Dear Arkite,
This update is for all professional Asset Managers with an eye on the geopolitical and global economic situation at hand. Below is an excerpt from the latest Global Trader Q1 2022 Performance Review, which can be read in full here:
INTRODUCTION
If we described the last quarter as another excellent result, then Q1 2022 knocked the ball out of the park with our geopolitical calls predicting Putin's invasion of Ukraine and the rampant inflation and its impact on economies and markets. Those calls translated into some huge alpha extraction in Equity indices and shares, the Yen's decline, the precious metals and the fall of the Ruble, which we exited at the lows. We strongly recommend that our subscribers take the time to read this analysis of our performance to enhance their understanding our how we consistently extract alpha from the markets.
Q1 2022 PERFORMANCE REVIEW CONTENTS
1. Global Forecaster introduction
2. Our main Q1 2022 geopolitical calls
3. Q3 market predictions and performance
4. Alpha Capture funds and their performance
1.0 GLOBAL FORECASTER TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AND RISK METHODOLOGY
Global Forecaster was set up in the summer of 2019 to inform and advise professional asset managers through troubled waters. During that year, there were obvious indicators that global markets were soon to peak (in February 2020) and collapse with the most grievous consequences. We have called this transition The Great Shift as it is driven by the intersection of the peak of the K wave cycle and hegemonic challenge of China to America and the West.
We now have 11 quarters of performance under our belt, and the results of our geopolitical predictions, market predictions and Alpha Capture fund performances have been exceptional. We believe the key to high returns and long-term success is based on:
1. Prescient market views generated within a systematic multi-timeframe and price modelling system
2. Good trade entry points with tight and structurally meaningful stops (entered with contrarian price modelling)
3. Appropriate position sizing
4. Risk management following the progression of a trend
5. Successful trade exit points.
These key five points describe Global Forecaster’s risk methodology. By reading the below quarterly performance appraisal, you will have a better idea of how we apply our risk allocation methodology, as well as how we combine geopolitical predictions using various models from Breaking The Code Of History. All of these real-time predictions have been published on the Global Forecaster website and are available to our clients.
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |