Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Mon, 16/03/2026 - 17:50
Introduction.

For decades, Iran has prioritised the development of a large and increasingly sophisticated missile arsenal as the central pillar of its military strategy. Lacking the ability to…

Last Update: Tue, 03/03/2026 - 04:11
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With the ongoing full scale regional war in the Middle East and the ongoing war in Ukraine, Starmer and Labour should be reaching for the emergency rearmament programme. Finally,…

Last Update: Fri, 27/02/2026 - 17:48
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Across history, a distinct group of scholars and philosophers have devoted itself to understanding why empires rise, flourish, overextend and ultimately collapse. They have been…

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I commend to you this excellent briefing by Chris Mellon, a highly respected former senior U.S. intelligence officer and a member…

Last Update: Tue, 24/02/2026 - 09:20
Introduction

In the war in Ukraine, we are witnessing the tactical consequences of a fully sensor-transparent battlefield, where almost every movement and action can be detected, tracked and…

Last Update: Fri, 27/02/2026 - 13:06
Introduction

Starmer’s attempts to hand over the Chagos Islands are, GF argues, effectively aligned with Chinese interests, with Britain’s National Security Adviser, Jonathan Powell, appearing to…

Last Update: Sun, 08/03/2026 - 09:02
Introduction

The terminators are comming! While the majority of the world’s armed forces are still struggling to catch up with the lessons emerging from the war in Ukraine—particularly in…

Last Update: Mon, 16/03/2026 - 17:40
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We have long argued that the onset of World War III effectively began in 2022 with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, undertaken with Xi Jinping’s full support. Nearly four years later,…

Introduction

The Renaissance took place roughly between the 14th and 17th centuries (c. 1300–1600 CE), though its exact timing varied by region. It began in Italy, particularly in cities such as…