Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Tue, 29/07/2025 - 16:12
Introdction

This Murrination follows   WW3 62: The Nuclear Dimension IV - Who Survives? Intention and Preparation go hand in hand to enhance survivability, national resilience, and strengthen…

Last Update: Mon, 25/08/2025 - 05:37
Introduction

Wars are among the most diabolical activities humanity engages in collectively—none more so than those rooted in deep-seated, generational grievances and ignited by acts of…

Last Update: Mon, 11/08/2025 - 11:08
1.0 Introduction

China’s influence in Southeast Asia has now surpassed that of the United States, marking a significant shift in the region’s strategic balance. Once a contested space between…

Last Update: Sat, 26/07/2025 - 08:19
Introduction

We have studied World War II to understand how populations behave under sustained bombardment and can conclude that as long as societal structures remain functional and defensive…

Last Update: Tue, 12/08/2025 - 07:29
Introduction

We have long maintained that Ukraine is not only capable of winning its war against Russia but that victory is achievable with sustained and strategic support from its NATO allies.…

Introduction

In 1938, with the threat of war looming over Europe, the UK government under Neville Chamberlain implemented strategic domestic and foreign policies to strengthen national resilience…

Last Update: Tue, 22/07/2025 - 16:35
Introduction: Why Debt-to-GDP Ratios Don’t Tell the Whole Story

Debt-to-GDP ratios are one of the most commonly cited metrics for assessing a nation's fiscal health, often used to compare levels…

Last Update: Sat, 09/08/2025 - 14:34
Introduction

Readers of Murrinations will be aware that we identified the late-November to December 2024 period—immediately following the U.S. election and during the final days of Joe Biden’s…

Last Update: Mon, 18/08/2025 - 08:05
Introduction

Global Forecaster has long recognised Britain’s failure to extract and offer asylum to key Afghan soldiers who fought alongside our forces—a national shame that demands urgent and…