Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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 For China's envisaged war plan against America to work, it needs to build up the ability to resource its people and wartime industrial economy based on a sphere of influence that includes Russia…

Last Update: Sat, 07/06/2025 - 18:12

The concept of "total war", as articulated by Carl von Clausewitz in his seminal work On War, refers to a form of warfare that mobilises all available resources of a nation—economic, political,…

Last Update: Thu, 03/07/2025 - 19:42

Having observed Chinese expansion closely for two decades, I believe that Xi and his upper echelons have been following a long-term strategy to challenge and destroy American global hegemony, both…

Last Update: Sat, 14/12/2024 - 07:59

In early January 2024, we made this prediction in Red Peril 30; Ten Reasons Why Xi Will Go To War In 2024. Eight months later, in this new Murrination, we will re-examine why I believe that ''Xi…

Last Update: Wed, 23/10/2024 - 06:53

War blind is a new term I have coined for those in the Western world who refuse to see the extreme danger we face from all-out WW3 with the Axis of Autocracy. The degree of their war blindness is…

Last Update: Thu, 15/08/2024 - 10:37

The government rightly remains on ‘high alert’ for the risk of more violence across the country. But does Starmer really understand what is unfolding on his watch? He was certainly quick to blame…

Last Update: Thu, 15/05/2025 - 20:41

As CIO of Emergent in 2001, I identified the beginning of a new 26-year K-wave cycle that would breathe new life into the moribund commodities sector. That observation defined our investment…

Last Update: Mon, 23/09/2024 - 15:09

One of the clear market dynamics that we use in our market pattern recognition system is the rule of alternation. Put simply, it means that after any market has seen an impulsive move followed by…

Last Update: Wed, 23/10/2024 - 07:09

We predict that Starmer's government will be a wartime government, meaning that all other policy decisions will be eclipsed by those that Labour takes in the defence of the nation during this…