Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Wed, 22/10/2025 - 08:56
Introduction

At the start of WWI and WWII, the Royal Navy faced a chronic shortfall of both front-line warships and Royal Fleet Auxiliary (RFA) support vessels. At the outbreak of both conflicts…

Last Update: Mon, 20/10/2025 - 11:16
Introduction

In June’s conflict, Israeli intelligence demonstrated a striking fusion of cyber and kinetic warfare by targeting a secret session of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council in…

Last Update: Sun, 19/10/2025 - 08:09
What Goes Up Must Come Down!

Our prime Murrinations focus is on geopolitics, and I only touch markets when moves are significant enough to intersect that realm, think major bond dislocations and…

Last Update: Sun, 19/10/2025 - 08:48
Introduction

If you’ve ever wondered what an emergency broadcast would sound like in the event of an imminent nuclear attack, listen to this." Instagram. Now imagine the difference between being…

Introduction

History has a habit of warning us, often in the smallest of symbols. In ancient Rome, the moment the faces of living rulers began to appear on coins marked not just a monetary shift…

Last Update: Wed, 22/10/2025 - 06:49
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For centuries, China was the archetype of a continental power, with a huge population living securely behind vast land borders…

Last Update: Tue, 21/10/2025 - 07:43
Introduction

October 13 was a day for the history books in Israel, a day when an entire nation finally exhaled. Ordinary Israelis had waited 737 agonising days for this moment. Across the country…

Last Update: Tue, 21/10/2025 - 18:16
Introduction

On 9 October 2025, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), without warning, introduced new export controls on rare earth elements in a move reminiscent of the US oil embargo on Japan in…

Introduction

I hope this series of Murrinations has demonstrated how Revolutions in Military Affairs have and continue to catalyse wars and thus have reshaped geopolitical landscapes. Explaining…