Murrination Insights

Having observed Trump during his election campaign and the first month of his presidency, it is clear that he is using a new political strategy to engage with the American people, its institutions…

In previous Murrinations we have outlined the great Battle Between Democracy and Autocracy unfolding as the doom of our time. That outline supposed that America and its Western allies would stand…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or…

We have recently witnessed the Munich 1938 moment of our time in a very surreal way with the commencement of Trump's negotiations with Russia. These have been accompanied by a…

Ahead of crunch talks in Paris on Monday in an emergency summit hosted by Emmanuel Macron, the French President, Prime Minister Starmer said he would not take the decision of putting…

In yesterday’s Murrination WW3; The Fate of Europe and Ukraine is in the Balance, we discussed why America is seeking to withdraw from Europe as its empire contracts. However, it is interesting to…

The choice of Europe is clear - to once more stand tall and independent by assuming full responsibility for its defence and creating a positive outcome for Ukraine or to be carved up and…

In our Murrinations Human Malevolence 3; Will Trump End American Democracy? and 2025 - The Year To Stand To, we predicted that Trump and MAGA would seek to dismantle American democracy and the…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective. For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or…

One of our predictions for Trump’s second term was that he would lead America with a renewed sense of imperial ambition. His recent proposal for Gaza is just the latest indication supporting this…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

Britain is at war with Russia over Ukraine and with Iran via its Houthi proxy in the Red Sea. Yet, for over 1000 days, its armed services have remained underfunded…

The Art Of Strategy is a matter of life and death to all nations, especially in geopolitical phases of high entropy seen into the peaks of the 54-56-year cycle. Yet today, in the phase of history…

The UK has missed a spectacular opportunity to strengthen Ukraine's hand in its war against Russia and its own national defence and expansion of its economy. This failure has occurred through both…

The apparent antagonism between the SAS and SBS reported recently in the UK press has undoubtedly been exaggerated. However, where there is smoke, there is fire, and this story needs…

In a world where we argue WW3 started in 2022, we and others are experiencing “grey zone” activities, which are best described as Putin's Shadow War Against Britain and NATO. One…

At noon on January 20 2025, Washington time, Trump was sworn in as the 47th US president. To the eye of an Englishman, the ceremony was distinctly average and rather cooperate. It definitely…

Trump's bullish vision of making America great will, we predict, fall far short of reality for several reasons. Whilst his election marks a massive potential watershed in American affairs, as we…

Netanyahu's office confirmed that the ceasefire and the release of Israeli hostages should start at 0900 ET on January 19. All three IDF divisions currently in the Strip will…

In the context of the Five Stages of Empire, we have often written about the fourth stage of an empire in which leadership and government apparatus devolve into extreme linear thinking—unable and…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

Unlike alliances like NATO, which significantly complicate war-fighting through their many members, the PLAN has the advantage of being one singular Chinese military under the control of Xi,…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective. For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

The first female Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, has been promoted well beyond her competence and her economic illiteracy is now being exposed at great cost to the nation, a situation…

To those watching Musk weigh into British politics with attacks on Starmer and Farage, the man seems to be behaving as if his ego is out of control. However, we suspect that there is deadly intent…

Over the past decades, we have watched China describe its strategic view of the first, second, and third island chains as its 'defensive rings' which form the basis for its national…

It is a Global Forecaster tradition to name each year in line with our expectations of how it might unfold, e.g. 2023 - The Year To Take Cover, 2024 - The Year To Stay Under Cover, and now 2025 -…

Two decades ago, I warned that China had moved from a phase of copying and assimilating to one of out-innovating America, as described in Another Prediction Proven Correct—1: Chinese…

Going back to Alexander the Great's first principle of war, he believed in the criticality of the Unity of Command, a centralised command structure with clear leadership provided by himself. His…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

We have long argued that Bitcoin's and the crypto market's growth is a market bubble occurring in the context of the decline of the US dollar. Furthermore, the end of the bubble would come when…

The new age of industrial war, emerging in the 19th and early 20th centuries, fundamentally transformed the nature of warfare by harnessing mass production, mechanisation, and technological…

Moving beyond the question of whether UAPs exist—a debate that has now shifted decisively into a state of acceptance—we must turn our attention to the next, and far more profound,…

The British Empire’s rise and dominance were largely built on maritime supremacy, establishing the nation as a formidable global power from the 17th to the early 20th century. Britain’s naval…

In this series, we will be looking at the art of war though the ages, using this study to create a modern war-fighting strategy that NATO and the West could use to combat China and its Axis of…

Today, the UK defence forces are small, underequipped and need rapid expansion with new combat technology. This situation is similar to the run-up of WW2, and the potential solution today should…

The Hamas attack on October 7th last year triggered a chain of events still unfolding across the Middle East with the fall of Assad emerging as a key development. Today, Syria's predicament…

Human collective systems follow identifiable patterns to maximise anti-entropy along their stage empire/life cycle. Breaking down and identifying those behaviours is one of Global…

The evolution of warfare in Ancient Greek works was fascinatingly mirrored simultaneously in the Ancient Chinese world, which saw profound changes to the strategy and evolution of warfare. In…

In this Murrination series, we will examine some of the lessons from the decline of the British Empire that our Five Stages of Empire highlight as relevant to the decline of the American Empire…

The current Labour government in the UK, led by Keir Starmer, is not considered Marxist. The public-facing story is that, after the Labour Party's defeat in the 2019 general election…

Global Forecaster has long argued that WW3 started with the invasion of Ukraine, but until recently, many sought to refute the bleeding obvious as they fell under the spell of War Blindness.…

The Art Of Strategy is a matter of life and death to all nations in times of entropy. Yet today, in the West, we collectively have lost this critical way of thinking that could ensure our very…

Britain and America have a unique relationship. We both speak the same language as America is Britain's cousin - a colony that became a nation and then surpassed its parent social structure. As…

Over the past year, an increasing number of incidents across Europe have been attributed to suspected Russian sabotage, including fires and damage to critical infrastructure. Whilst…

All governments have a prime responsibility to ensure the safety of their citizens, and thus, national security should always be the priority of a Prime Minister or President.…

Trump does not seem to recognise that the America he led in 2016 is far weaker in 2024, with the Axis of Autocracy now fully formed after over two years of war in Ukraine and positioned implacably…

In his victory speech, Trump vowed to “govern by a simple motto: Promises made, promises kept”. So, what should we expect from his term ahead? Put simply, from his previous term in office, we…

Trump described his victory as an “unprecedented” mandate to reshape America after having been elected for the second time, surviving numerous legal battles, and attempted assassinations. In our…

With Trump's election victory acceptance words ("there will be no wars") ringing in our ears, the reality, we fear, will be very different as, in my assessment, we are now in the period of…

Our prediction that Harris would win by a narrow margin was always going to be one of our more risky predictions. Indeed on the Friday we prepared a Trump would win Murrination prediction, based…

Ukraine has three serious limitations in this attritional war:

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

Lasers have numerous applications in peacetime, but it is on the battlefield that this revolutionary weapon has the potential to change the way we fight wars on land, sea, and in the…

Today, America faces great danger from the Axis of Autocracy and the onset of WW3, which, in essence, is the battle between democracy versus autocracy. However, America is also…

As regular readers of Murrinations will be aware, I am ever mindful of how social culture in terms of film echoes real life. There can be no better example than Star Wars, where the story of the…

Imagine if we - the human race - developed the ability to identify the most destructive types of humans and found ways to prevent them from  leading nations (companies or indeed any organisation)…

While the world is catching fire, Starmer continues to demonstrate why prime ministers should never be linear thinkers, plumbing new depths in political linear incompetence below dour Brown, the…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective . For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

Today, humanity is living through the impact of the current entropic K-wave cycle as it accelerates into its 2030 peak. Like all other previous entropic surges, this steepening wave is testing…

In my opinion, the Bank of England’s recent interest rate cut was delusional, demonstrating that linear thinkers like its head, Andrew Bailey, never learn because they never seem to take…

Mega sport is an integral part of Western culture today, so much so that it has become an investment class in its own right, perceived as a real investment in an unreal fiat world. The sector's…

In advance of our Murrination due out next week - Mega Sport Today and the Decline of Empires Past - I would like to give everyone a heads up that tomorrow at 13.00hr UK time, the first race of…

The shock elimination of James Cleverly from the leadership race on Wednesday was brilliantly masterminded and the perfect revenge for the coup enacted against Truss, a coup that opened the way…

Since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, we have argued that the Chinese encouraged Putin to challenge the West via his invasion. Then, when Putin’s forces got bogged down, China…

In the context of today's Chinese leading global arms race, hypersonic weapons represent a true revolution in military affairs. Indeed, as we have pointed out numerous times, the…

To ensure that you are focused and understand the events unfolding in the Middle East, we recommend re-reading War American War Blindness; Part 1 to ensure that…

Iran’s war against Israel, which started on 7th October 2023, has now escalated into an all-out regional war. It is a product of Iran’s aggressive expansionism that has vowed to destroy Israel,…

The attritional war in Ukraine is approaching a potential watershed moment, both on the battlefield and with respect to the support provided by America and Europe. The dire reality of American…

From 2011 onwards, based on our empire cycle analysis, I placed the UK in a new phase of regional expansion that started with the Thatcher years, a…

Why is the West's future highly dependent on Ukraine and Israel being victorious against their Russian and Iranian protagonists?

To reach the answer, we must all step back from our…

Lebanon is once more a major battle zone in the Middle East. In this Murrination, we seek to assess the course of this campaign within the larger context of Iran's war on Israel. …