Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Tue, 09/09/2025 - 09:47
Introduction

China’s massive and rapid build-up of long-range nuclear missiles and warheads—housed in deep mountain redoubts—is designed to achieve strategic parity, or even superiority, over…

Last Update: Sat, 23/08/2025 - 10:44
Introduction: History Repeating Itself

History does not repeat itself exactly, but its patterns are unmistakable. In 1938, Neville Chamberlain returned from Munich proclaiming “peace for our time…

Last Update: Tue, 02/09/2025 - 09:01
Introduction

To our growing concern, Global Forecaster’s relentless warnings over the past decade about the UK’s lack of defence investment are now bearing disastrous consequences across all…

 

Introduction

Much to many Americans' surprise, the British Empire was the largest and most globally integrated empire in human history. A  metric not recognised by Ray Dalio's empire…

Last Update: Wed, 13/08/2025 - 09:08
Introduction

Millions voted for Brexit with hope—hope for sovereignty, hope for immigration control, and hope for renewal. A Britain free to adapt and thrive on its own terms in an entropic world…

Last Update: Tue, 12/08/2025 - 09:37
Introduction

In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the United States underwent a remarkable transformation from an inward-looking continental republic into a global empire. This seismic…

Last Update: Fri, 12/09/2025 - 14:34
Introduction

In our Predictions for 2025, we argued that global conflict would likely escalate, with a high probability of a fully-fledged World War III. We are now seeing increasing signs of…

Last Update: Sun, 07/09/2025 - 09:43

 

Introduction

During World War II, the most advanced submarines could dive to just under 800 feet. Today, that depth merely marks the beginning of a new frontier in warfare—one that…

Last Update: Mon, 18/08/2025 - 10:56
Introduction

China’s vast fishing fleet is more than a commercial enterprise—it is a key pillar of Beijing’s strategy for global influence and maritime dominance. As the world’s largest fishing…