan Horse through the gates of Troy past its impenetrable walls. But it is less clear about the discussions and warnings that must have taken place as to whether such an action was appropriate.

Today Britain finds herself with the dubious self-proclaimed title of China’s “Best Partner in the West”, but how has this come about and is it a wise course of action?

According to the BTCH five stages of Empire model, at the end of the first stage which is regionalisation, a nation or region passes through the Darwinian fire of a regional civil war. To the observer this may look like a chaotic process, but in reality this is just another example of natural selection at work within the human social structure.