Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Wed, 21/05/2025 - 13:42

The failure to recognise that large-scale reconnaissance, such as that conducted by Putin’s subsea assets, always has aggressive intentions, has resulted in a total failure to effectively counter…

Last Update: Mon, 15/05/2023 - 13:55

History is replete with nations whose armed forces sought to challenge larger hegemonic powers, and to do so they built an asymmetrical advantage into their calculations. Putin followed just such…

Last Update: Fri, 14/03/2025 - 14:51

1.0 Lessons From WW2 and General Model

One of WW2 and Germany's greatest generals, with a reputation for constantly skilled command in both attack and defence, has now faded into the…

Last Update: Mon, 15/05/2023 - 20:37

Red Lightning was written in 2020 and published in early 2021. Hence there are a number of geopolitical changes that we would make today, if we were writing the book again three years later. But…

Last Update: Fri, 15/08/2025 - 19:17
Introduction

In November 1917, after spending the whole war in an offensive mode, Sir Douglas Haig knew that in response to the revolution in Russia, Germany would release up to 55 divisions to…

Last Update: Mon, 05/08/2024 - 08:08

"Tora" means "tiger" in Japanese, and was the codename for the strike by the Japanese Imperial Navy during their attack on Pearl Harbour. Hence the rally cry of the Japanese bombers making their…

Last Update: Wed, 26/02/2025 - 17:31

4.0 Total Surprise is the Only Way the PLAN can Execute Regional Military Dominance

Incremental expansion is always more appealing to a hegemonic challenger than a sudden all-out war, with…

Last Update: Mon, 03/07/2023 - 09:57

In a country that is rarely exposed to natural disasters (unlike Japan with its typhoons and earthquakes), the sole purpose of an emergency alert system in Britain is to warn of an impending…

Last Update: Mon, 24/04/2023 - 14:31

3.0 Comparisons of Naval Capability

 

3.1 The Pacific balance of power currently favours the American/Democratic forces by a significant amount, in both numbers and technology.…