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Insights from the Black Lives Matter Movement Part 2: American Social Integration

Riots
Although America and Britain speak the same language, they exhibit many fundamental differences with respect to social integration of its various races. Today in Britain, based on a 2011 census, some 86% were white; 8% Asian and 3% of African Black decent. Whilst in America today, the total non Hispanic white population is some 60.4%; Hispanics are 21% and those of African Black decent 13%.

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Insights On the Black Lives Matter Movement Part 1 ; Slavery and Democracy

BLM
Human societies have always been and continue to be hierarchical. This means that intrinsically there are those with greater opportunities than others. The historical shift from early human organisational systems, like the Roman empire, that typified the most extreme hierarchies with up to 80% being slaves within their society, to today’s equivalent, if not less Draconian Russian and Chinese structures, has taken two millennia. This represents a trend of greater empowerment of the individual, that in turn increases the net productiveness of a human system.

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The Battle At The Heart Of The Boris Government Part 2

Boris
Whilst the Boris government’s response has been lamentable through every stage of the pandemic crisis, I have explained in The Battle At The Heart Of The Boris Government, the processes behind such a mess, as the right brained leadership battles with a left brained governmental system:

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Delusion Meets Reality

The Ark
Although the last couple of weeks might have seemed relatively quiet in the financial markets, I believe the scene has been set for interesting times ahead, as our Phase 3 scenario begins to coalesce and volatility increases dramatically.

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Did The CCP Intentionally Release the Wuhan Pandemic?

Xi and Bio weapon
This Murrination follows my article Are We At War written on 30th March 2020 which will give context to the key questions that need to be asked.  Early in January 2020, I was one of the first commentators who expressed the view that I was 90% certain the Wuhan Virus came out of a laboratory.

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Here Comes Americas Pushback

US China
Since February, when the Wuhan pandemic began to spread across the world, Trump and America have been on the back foot. The USA has mismanaged the domestic response and ensured that the Fed printed enough money to keep the ship afloat, at least in the short term. During that period, Xi has manifested aggression on multiple fronts that leave his intentions clear to the world. However, now that Trumps bellwether, (the stock market), has apparently stabilised, the economy is unlocking. Most importantly, the US Presidential campaign is building momentum.

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The Wuhan Pandemic Sitrep Part 2

virus
Global Government Responses

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The Wuhan Pandemic Sitrep Part 1

Wuhan today
As of today, there have been eight million people infected and 433,500 dead as a result of the Wuhan Virus. America has been brutally hit with 2m infected and curves are still rising. Russia has also been badly hit with some 546,500 infected  which on top of the Russian economic crisis will be putting Putin under enormous pressure. However the epicentre of the spread now seems to be in Latin America with Brazil being the worse to be hit. Thus it is clear that this Wuhan pandemic is still in very much in progress.

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The Denial of Decline

The Denial of Decline
My work as a global forecaster, predicting change in the form of geopolitical shifts and market moves can, at times, be immensely challenging due to the collective human emotion of denial. Seeing a future shift or change of large magnitude and warning the majority of people before time, is immensely frustrating and mostly unrewarding, as they do not want to hear any deviation from what they want to hear.

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Ten Predictions For The Rest of 2020

Ten Predictions For The Rest of 2020
1.      The current delusional gap between economic reality and the stock market will close. The Phase 2 correction will end imminently and, following a sharp reversal sentiment, will swing to the other extreme during a six-month decline of up to 80% from the February highs in European stock markets and only a slightly smaller fall in America. As the reality gap closes, the social mood of populations will become markedly darker and there will be increasing social unrest due to economic stress on the lower and middle classes.

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