For more than a decade, U.S. officials have warned that Chinese intelligence operations would increasingly blur the line between civilian activity and state-directed espionage. We…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Immigration has shaped the rise and fall of nations for centuries, yet today’s debate is often reduced to simplistic binaries: pro-immigration vs. anti-immigration. This framing…
In the decades before 1914, Imperial Germany increasingly viewed itself as the natural hegemonic successor to the British Empire—an ascendant continental titan whose demographic…
Across Europe today, many remain complacent, believing that the war in Ukraine is distant, frozen along static front lines and unlikely to affect them directly. Some are so blind to…
The ancient Greek concept of amartia—the fatal flaw of overreaching pride that blinds leaders to reality—has today found a modern host in the far right currents of MAGA in the United…
In my Five Stages of Empire model, demographics are the primary engine of self-organisation within human social systems, driving the expansionary energy that enables civilisations to…
Europe and the Western world are living through an extraordinary form of strategic blindness—what Global Forecaster has long defined as extinction dissonance; the collective…
The Founding Fathers created the United States with one overriding fear, the rise of a demagogue who could bend a republic to his will. Their experience with monarchy, factionalism…
Trump’s “Snatch and Replace” operation in Venezuela, coupled with the unfolding regime change campaign in Iran, has marked a significant geopolitical shift. In our assessment, these…









