The world, as rational citizens of the Western order once understood it, now appears increasingly distorted by the erratic and self-reinforcing worldview of Donald Trump. His…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 14/04/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 14/04/2026 - 10:24
Introduction
In the aftermath of COVID-19, the world has largely moved on without fully confronting the unresolved questions surrounding the pandemic’s origins and strategic consequences. While…
Putin's Northern Submarine Fleet and The Hidden Front of WW3 Part 2-A Major RN Counter Sub Operation
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 11/04/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 14/04/2026 - 21:50
1.0 Introduction-Twin Submarine Sabotage Operations demonstrate once more that Putin’s Northern Fleet is A high threat to the UK
This recent operation is the manifestation of the Labour…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 09/04/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 10/04/2026 - 13:49
Introduction
In our previous Murrination in this series, we outlined how Britain once possessed the world’s most powerful navy. Today, however, the country faces the stark reality of being all…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 07/04/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 14/04/2026 - 21:35
Introduction
While the FPV drone revolution has largely remained confined to the battlefields of Ukraine and has yet to transform the NATO way of war, a new and even greater military…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 02/04/2026 - 09:00
Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2026 - 09:14
Introduction
The prospect of Trump withdrawing from the war with Iran while leaving the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian control would represent a profound strategic rupture with far reaching…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 31/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 10/04/2026 - 19:00
Introduction: The Emergence of Resilient Attritional Missile Warfare (RAMW)
Revolutions in Military Affairs (RMAs) have historically reshaped not just how wars are fought, but the broader…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 30/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 01/04/2026 - 08:43
Introduction
I have recently been undertaking a more detailed study of Japanese history, which is why I was particularly interested to visit the British Museum’s exhibition on the samurai. The…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 28/03/2026 - 12:00
Last Update: Fri, 03/04/2026 - 08:18
Introduction
The relationship between hubris and military defeat is as old as warfare itself. In The Art of War, Sun Tzu warned that victory depends on understanding both oneself and the enemy: “…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 27/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 27/03/2026 - 08:34
Introduction
In this final part of our four part series, we examine how cyclical historians evolved from interpreters of the past into practitioners of strategic foresight, in a new discipline…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 25/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 14/04/2026 - 21:33
Introduction.
The forgotten power of sea mines, which are among the most strategically powerful weapons in naval warfare, has been brought to the fore with the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz.…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 24/03/2026 - 08:35
Introduction
The traditional classical Newtonian worldview treated reality as local, deterministic, and linear, with the human mind understood as little more than a by-product of neural…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 21/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 22/03/2026 - 09:47
Introduction.
Interview Summary: David Murrin — The State of the World
Podcast Date: The Sare of It, March 6 2026
1. THE 108-112 HEGEMONIC CYCLE IS UPON US.
…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 20/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 10:33
Introduction.
The ancient Chinese strategist Sun Tzu emphasised that true success in warfare depends on deeply understanding one’s enemy—their motives, beliefs, strengths and limitations—famously…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 19/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 19/03/2026 - 16:52
Introduction.
The Franco-Prussian War of 1870 was not an accident of history but the predictable outcome of a long, systemic shift in power that Europe’s established continental hegemon, France,…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 18/03/2026 - 08:30
Introduction
War is upon Britain once more and we as a nation and our services must throw off the yoke of peace. Our forces are totally unprepared in terms of equipment and mindset and dramatic…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 17/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 20/03/2026 - 14:46
Introduction
Fibonacci geometry appears repeatedly across natural systems, from the spiral phyllotaxis of sunflowers and pinecones to the logarithmic structure of hurricanes, galaxies, and…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 14/03/2026 - 17:35
Last Update: Wed, 15/04/2026 - 09:41
Introduction
A combined-arms operation to control the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz will inevitably be a very large scale, sustained campaign involving naval, air and ground forces operating in…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |