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You’ve heard of cognitive dissonance — that uncomfortable tension we feel when our actions contradict our beliefs. But what happens when that dissonance expands across an entire society?

We call it Extinction Dissonance.

As explored in Breaking Through the Dissonance of Western Decline, both the U.S. and the U.K. are gripped by a widening disconnect:
Institutions are crumbling. Systems are visibly failing.
Yet daily life rolls on — calm on the surface, denial beneath.

This is no accident. It's a form of hypernormalisation — a term coined by Alexei Yurchak to describe the late Soviet Union and later popularised by filmmaker Adam Curtis. In such a state, dysfunction becomes the norm. Illusion replaces action. Denial becomes a coping strategy.

Extinction Dissonance is the terminal stage:
When a society is clearly in decline, facing existential threats, and yet collectively pretends everything is fine. The result? Inaction, paralysis, and ultimately, collapse.

So, how do you break the spell of denial — and choose a different future?

You start by recognising the dissonance. Then, by seeking truth — however uncomfortable — and using it to make conscious, courageous decisions.

Start by-

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Do You?

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Do you? 

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Russian and Chinese information manipulation efforts extend beyond soft power, posing direct threats to Western national security.

Although their methods differ, both aim to undermine Western democracies by eroding public trust and weakening alliance cohesion.

They employ various tools—including state-controlled media, AI-generated content, cyber-attacks, and social media campaigns—to spread anti-Western narratives, particularly during global crises.

Their global influence is expanding, often without formal coordination.

Western openness and media freedom are being exploited, as these actors thrive on sowing polarisation, undermining NATO and European Union (EU) unity, and deepening societal divisions.

Global Forecaster can help you see through the shadows-

• Your Trusted Lens in an Uncertain World
• A Beacon of Insight  in Turbulent Times
• Decoding the Fog

So in a World of full Shadows, Trust the Forecaster

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3 July 2025 – Taiwan on High Alert Amid Escalating Chinese Military Activity in Taiwan Strait and Beyond

Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) has reported a significant and sustained increase in Chinese military operations across multiple domains near the Taiwan Strait, triggering heightened alert levels across the island. The recent surge appears to reflect a deliberate and escalatory show of force by Beijing, with both tactical and strategic dimensions.

Key Developments:

• Large-Scale Aerial and Naval Activity:
  As of 6 a.m. local time on 3 July, Taiwan’s MND tracked 41 sorties by PLA (People’s Liberation Army) aircraft and 9 PLAN (People’s Liberation Army Navy) vessels operating in and around the Taiwan Strait. Critically, 30 aircraft crossed the median line—the unofficial boundary between mainland China and Taiwan—penetrating Taiwan’s northern, central, southwestern, and eastern Air Defence Identification Zones (ADIZ).
  This marked one of the largest single-day aerial incursions in recent months.
• Sustained Operations Across Timeframes:
  Earlier in the same 24-hour window, an additional 25 PLA aircraft sorties were recorded, with 16 also crossing the median line, suggesting a coordinated and persistent tempo of operations. These incursions appear to be part of joint air-sea combat readiness drills conducted by the PLA, pointing to growing integration between China’s air and naval forces in the region.
• Morning Surge Intensifies Pressure:
  A further 53 aircraft sorties and 8 naval vessels were detected during the morning hours, with 37 aircraft entering Taiwan’s ADIZ. The sustained volume and breadth of these operations suggest a high level of operational readiness and strategic signalling by the PLA.
• Strategic Escalation in the Western Pacific:
  In a particularly notable development, both of China’s aircraft carriers, Liaoning and Shandong, were observed operating in tandem in the Western Pacific, beyond the so-called Second Island Chain. This rare manoeuvre signals a broader projection of force and highlights China’s growing blue-water naval capabilities. The crossing of the Second Island Chain represents a marked strategic escalation, challenging regional deterrence frameworks and the U.S.-led Indo-Pacific posture.
• Taiwan’s Response and Preparedness:
  In response, Taiwan has increased the readiness of its armed forces. Taiwanese air defence systems actively tracked, monitored, and intercepted PLA aircraft. These actions come as Taiwan prepares for its annual Han Kuang military exercises, scheduled for 9–18 July. These exercises are expected to include simulations of full-spectrum Chinese aggression, including amphibious landings and cyber warfare.

Strategic Context:

The coordinated nature, scale, and timing of China’s actions suggest more than routine military drills—they likely serve multiple strategic objectives:

• Political Signalling: Assert pressure on Taiwan’s leadership and test the resolve of regional allies.
• Deterrence by Demonstration: Disrupt perceptions of Taiwan’s air and maritime control.
• Exercising for Invasion: The scale of PLAN exercises is that they are now the size of a real invasion force. As such GF argues that any such exercise must be viewed as the real deal.

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And get briefed

• Red Peril 44 – Lai’s “Unite Taiwan” Campaign and Beijing’s Escalating Response
  Red Peril 43; China is Configuring for T-Day Invasion
• Red Peril 41. American War Blindness; Part 3 What is China's Grand Plan?
• Red Peril 21; China Has Australia In Its Sights

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David and I may not share the same prism through which we view politics, but we do share an aesthetic sensibility—one that seeks clarity and strives to weave together seemingly disparate narratives.

David is not only a master of this craft, but with no hint of fragility, he delivers rigorous insights into the heart of issues many of us struggle to understand.

I’ve used David’s system as my personal news guru—disseminating information with clarity and offering real-time applications in a world that demands we find ways to future-proof our lives.

Embedded in David’s methodology is a radical wake-up call: an invitation for others to use this ‘news system’ either to arrive at their own conclusions or to follow some very sound advice—a steadier mast to hitch your wagon to.

David brings clarity to a world that has become opaque and unmoored.

He doesn’t ask you to convert. He simply asks you to listen.

Charles Liburd NMNC Films

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When truth is obscured by misinformation, gaslighting, and spin, making sense of the present—and preparing for the future—can feel impossible.

At Global Forecaster, our models are built on three foundational principles:

1. Decoding Human History and Market Cycles – Understanding the patterns that repeat through time.

2. Pinpointing Our Position in the Cycle – Using a unique mosaic information protocol to evaluate where we are in the present accurately.

3. Forecasting What Comes Next – Projecting forward with clarity from where we are now.

Our sophisticated, multi-layered models offer a reliable framework  to not only accurately predict the future of human systems-

But they are also a powerful tool for navigating today’s chaotic information environment.

We provide the context and clarity to separate fact from fiction—and truth from manipulation.

If you're ready to cut through the noise and see the world as it really is—

SUBSCRIBE TO- Murrinations Gold

and read 

The Truth Is the Front Line of Freedom 2: Starmer’s Woke Police State

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When truth is obscured by misinformation, gaslighting, and spin, making sense of the present—and preparing for the future—can feel impossible.

At Global Forecaster, our models are built on three foundational principles:

1. Decoding Human History and Market Cycles – Understanding the patterns that repeat through time.

2. Pinpointing Our Position in the Cycle – Using a unique mosaic information protocol to evaluate where we are in the present accurately.

3. Forecasting What Comes Next – Projecting forward with clarity from where we are now.

Our sophisticated, multi-layered models offer a reliable framework  to not only accurately predict the future of human systems-

But they are also a powerful tool for navigating today’s chaotic information environment.

We provide the context and clarity to separate fact from fiction—and truth from manipulation.

If you're ready to cut through the noise and see the world as it really is—

SUBSCRIBE TO- Murrinations Gold

and read 

The Truth Is the Front Line of Freedom-1: Trump's Big Lies and the Decline of America