Arkite Alerts Archive

Dear Arkite,

You can view my latest webinar, Geopolitics and the Shifting World Order with David Murrin now! brought to you by Portal Asset Management.

"Join us for a discussion on the global macroeconomic outlook with David Murrin, the bestselling author and founder of Global Forecaster. Topics to be covered in the discussion on geopolitics and the economic outlook, as well as the rise of China and the New Arms Race with consideration of the American Empire in the 21st Century alongside the West. We will also touch on Demographic shifts and Climate Change and how to best navigate the global financial markets."

The supplied file is missing my introduction but otherwise the full discussion is available to view.

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You can also listen to my latest podcast, Ukraine: What's The Situation? where Winston and I pay a visit once more to the pressing topic of Ukraine. The situation on the ground in Ukraine at the time of publication is discussed, as is the position of President Putin in his political stronghold. Winston and I also go over the importance, and danger, of tactical nuclear weapons and their possible role in the future of the conflict.

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Listen Now

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More information on the seminar

Dear Arkite,

In the first podcast episode of the new season, Ukraine: What's The Situation?, Winston and I pay a visit once more to the pressing topic of Ukraine. The situation on the ground in Ukraine at the time of publication is discussed, as is the position of President Putin in his political stronghold. Winston and I also go over the importance, and danger, of tactical nuclear weapons and their possible role in the future of the conflict.

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Listen Now

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More information on the seminar

Dear Arkite,

I've exciting news to tell you about, the very first Global Forecaster seminar/webinar titled Our World On The Edge! It's happening in just over a month's time, 3-4 October 2022, and not only can you be there in person, but for those who can't attend we will also be streaming a live online webinar of the event!

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A seminar that will change your worldview. Designed to pass on our highly predictive models of human behaviour in the world of markets and geopolitics. The goal is to empower you with an understanding of our geopolitical and market theories, whilst imparting our most current views on the world and where it is going. The sessions will be an interactive learning process, rather than a series of lectures, designed to challenge your thought process. To empower you to better understand the world and predict and take advantage of the unpredictable.

DAY 1 

Understanding and Predicting Macro Geopolitics and Events

Morning - Understanding our Key theories

• Anti Entropy in Human Systems
• Human Collective Systems
• Dyslexic Strategic Thinking
• 5 Phase Life Cycle
• K Wave Commodity Cycle
• Polarisation: The Road to War
• The Theory Of Warfare

Background reading ahead of the event: The Genesis And Predictive Power Of Breaking The Code Of History and All Theories

Afternoon - Application of these theories to predict the paths of:

1. The decade of catastrophe or consciousness
2. America
3. Europe
4. Global Britain
5. Russia
6. China / Japan / India
7. The EM world.
8. Oncoming major entropic events-wars, climate change, food security.
9. Evaluation of global leadership dynamics

DAY 2 

Understanding and Predicting Markets

Morning

• Introduction to Global Forecasters risk methodology
• Market modelling and alpha generation results
• Understanding our key theories including your inner decision processes

Afternoon - A review of our analysis of the outlook for the major macro sectors

• Equity indices
• Choose individual equity examples
• Bonds
• FX
• Cryptocurrencies
• Commodities
• Emerging Markets

6 x 40-minute sessions per day, plus Q&As. The cost for attendees is £4000 plus VAT for both days or £2500 per single day. 2-day access of the webinar, streamed live, costs £4000 plus VAT and £2500 for 1-day access.

For full details please click through to the website.

The Venue

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Lythe Hill Hotel, Petworth Road, Haslemere, Surrey GU27 3BQ. Get directions

For full details please click through to the website.

Dear Arkite,

"In this episode of the In Conversation podcast series Ben Ashby is joined by former trader and hedge fund manager David Murrin who is now an author, consultant and public speaker who asserts that Europe and the US are in decline, partially due to the Covid pandemic, and the war in Ukraine. He argues that by looking at patterns in history we can see that we are entering an era of volatility and increased danger.

This recording was originally a webinar organised by CFA UK’s Fixed Income special interest group in March 2022."

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Listen now

Dear Arkite,

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Cycles Magazine is published by The Foundation For The Study Of Cycles and in this edition, they have published a portion of my work 'The Genesis And Predictive Power Of Breaking The Code Of History'. The downloadable pdf contains this not insubstantial text from my book, Breaking The Code Of History, which will give you an insight into my key theories including my Five Stages of Empire model, Wars and The Empire Cycle and The Great Power Shift West to East.

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Please click here to view the page then click the link provided to download a copy.

Dear Arkite,

I'm sorry things have been a little quiet on the website but I was struck down with Covid again, causing me to take a step back from writing for a short time. Fear not I'll be posting again soon enough but in the meantime why not take a step back in time to 2010 and watch my interview on CNBC Worldwide Exchange! I discuss the decline of the US, China's challenge and Dollar weakness.

"The real disaster is not to recognise where America is, but to continue to be unconscious over the collapse of its power base and that only accelerates the loss of power…”

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View the interview in full

Dear Arkite,

Our Q2 Alphas returns are a must-read for all professional asset managers because we knocked the ball out of the park, as our market calls translated into some exceptional and record alpha extraction, through being short equity indices and shares, with the biggest ever return in the SP 500 of 1136 trade units (40 trade units equates to a 400% position which is the largest position we ever recommend and therefore only in extremely rare circumstances perhaps once or twice a decade) if not followed by very high returns in other indices, very high returns by being short cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin 573 units), solid returns in EM currencies, and equity indices and being long bonds in the corrections and long the dollar against the Yuan (236 trade units) in its sharp repricing. The only notable area where we have been wrong is the continued strength of the dollar against the European currency complex, except for Dollar Swiss which was moderately profitable

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We strongly recommend that our subscribers take the time to read this analysis of our performance to enhance their understanding of how we consistently extract alpha from the markets whilst minimising our downside with extremely tight strategic stops.

Read the performance appraisal in full.

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Dear Arkite,

My keynote speech for 'A Meeting of Minds Wealth Management' by Owen James is now online to view:

Future-proofing your business at a time of historic geopolitical uncertainty - A Meeting of Minds Wealth Management by Owen James with David Murrin, Future Forecaster.

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Watch Now

Dear Arkite,

My latest interview, on the State Of The Markets podcast, is now available to listen to, titled 'Get your Tin Hats, the stock market is going to crash!' and is hosted by Paul Rodriguez of https://ThinkTrading.com and Tim Price of https://Pricevaluepartners.com. Here I discuss my call of the NASDAQ high, the crash to come, Taiwan, Korea, bonds, commodities and stagflation.

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Listen Now

Dear Arkite,

My latest interview is online to watch now:

In the first instalment of our new series, Longview Economics’ CEO Chris Watling spoke with author, behaviourist and global forecaster David Murrin to discuss the life cycle of empires, the end of the Western Super Empire, the ascension to empire of China, and how this impacts stock markets. Touching on technical analysis, Elliott and Kondratiev waves, bear markets and the end of the tech bubble. And even, has World War 3 already started?

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Watch Now