Our main predictions for 2023 were outlined in a series of posts published in early January called The Year To Take Cover (as below). They have all been quietly building momentum, much like the…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/01/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 19/09/2024 - 10:31
As memory gradually fades, today we tend to only remember our victories in WW1 and WW2. But we should not forget how those wars started, or how unprepared we were to fight them.
In WW1,…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/01/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 19/09/2024 - 13:16
Since 27 October when the Houthis started firing missiles and drones at Israel, and ships connected with Israel, we have seen the use of a new type of anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) - a…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 02/01/2024 - 12:00
Last Update: Fri, 01/05/2026 - 12:03
Unlike America and Israel, the European countries have neglected their missile defences since the Cold War – but they have started to take notice since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Germany,…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 31/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/03/2024 - 18:40
Israel's missile defence has been considered key to the country's survival for decades, living as they do on a speck of land surrounded by enemies. The threat mainly comes from Iran and her…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 30/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 18/03/2025 - 14:13
Before the invasion of Ukraine, the neglect of the UK's defences was, as we argued in Now Or Never, both negligent and irresponsible. See also: Sunak 2; Wartime Chancellor Or…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 29/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/03/2024 - 18:54
1.0 Introduction
History provides us with powerful and useful lessons when it is drawn from the Five Stages of Empire roadmap. In the 1930s, the RAF held…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 28/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 14/01/2024 - 09:33
The world we live in is being changed beyond recognition by the increasingly hegemonic challenge of China to Pax America. In this period of great entropic flux, the Chinese have an important…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 21/12/2023 - 12:00
Last Update: Mon, 11/11/2024 - 18:17
The most dangerous moment for Israel was in the opening moments of the 7 October attack, when its leadership did not know if a multi-front war had opened up to include Hezbollah and Iran in an…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 21/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 16/02/2026 - 14:09
Introduction
Our Theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems describes how the human survival strategy is based on creating social structures that maximise human anti-entropy to push back the…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 20/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 05/02/2026 - 13:52
Introduction
The power and wealth of the seaborne hegemonies of Pax Britannia and Pax America were, and are, based on their ability to control the world's sea lanes. Hence the campaign being…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 19/12/2023 - 13:30
Last Update: Thu, 12/06/2025 - 11:15
In my Theory of Warfare, I postulate that expansive nations behave much like predators in the animal kingdom, and playground bullies. Indeed, the nations of the Asian Autocratic Alliance are all…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 18/12/2023 - 08:00
Xi Jinping put China on an industrial war footing the moment Covid arrived on Western shores in March 2020. Which, as we have explained, was his equivalent of Hitler's four-year plan initiated in…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 14/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 24/09/2024 - 10:06
The discussion over immigration has become highly emotive and polarising one in Western politics.
1.0 Immigration the Political Hot Potato of the Day
To see just how divisive it…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 12/12/2023 - 12:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/03/2024 - 19:19
Events in Ukraine are now coming to a desperate head, with the Russian forces relentlessly attacking the Avdiivka salient with 40% of their combat power and more human waves. Such that it seems…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 12/12/2023 - 08:30
Last Update: Wed, 23/07/2025 - 11:09
Introduction
Whilst the ground war has stalled, the Ukrainians have been hard at work in the Black Sea, demonstrating determination and innovation in their maritime campaign, a campaign that has…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 11/12/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 08/04/2024 - 18:20
The question of the day is: can anyone afford to rely on America as an ally? Because today America, as an empire, is hell-bent on committing hegemonic suicide. Despite being reliant on its web of…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 10/12/2023 - 10:45
Last Update: Fri, 15/03/2024 - 08:48
The beating heart of a democracy is free debate and a free press. An agency that is under attack on all fronts from the Axis of Asian Autocracy, seeking to control and mute free speech in Britain…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |