Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Thu, 19/06/2025 - 11:22
Summary

Eighty years after VE Day, it is vital to reflect on the sacrifices and hard-earned lessons of World War II—especially as the world once again drifts toward global conflict. The German…

Last Update: Thu, 19/06/2025 - 11:18
Summary

The global peace is rapidly eroding, and we argue that World War III has already begun, marked by escalating conflicts driven by China's challenge to U.S. hegemony. While modern warfare…

Last Update: Mon, 16/06/2025 - 17:17
Summary

As Russia integrates tactical nuclear weapons across land, air, and sea platforms—from low-yield battlefield warheads and nuclear-tipped air-to-air missiles to submarine-launched…

Last Update: Tue, 24/06/2025 - 15:22
Summary 

This Murrinaton explores the escalating threat of covert biological aggression by China as an extension of its shadow war on America, drawing a line from the suspected intentional…

Last Update: Fri, 13/06/2025 - 18:36
Summary

Trump’s 2024 foreign-policy posture—marketed during the election as a “peace agenda”—has been rooted in transactional deals, strategic ambiguity, self-interest and a retreat from…

Last Update: Fri, 27/06/2025 - 10:36
Summary

The international standoff over Iran’s nuclear programme has reached a tipping point. With diplomatic efforts exhausted and uranium enrichment accelerating, Israel appears poised to…

Last Update: Tue, 17/06/2025 - 12:10
Summary

Ukraine’s use of FPV (First-Person View) drones has transformed the battlefield and rear areas alike, ushering in a new era of modern warfare where no location is safe from precision…

Last Update: Sat, 14/06/2025 - 11:45
Summary of Hegemonic Wars & Borrowing Power

Across three major hegemonic war cycles—from the Napoleonic Wars to the emerging World War III—history reveals a decisive truth: sustained…

Last Update: Fri, 13/06/2025 - 15:16
Summary

Trump’s second term is rapidly reshaping the very nature of American governance, signalling a decisive shift toward authoritarianism. As warned in our Murrinations, Trump is aggressively…