Arkite Alerts Archive

Dear Arkite,

Treat yourself this Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning and get 20% off.

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Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

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1.     Do you have the in-house skills to predict the market's responses as events escalate into a global war?

2.     Have you appreciated that the current conflict-escalating dynamics, which are taking place against the rising entropy of the K-wave into 2030, make de-escalation highly unlikely?

3.     Are you in denial in a state of war blindness? Much as in July 1914, we are now in an unstoppable chain reaction to a full-blown regional war in the Middle East. Yet the majority of the population of the democratic world is in total denial as to the scale of the disaster ahead.

4.     Have you accounted for the Delusional market behaviour? Similar to July 1914, the world and markets are in denial in a state of war blindness. Hence, we are not seeing reality reflected in markets. But remember, after the assignation of Archduke Ferdinand in 1914, the markets went sideways for a month, then when the first shot was fired, UK bonds fell 50%! To survive this situation, we must all shake off our shock and be prepared for the worst while only hoping for the best! So, re-read:

5.     Are you prepared for a massive oil price shock? The key immediate economic ramification will be the massive rally in oil to $150, and over the next few years $250, as the Gulf is closed to traffic by Iran, which will be the driver behind market responses. Read; The Iran-Israel War Will Drive A Major Commodity Rally.

6.     Have you factored in that China could well Initiate its war with America. In line with our predictions of a total escalation into WW3, we see a high probability that China could commence its war with America as the Middle Eastern war escalates (see Red Peril 30; Ten Reasons Why Xi Will Go To War In 2024 and Red Peril 41. American War Blindness; Part 8 Vulnerability Exposed). A key reason is an oil shock that further weakens China's economy, forcing Xi into war rather than economic collapse (see Managing Investment Risk Into A War With China).

7.     Have you done the work? Can you afford not to integrate our perspectives into your investment starter?

· An Investment Strategy For WW3: Part 1

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 2 – Market Behaviour During WW1

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 3 – Market Behaviour During WW2

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 4 – How To Preserve Wealth

If any of the above is absent from your investment scenarios, then you would be irresponsible not to subscribe to our Market-proven alpha generation models Financial Market Forecasts | David Murrin

ENGAGE DAVID | DAVID MURRIN

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Dear Arkite,

We're running a great offer this Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning to get 20% off.

Image

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

Dear Subscribers,

The Global Forecaster vaults have been opened back up all the way to the middle of June 2023! Having been closed for a time, anyone with a Gold-level subscription can now read David's Murrination Insights in full on the website going back over a year, that's over 200 articles. Arkite and Silver-level subscribers upgrade now to view all David's Murrination.

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Just some of the articles now available include:

Red Peril 23; The Infiltration of Britain and the West
The Cycle of Globalisation 1; The Link to Hegemony
The 108-112 Year Hegemonic War Cycle
K-Wave Entropy and Polarisation 1: The Theory
Britain Desperately Needs a Comprehensive Missile Shield; Part 1: Voices From WW2
How Do the Human Predators Xi and Putin View the West and Britain?
The Forgotten Value of Real Deterrence
Red Peril 34; The Breathtaking Magnitude of China's Global Ambitions
Another Prediction Proven Correct – 1: Chinese Innovation Dominance

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Christmas Book Offer

We're also running a great offer just in time for Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning to get 20% off.

Image

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

Dear Arkite,

We're running a great offer just in time for Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning to get 20% off.

Image

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

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Watch a segment of David's latest talk

For over two decades, David Murrin has captivated audiences worldwide with his remarkable ability to predict future trends and global events. Renowned as a polymath and visionary, David’s groundbreaking work integrates the complexities of human behavior, geopolitics, and financial markets into actionable insights. As an acclaimed author, speaker, and strategist, he empowers decision-makers to navigate the uncertainties of today’s rapidly changing world.

Drawing on his expertise as a seismologist, hedge fund manager, and geopolitical theorist, David has honed unique models of human systems to predict patterns and trends with astonishing accuracy. His seminal book, Breaking the Code of History (2009), anticipated many of the transformative changes shaping our world today, from the decline of Western hegemony to the rise of China. Guided by Churchill’s timeless maxim, “The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see,” David’s deep understanding of historical cycles enables him to illuminate pathways to the future.

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David’s career journey—from studying physics and geophysics, to advising governments and corporations—has been fueled by a relentless curiosity to decode the forces that shape our collective destinies. As a speaker, he combines historical insights with practical roadmaps, helping leaders in business, defense, and finance anticipate and adapt to emerging challenges. His unique Five Phase Life Cycle of Empire framework provides a powerful lens through which to understand the dynamics of nations, markets, and institutions.

David continues to offer unparalleled expertise in predicting market movements and geopolitical shifts. With a focus on the ongoing contest between democracy and autocracy, he sheds light on China’s challenge to American dominance and its implications for global stability.

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David Murrin’s keynotes are a compelling blend of thought-provoking analysis and practical wisdom. Whether addressing corporate leaders, policymakers, or international organizations, his presentations inspire action, challenge assumptions, and offer clarity in an age of disruption.

Watch a segment of David's latest talk or book David here.

Dear Arkite,

Watch my latest interview now!

David Murrin joins Jonathan for an UnWoke conversation. The global economy, wars, History, England, U.S., personality types... there's something here for everyone!

We hope you enjoy the conversation as much as we do!

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Watch Now

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In other news the brilliant James Holland agrees with me, on the @WeHaveWaysPod podcast:

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to make defence a national priority and increase spending to 5% of GDP. I published Now Or Never; The Global Forecaster UK Strategic Defence Review in 2020, download it here or purchase a hardcopy:

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Dear Arkite,

In light of Trump winning the Presidential election and also having listened to the latest We Have Ways Of Making You Talk podcast, Trump and Hitler: A Warning From History. Where the great James Holland echos my stance that we should increase defence spending to 5% of GDP, I have released a digital copy of my Now or Never, The Global Forecaster UK Strategic Defence Review 2020. 

I feel now more than ever that Britain needs to heed the warnings from history that a strong defence helps to deter conflict. Trump's isolationist stance will only increase the vacuum and Britain needs to stand tall to fill the void.

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I'm hoping this document will help educate you and raise awareness that our defence forces are sorely lacking, at a time when they are needed most. Download your own copy to read over the weekend or purchase a hardcopy here.

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Join @Murrinraw on Instagram and facebook for pithy up to the minute commentary.

I look forward to seeing you there!

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Dear Arkite,

Listen to my latest interview on The Grant Williams podcast:

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"In the latest episode of The Grant Williams podcast, I’m joined by Global Forecaster, David Murrin who offers us some valuable insight into his background before we dive into a riveting discussion about lateral versus linear thinking, the cycles of empires, and the geopolitical tensions between the West and China.

David argues that the West is in decline while China is an ascendant power seeking global dominance and predicts an escalating series of conflicts, potentially leading to a third world war in the coming decade as China seeks to displace the US as the global hegemon.

David’s detailed analysis of China’s strategic approach and the West’s vulnerabilities make a compelling case that the world is heading towards a major confrontation with grave consequences.

Some of the issues discussed may prove challenging for listeners, but engaging with these difficult topics and considering their implications for the future are, without doubt, an important use of your time."

Listen Now!

I thoroughly enjoyed your conversation on Grant Williams’ podcast which I consumed on a long drive from N. Georgia to Birmingham Alabama this morning. One of your best.

I wanted to express my admiration for the intellectual framework and theory of entropic social systems you have created and shared with the world. I know the right people are listening to you and that the wrong people running the show are currently not, but when the moment of truth comes and the latter are found wanting and unable to respond, the right people will have been well-briefed through your insights and will be able to formulate lateral responses to the civilizational challenges we face.

Sir Steven Wilkinson KCNG - Founder & Managing Director, Good And Proper

Neil Howe's The Fourth Turning is here. What a phenomenal read. In the epilogue he talks about our "collective confusion" as a result of being in the Fourth Turning, after he has set out his thoughts about how each generation of us might emerge from this crisis period.

Turbo boost this read by also ordering Breaking the Code of History by David Murrin available directly from his website. David has spent a lifetime working on his frameworks around the ascent to and descent from empire to decline, it's breathtaking stuff. He recently laid out his latest geopolitical thinking on the Grant Williams podcast released a couple of days ago, which I can't recommend highly enough even though it is a potentially challenging listen.

Struan Malcolm Partner & COO at Fundrella

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