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Brexit Part 2: On the way to a "No Deal"

If we compare today's Brexit with our two past examples of the English civil war and Henry VIIIs reformation we find an anomaly in the new British cycle. At the bottom of the British national cycle post-1970 there was a continuity of governance unseen in past cycles due to the framework of the super western Christian empire. Whilst continuity accelerated Britain's recovery time considerably, its' downside was that the legacy leadership structures of the nation remained in place, rather than evolving through a period of chaos which would have allowed new leadership to rise to the fore.

The three deadly sins of Philip Hammond

While I am told that Hammond is a very pleasant chap, I have to take issue with his political record, policies and the damage he has done to our nation. There are three areas where he should be held accountable, any one of which should end his political career.

Defence Policy

Lessons from the 2017 UK election Part II: Navigating Britain out of this mess

We, as individuals and nations learn the most from our mistakes. Especially, from the painful ones! So, the first step for the Conservatives is to take a deep breath and digest the lessons from the election, before choosing the path forward (see yesterday's Murrination). In that regard, the Conservatives are correct in keeping May as the PM and falling in behind her for a short time at least.

Lessons from the 2017 UK election Part I

After such a calamitous election result, it is time to take stock and analyse the lessons; lessons that should provide a guide as to how Britain can navigate its path through what could be a challenging but ultimately, very positive journey. However, before we do that, it is time to review our Breaking the Code of History (BTCH) predictions for UK politics going into the polls and most importantly, which key lessons can be learned from our failed expectations:

Brexit Part XXVIII: May's wobble

The closure of the difference between the polls of the Conservatives and Labour has caused great consternation to those who thought it would be a landslide victory. However, the reason is very simple. May has tried to follow the path of Blair and Cameron in occupying the centre ground when the vast majority of the electorate requires a move to the right with the associated wealth creation policies.

Post-Brexit: new potential South African friends

Using the model from ‘Breaking the Code of History’, we have identified that Britain has started a new cycle. The UK ‘bottomed out’ in 1970, completed its regionalisation stage in 2016 with its Brexit referendum, and is now in a phase of expansion once more. As such, we should expect its foreign and trade policies to encourage Britain to seek new partners across the globe.

Brexit Part XXVII: May calling a general election

Prime Minister May’s call for an election should not have taken anyone by surprise. The surprise was that she had not announced it sooner. The Conservatives were not elected with May as their leader and she did not want to make the same mistake as Gordon Brown who was never endorsed by the people and served out an ignominious short term as PM. Following such a divisive referendum, May and the Conservatives need a resounding mandate to push through the Brexit negotiations using the risk of a no-deal outcome as the ultimate bargaining chip.

Brexit Part XXVI: The Gibraltar threat

In the Murrination, Brexit XIX: The EU referendum and the divorce process, Part III, we made the analogy between the divorce process of a married couple and Britain leaving the EU. In the section named ‘The aftermath’,  there is a point of reflection during this process that is critical to the outcome, and that is how well or badly the separation process unfolded. If it went smoothly, whereby both parties acted reasonably, then inevitably, the leaver might question the decision.

Transformation within Crisis: Part VI The arrival of Sentient Machines

Those who enjoy science fiction will already be familiar with the many films that feature Sentient Machines, some of which are benign manifestations and others much darker. The three films that best epitomise Sentient Machines that become set against their creators, mankind, are all series: "Battle Star Galactica", "The Matrix" and "The Terminator". None paint a rosy picture. Recently, some of the brightest scientific minds on the planet have warned that we are on a collision course for a war of survival against our own creations.

Transformation within Crisis: Part III The risk of a Chinese war of expansion

Over the past ten years I have written a great deal about the rise of China and its challenge to America. Especially, during the last eight years of rapid decay caused by Obama’s policies and specifically, the policies which have narrowed the America-China power gap considerably. However, the Chinese may have made a critical mistake, one encouraged by the over-confidence engendered by the recent speed of America's decline. Although, the decline of America has facilitated a rapid closure of the power gap, on an absolute basis the power gap is still very wide.

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