In November 1917, after spending the whole war in an offensive mode, Sir Douglas Haig knew that in response to the revolution in Russia, Germany would release up to 55 divisions to make a major…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 05/08/2024 - 08:08
"Tora" means "tiger" in Japanese, and was the codename for the strike by the Japanese Imperial Navy during their attack on Pearl Harbour. Hence the rally cry of the Japanese bombers making their…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 27/04/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 26/02/2025 - 17:31
4.0 Total Surprise is the Only Way the PLAN can Execute Regional Military Dominance
Incremental expansion is always more appealing to a hegemonic challenger than a sudden all-out war, with…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 25/04/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 03/07/2023 - 09:57
In a country that is rarely exposed to natural disasters (unlike Japan with its typhoons and earthquakes), the sole purpose of an emergency alert system in Britain is to warn of an impending…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 24/04/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 24/04/2023 - 14:31
3.0 Comparisons of Naval Capability
3.1 The Pacific balance of power currently favours the American/Democratic forces by a significant amount, in both numbers and technology.…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 22/04/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 14/03/2025 - 15:10
Neville Chamberlain was no doubt a good man, locked into a linear way of thinking that prevented him from divining and reacting to Hitler’s clear intention to wage war on his nation and its allies…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 21/04/2023 - 09:30
Last Update: Sat, 22/04/2023 - 00:24
2.0 China's Strategy for Victory
The key lessons from History For China in seeking to win its hegemonic challenge are as follows:
Building an asymmetric advantage that negates the…Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 20/04/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 14/03/2025 - 15:09
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1.0 Historic Examples of Asymmetric Hegemonic Challenge
In this Murrination we will explain the strategic reality that Xi’s PLAN…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 19/04/2023 - 09:00
The main purpose of signals intelligence (SIGINT) is to know about the activities, capabilities and intentions of your rivals. Signals intelligence is a key tool in comprehending what military and…
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