Murrinations

We have mentioned that we expect a trade war to unfold between Trump’s America and China this year so how does that translate into the global markets?

Well, last year in early 2017 we created what we called the Arkent Scenario as the sequence in which we expected the markets to roll over into global economic trauma. The Arkent scenario was a road map to follow markets and prepare for the worst. It articulated the following signs in this specific order:

During the positive phases of an empire leaders serve the people they lead, which is in sharp contrast to the negative self-centred leadership values demonstrated in the declining phase of empire.

The recent film “The Darkest Hour” is firstly an absolutely brilliant and engaging drama. Secondly, like all successful films, its’ underlying theme resonates with the state of the underlying society from which it originates.

“Breaking the code of History” defines five distinct stages within every empire or human system cycle. The first three stages represent positive expansion and the last two negative contraction.

America has been building the political pressure towards both North Korea and China to bring about a peaceful resolution to North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. That pressure reached white hot levels when America orchestrated the capture of the Hong-Kong-flagged oil tanker which was accused of transferring 600 tons of refined oil to a North Korean ship in October in violation of United Nations sanctions.

Trump's success in passing his tax bill is a major achievement and one that in the long run could make the world a safer place. It is the first of two critical elements that can temporarily reinvigorate the US economy. The second is to restructure the US debt burden but that is at the moment a little way ahead.

One topic that my readers know I feel deeply concerned about, is Britain's failed defence policy and the urgent need to remedy this potentially catastrophic situation. The urgency could not be better illuminated by yesterday's North Korean ballistic missile test that places Britain within reach of the despotic Kim. This threat is but one of many simultaneous threats on the horizon.

The King is dead, long live the King. The kleptocracy of King Bob has now ended to great applause. But what does come next for the oppressed and long-suffering people of Zimbabwe?

The week before last, out of the blue I was bombarded with simultaneous questions about bitcoin by friends and 'Breaking the Code of History' readers, some on behalf of their children. They all announced that they were proudly mining coins and what did I think?

Naturally, I looked at the price history shown below; the price was 7500 at the time. I responded that it was a bubble and most likely the bitcoin price had made a blow off high following which the price would decline significantly back to the 3500 level.

The Five Stages of Empire model describes the exponential rise of a system in the 'expansion to empire' phase, which compares sharply to the overextension and decline phases. The election of President Xi and Prime Minister Abe within a week provides a stark contrast of the underlying energy of China and Japan who are in these two very different empire phases.

For well over a decade Breaking the Code of History (BTCH) has argued that the increasing CO2 levels in the atmosphere have reached a critical point where, even if we stopped putting in anymore C02 into our atmosphere going forward, we have built in an 11-degree temperature shift in our climate which will be catastrophic.