Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrinations Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Mon, 08/05/2023 - 13:22

Global Forecaster was started in 2019 with these ten clear mission statements:

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To that end we have accurately predicted  the majority…

Last Update: Mon, 03/04/2023 - 11:28

The Fed has for some two decades enacted a policy of quantitative easing (QE) through their Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) programmes, to sustain the American empire in its fifth stage of decline.…

Last Update: Mon, 04/09/2023 - 11:44

History really does repeat itself, as the war in Ukraine and that of the Western front in 1918 have very similar parallels.

In the spring of 1918 the German high command launched its…

Last Update: Sat, 23/12/2023 - 08:47

During the spring of 1918 the British Expeditionary Force was the focus of the German High Command's last-ditch attack, and despite being sorely pressed managed to preserve their tanks and other…

Last Update: Tue, 23/05/2023 - 13:35

The impact of Putin's much-vaunted spring offensive was always going to be limited by the Russian army's inability to fight a combined-arms battle. Hence his reliance on…

Last Update: Fri, 31/03/2023 - 08:04

We have, since well before the publication of Breaking the Code of History in 2003, argued that not only is climate change real, but that we are far more progressed then we recognise or accept.…

Last Update: Fri, 07/04/2023 - 09:25

Throughout history, hegemonies have initially been built on revolutions of military affairs, that then give their armed forces an advantage on the battlefield. One that…

Last Update: Mon, 22/04/2024 - 10:14

5.0 Brexit to Lateralise or Fall

We started with the question of what evaluation metrics should be applied to Brexit to monitor its success.

The Five Stages of Empire cycle predicts that as a system enters late regionalisation it shifts modes from "copy and assimilate" to "innovation". Then by the second stage of expansion to empire,…