Example Predictive Strings Newsletter

Reform's Tidal Wave to Power

Summary

A powerful political shift to the right is sweeping across the West, and the UK is no exception. As Britain enters a critical phase in its empire and economic cycles, Reform UK—led by Nigel Farage—is rapidly emerging as the leading force for national revival. Farage, having delivered Brexit, now challenges the declining Conservatives and economically floundering Labour Party with a bold, Thatcher-like agenda. Reform's grassroots surge and local election victories signal its readiness to govern, while Labour’s Brexit reversals and policy failures deepen public frustration. If Farage can broaden his leadership appeal, distance himself from Trump, and build a competent team, he is well-positioned to lead a political revolution and become Britain’s next Prime Minister.

Predictive Strings

10th July 2025 Tory Ex-Chairman Sir Jake Berry Defects to Reform UK

Sir Jake Berry, the former chairman of the Conservative Party and a close ally of Boris Johnson, has defected to Reform UK, becoming the most senior Tory figure yet to join Nigel Farage’s insurgent party.

1.0 Conservatives Hard Hit

The announcement, made on Wednesday night in an article for The Sun, is a fresh blow to Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives, as Reform continues to outpace the Tories in several polls.

Berry, who lost his seat at the 2024 general election, said he could no longer support a party he believes has helped “break” the country. “Our streets are completely lawless. Migration is out of control. Taxes are going through the roof,” he wrote. “Millions of people, just like me, want a country they can be proud of again.”

Declaring his full support for Reform, Berry continued: “The only way we get that is with Reform in government. That’s why I’ve resigned from the Conservative Party. I’m now backing Reform UK and working to make them the next party of government.”

He praised Farage’s leadership, calling him “someone the country can actually trust. He doesn’t change his views to fit the mood of the day. And people respect that. So do I. That’s why I believe he should be our next Prime Minister.”

Farage welcomed the defection, describing Berry’s move as a “very brave decision,” and noted that Berry’s public acknowledgment that Conservative governments had failed the country was “unprecedented and principled.”

2.0 A Stinging Critique of the Tories

Berry did not hold back in his criticism of both Labour and Conservative governments over the past two decades, arguing that neither party had governed effectively. “If you were deliberately trying to wreck the country, you’d be hard-pressed to do a better job than the last two decades of Labour and Tory rule.”

He also accused the current Conservative Party of abandoning its principles: “For 25 years, I was proud to call myself a Conservative... But let’s not kid ourselves. Britain is broken. It didn’t start with Labour. The Conservative governments I was part of share the blame.”

Berry’s defection follows that of other high-profile Tory figures, including Lee Anderson MP, Marco Longhi, and Dame Andrea Jenkyns, all of whom have moved to Reform in recent months.

3.0…

Red Peril 43; China is Configuring for T-Day Invasion

Summary

World War III is reviving the tactics of World War II, with China's military preparing for large-scale amphibious operations reminiscent of D-Day, now aimed at Taiwan and potentially the wider Asian region. Beijing’s development of specialised jack-up invasion barges—akin to the Allies’ Mulberry Harbours—suggests a strategic intent to bypass Taiwan’s fortified beaches and deliver heavy forces directly to shore. These platforms significantly expand China's amphibious capabilities and signal that Xi Jinping’s ambitions go beyond Taiwan, aiming for regional dominance. The barges are designed for flexibility, allowing landings at unexpected, hard-to-defend coastal locations. Coupled with China’s vast navy and dual-use civilian vessels, they form the backbone of a likely invasion strategy. At the same time, Taiwan must pivot to an asymmetric, denial-based defence inspired by Ukraine’s survival against Russia—focusing on drones, missile defences, stockpiles, and cyber resilience. With Chinese military drills now escalating in frequency and scale, and Xi openly stating that the U.S. has no place in China's half of the Pacific, the evidence is mounting: a regional conflict is no longer theoretical, and the West must urgently recognise the scale of the coming storm.

Predictive Strings

This String Follows on From Red Peril 41. American War Blindness: Part 8, Vulnerability Exposed

8 July 2025 – REFORPAC 2025: International Team Conducts U.S. Air Force’s Largest Pacific Contingency Exercise

U.S. Pacific Air Forces (PACAF), together with over 12,000 personnel from allied and partner nations, launched Resolute Force Pacific (REFORPAC)—the U.S. Air Force’s most expansive Indo-Pacific contingency-response drill—in multiple locations, including Hawaiʻi, Guam, Japan, and international airspace. Running from 10 July to 8 August, the exercise tests rapid deployment and combat readiness using more than 350 aircraft across over 50 locations. Core capabilities covered include aircraft flight-line operations, munitions loading, hot-pit rapid refuelling, combat search and rescue, distributed logistics, and multi-national air-to-air refuelling.

PACAF Commander Gen. Kevin Schneider emphasised the need for forces to operate in “austere conditions, with degraded networks… while under attack,” and highlighted the exercise’s focus on resilience and agility. The drill incorporates Air National Guard units like the 188th Wing (MQ‑9 Reaper ISR, hot-pit refuel) and forward-located temporary wings (e.g., Misawa AB’s 35th AEW) to simulate high-tempo operations far from main bases. This marks a resurgence of U.S.-led large-scale joint airpower projection in response to contested Indo-Pacific security dynamics. 

10 July 2025 – Chinese Fighter Jets Make Dangerous…

WW3; 33 - The Battle For The Red Sea Has Changed War At Sea Forever

Predictive Strings

10 July 2025 Houthi Rebels Sink Second Cargo Ship in a Week, Kill and Capture Crew Members

1.0 The Sinking of the Eternity C

Houthi rebels have killed and captured several crew members after attacking and sinking a second cargo ship in the Red Sea, escalating their maritime campaign.

The most recent incident involved the Eternity C, which was struck repeatedly over three days by drone boats, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles, according to Houthi sources. The vessel ultimately sank on Wednesday.

At least four of the ship’s 25 crew members were killed—three from the Philippines and one from Greece. Ten others were rescued from the water, according to a statement by Operation Aspides, the EU’s regional maritime force. However, the remaining crew remain unaccounted for, and some are believed to have been captured by Houthi naval units.

“After killing their shipmates, sinking their ship, and hampering rescue efforts, the Houthi terrorists have kidnapped many surviving crew members of the Eternity C,” the U.S. Embassy in Yemen said in a statement.

The Houthis claim they targeted the vessel because it was en route to an Israeli port. Video footage released by the group shows explosions aboard the ship and militants calling for the crew to abandon ship prior to its sinking.

2.0 The Sinking of the Magic Seas

This attack follows the July 6 sinking of the Magic Seas, a Greek-owned merchant vessel. That four-hour assault involved sea drones and militants in skiffs armed with rocket-propelled grenades (RPGs). Although all 22 crew members were initially rescued and taken to Djibouti by a passing ship, the Houthis later boarded and destroyed the abandoned vessel using explosives.

These two attacks mark a significant escalation in the Houthi campaign to disrupt maritime traffic linked to Israel. The group's increased use of sophisticated weaponry and willingness to kill or abduct crew members has raised international alarm and intensified calls for enhanced naval security in the region.

3.0 Resilience Against Air Strikes

The attacks demonstrate the failure of the US air campaign against the Houties,and there determination to continue fighting under Iran's direction.

This week’s attacks by the Houthis—claimed to be in solidarity with the Palestinians—underscore not only the ineffectiveness of former President Trump’s supposed ceasefire but also the resilience of the militant group and the limitations of air strikes, according to experts.

Despite years of aerial bombardment, the Houthis have survived and adapted. They’ve become skilled at concealing their military hardware, using mobile tactics, and conducting hit-and-run attacks. Over time, they have also diversified their alliances and supply chains, seeking to reduce dependence on Iran.

4.0 Trump's early Declation of Oblieteration and Victory-Exposed (aka Iran!!)

Trump’s declaration of victory over the Houthis in May was questionable from the outset, says Wolf-Christian Paes of the International Institute for…

Red Peril 41. American War Blindness; Part 7 The Failure To Counter The PLAN Threat

Predictive Strings

7^th July 2025 U.S. Army Seeks Massive Expansion of Patriot Missile Stockpile Amid Rising Global Threats

In response to escalating global tensions—particularly with Iran and in light of increased pressure on U.S. munitions supplies—the U.S. Army is requesting a fourfold increase in its procurement of Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) missile enhancements for 2026. The proposed acquisition would jump from 3,376 to 13,773 units, according to Army budget documents.

This push comes after recent missile defense actions, such as the use of Patriot batteries to repel an Iranian strike on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, underscoring the urgent need for greater air and missile defense capacity. Experts, including Tom Karako of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, describe this moment as a long-overdue wake-up call to scale up munitions stockpiles.

The request is part of a broader Pentagon review of U.S. weapons inventories, which recently prompted a temporary pause in munitions transfers to Ukraine. Though the Pentagon has not disclosed which systems are under review, officials admit demand continues to outpace production.

The Army is also racing to scale up 155mm artillery round production—from just 14,500 per month in early 2022 to a targeted 100,000 by October 2025. Current output sits at around 40,000 monthly. While progress is evident, Army spokesperson Steven Warren acknowledged that it remains slower than needed, stressing the importance of maintaining readiness: “More is better, but we are confident that we have what we need to meet the threats on the battlefield.”

4 July 2025 – China Building Massive “Beijing Military City” Command Centre, Ten Times Larger Than the Pentagon

U.S. intelligence agencies have identified a colossal military complex under construction approximately 30 km southwest of Beijing. The 1,500‑acre site—dubbed “Beijing Military City”—is designed to dwarf the Pentagon and is under heavy guard, with satellite imagery revealing over 100 cranes, extensive underground tunnels, and reinforced concrete suitable for withstanding nuclear and bunker-buster attacks. Initiated in mid‑2024, the project appears intended to replace the existing Western Hills wartime command bunker, reinforcing secure command-and-control continuity under Xi Jinping’s military modernisation plan leading up to the PLA’s centenary in 2027.

Official Chinese statements deny knowledge of the facility, while local access is heavily restricted—drones and photography are banned, and residential trails have disappeared. Analysts suggest this military megastructure functions as China’s doomsday bunker, reinforcing nuclear-era command capabilities to endure potential U.S. strikes. The site’s strategic location and massive scale reflect China’s drive to match, and possibly exceed, U.S. military infrastructure, securing resilience for leadership and defence networks in the event of high-intensity conflict.

This development signals Beijing’s…

WW3 52;Europe, Post the Fight House Ambush, Must Defend Itself and Ukraine

Predictive Strings

10 July 2025 – UK & France to Enable ‘Coordinated’ Nuclear Deterrent

The UK and France—Europe’s two independent nuclear powers—have signed a historic agreement stating that while each nation’s nuclear arsenal remains under national control, both will coordinate responses to any “extreme threat to Europe.” The pact, formalized during French President Macron’s state visit to the UK, marks the first public commitment to joint deterrence planning. Key elements include:

• Joint Storm Shadow missile acquisitions and accelerated plans for a next-generation deep-strike/anti-ship missile under the Lancaster House frameworks  .
• Establishment of an “Entente Industrielle” to deepen defence-industry cooperation and boost missile production and research  .
• Reinforced Combined Joint Expeditionary Force (~50,000 troops) to support Europe-wide security (Ukraine, deterrence, crisis response)  .
• France and UK reaffirm both have independent nuclear deterrents (Force de Dissuasion: Triomphant SSBNs + ASMP-A missiles; UK Trident: Vanguard/Dreadnought SSBNs + future F‑35A/B61 tactical nuc capability). The discusions were based on the co-ordination of nuclear patrols to maximise deterrance. A Milestone in Franco -anglo nuclear relations.

Britain and France have agreed to coordinate their nuclear weapons strategies in response to growing threats, particularly from Russia. In a joint declaration during President Emmanuel Macron’s state visit to the UK, both nations pledged closer cooperation on nuclear deterrence to defend Europe from "extreme" threats.

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The agreement marks a historic shift, as France has traditionally kept its nuclear policy fully independent. Now, both countries will explore joint planning and potential coordination of nuclear-armed submarines and fighter jets during crises.

The declaration states that while their arsenals remain independent, any major threat to Europe would trigger a joint response. The UK Ministry of Defence confirmed that adversaries threatening either country’s vital interests could face the combined nuclear force of both nations.

The combined integrated UK-France Nuclear arsenal will have far greater deterrence capability and either of the two nations separatly, eg with two SSBNs at sea at any once time and a surge capability of four.

The move comes amid concerns over reduced U.S. commitment to European defense and calls from Germany for stronger European-led security guarantees.

6 July 2025 –…