The history of Soviet ideological subversion is not a relic of the Cold War; it is the intellectual and operational foundation of the cognitive warfare being waged against the West…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
The Trump administration's newly released National Defence Strategy (NDS) represents a sharp and deliberate break from nearly eight decades of American defence policy. Framed as a…
For nearly two centuries, global order rested on the assumption that the seas were controlled so completely by one dominant maritime power that the…
For more than three decades, Western airpower has rested on the assumption that low observable aircraft could penetrate defended airspace with relative impunity. A capability task…
As we move into what may be the final pre-kinetic phase before a major war in the Pacific, it is precisely the moment to revisit history’s most instructive failures —those shaped by…
Many have asked what I believe the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) grand strategy is. My answer is straightforward: the pursuit of global dominance and control of the human…
As we argued in our Murrination Irans War on Israel 17: Trump's Forced Ceasefire - The Calm Before the Next Storm was driven less by strategic necessity than by his desire for…
NATO Major General Maik Keller says he sees no evidence that Western military support for Ukraine is weakening, stressing that long term commitment remains essential as the war shows…
The Napoleonic War was not an isolated European conflict but the culmination of more than a century of relentless Anglo-French rivalry—a struggle for global supremacy…
History often explains civilisational collapse in terms of lost wars, ideology, economics, or external shocks. However, far less attention is paid to the internal pathologies that…
Having outlined the potential Chinese battle plan in WW 86; Red Peril 55; The Battle For Taiwan and Western Pacfic. In this Murrination, we examine the proposed U.S. PACOM strategy…
Some moments in History are much bigger than others, such as Trump's Greenland Grab. A move that we have been warning he would make since Trump 5; America's New Imperialist Defensive…
For more than a decade, U.S. officials have warned that Chinese intelligence operations would increasingly blur the line between civilian activity and state-directed espionage. We…
Immigration has shaped the rise and fall of nations for centuries, yet today’s debate is often reduced to simplistic binaries: pro-immigration vs. anti-immigration. This framing…
In the decades before 1914, Imperial Germany increasingly viewed itself as the natural hegemonic successor to the British Empire—an ascendant continental titan whose demographic…
Across Europe today, many remain complacent, believing that the war in Ukraine is distant, frozen along static front lines and unlikely to affect them directly. Some are so blind to…
The ancient Greek concept of amartia—the fatal flaw of overreaching pride that blinds leaders to reality—has today found a modern host in the far right currents of MAGA in the United…
In my Five Stages of Empire model, demographics are the primary engine of self-organisation within human social systems, driving the expansionary energy that enables civilisations to…









