Been an avid follower for years and amazing to see the theories you have held on to for so long starting to unfold.A Hedge Fund Manger who prefers to remain anonymous
I will state from the outset that I generally shun predictions and, by extension, am suspicious of those that claim to see the future.Andy Pfaff - Chief Investment Officer | Coherent Commodity Investment (Pty) Ltd
Nonetheless, while David refers to “predictions” on his website, I believe that these are better described as an interpretation of geopolitical conditions through the prism of his Stages of Empire theory. This has enabled David to consistently make seemingly outlandish but remarkably accurate interpretations of current events and, by extension, market calls.
Given his interpretative framework, I see no reason why David’s analysis should not remain as consistently accurate for many years to come.
I have truly enjoyed reading your viewpoint on things over the past 10+ years...Julian D Rose - Global Markets Corporate Sales | HSBC Bermuda
I have known David for over five years and, during that time (all documented) he has predicted the rise of Trump, every twist and turn during the three-year course of Brexit, including Boris becoming PM (a year before he did), and the landslide election result.Rob Hersov - Chairman of Invest Africa
On January 30th he called me and really panicked me (I have all the WhatsApp’s to prove it), which made me dump most of our family equity portfolio and move into cash. He has saved us a large fortune! When no one was looking, in early January, he warned that the Wuhan Flu was going to become pandemic that would bring the global economy to a dead stop.
Simultaneously he predicted the drop of oil from $65 to sub$27 and the collapse of the stock markets. All these predictions were in papers he wrote, and speeches he gave (some at my Invest Africa events), and most people then thought him mad. How silly (and poor) they look now.
David uses historical analysis to predict likely future developments. While many try to predict the future by looking merely at economic data and looking at the recent past, David goes back centuries, tracking the ascent and descent of empires, enabling him to spot big-picture trends and secular developments that many others fail to see. As a historian myself, I am well aware that many fellow economists and analysts lack this critical ability, despite it being a well-known fact that "those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."Anna Rosenberg - Partner, Head of Europe and UK I Signum Global
You were spot on your forecast of the Tory majority when I spoke with you 2 months before the November election. You were spot on with your forecast months before the Covid-19 pandemic of what impact it would have on the global economy and I did not believe you ! You have been spot on with gold and commodity prices.Lord St. John Anthony - 22nd Baron St John of Bletso is a British peer, politician, businessman and solicitor
As you know, I tend to always look on the bright side of life and try and believe that disasters will be averted but this pandemic and the global economic partial paralysis is an event which I never thought I would experience in my lifetime and clearly will have disastrous economic ramifications for the medium term.
Retrospection can teach us all lessons but the accurate vision for the future is a rare talent.
At Montfort we strive to anticipate the issues that our clients are facing and to help us we have a longstanding relationship with economic and social forecaster David Murrin. In recent years he has correctly called significant geopolitical moves and political results, notably calling the result of the Brexit referendum before the referendum was even announced, the election of Donald Trump, and the rise of China to challenge the US for global leadership. Six months ago, David urged his subscribers to heed the economic threat posed by a major bubble building in the markets. And from late 2019, he has accurately forecast the impact of COVID-19 on society and global financial markets – including the exact dates that the markets and the oil price fell.Montfort Communications
I have known David since our days in Papua New Guinea - almost 40 years ago. David has evolved into one of the most broad as well as deep strategic thinkers with a strong ability to synthesize a variety of issues in different domains into a complete holistic story. This often contains things people do not want to hear - and there is therefore all the more valuable. David does this within a structure of thought which I have seen few do. Anyone who is a leader an/or who has strategic responsibility of some kind must dig into David's manner of thinking and looking ahead. Today's Coronvirus crisis is but only one area where David was right in his prediction. It is the explaining of human behavior which is the most enriching of David's insights. Many of us too often think we understand, can figure things out and that we are therefore largely right about things. We are generally not. David's insights have taught me a lot. An absolute must for anyone who has responsibilities towards others and the broader good.Martin Schweighauser - Chairman Calyps SA
Insightful, interesting, entrepreneurial, adventure seeking, individual who has the capacity to create winning teams and explore every opportunity life offers. If you wish to push the boundaries and make things happen engage with David.Stuart Greenfield - Consultant, entrepreneur
David Murrin has always been way ahead of other commentators on China. Pointless reading The Times, Telegraph or comedy Guardian to find out what's bearing down on the West.Anonymous
I am writing to say how impressed I am with the services you offer and the depth and substance of the information, perceptions, guidance and advice you disseminate.Marika Sboros - South African journalist and published author
I am particularly fascinated and intrigued by your uncanny ability to forecast global events and outcomes correctly – and just as importantly, to suggest constructive ways forward.
You have also brought much-needed balance to my naturally sceptical, oftentimes cynical bent. That's a function of my decades of experience as a journalist, writing, researching and reporting on a wide range of fraught topics, from politics to religion and more recently, health, nutrition and wellness.
I must confess that when I first became aware of your predictive capacity early in 2016, I dismissed it out of hand. At that time, a close journalist colleague, who rated you extraordinarily highly and who I trusted implicitly, told me that you predicted that Brexit would happen and Trump would be the next US president.
I was so sure that you would be wrong on both counts.
When you proved right on both counts, the world as I knew it began to unravel rapidly around me. And at that year's end, I revised my visceral opinion and began to delve more respectfully into your work.
I'm now one of your biggest fans online and subscribers to your website.
Your expertise is invaluable not just in decoding major historical events, forecasting change directions in today's increasingly unstable, fast-changing, crazy world but also in offering ways forward and strategies to learn from and avoid past mistakes.
Never was your sane, evidence-based and thoughtful voice more needed to guide corporates chiefs, thought leaders and more ordinary mortals, such as myself, to calm down and make informed decisions.