Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Tue, 04/03/2025 - 11:04

5.0 Brexit to Lateralise or Fall

We started with the question of what evaluation metrics should be applied to Brexit to monitor its success.

Last Update: Sun, 06/04/2025 - 10:16

The Five Stages of Empire cycle predicts that as a system enters late regionalisation it shifts modes from "copy and assimilate" to "innovation". Then by the second stage of expansion to empire,…

Last Update: Fri, 16/02/2024 - 07:25

The Telegraph’s release of 'Lockdown-gate' exposed the extreme dysfunction of Johnson’s leadership and his supporting government throughout the three waves of the Covid pandemic. The period caused…

4.0 Success 1: The Start of Greater Globalisation

In this regard, Britain has swiftly reassumed its global perspective and interactions, which will bear fruit in the…

Last Update: Sun, 31/08/2025 - 14:24

One of the less well-known key global maritime strategic choke points is the Greenland-Iceland-UK (GIUK) gap, which comprises two stretches of the northern Atlantic Ocean between these three…

Last Update: Tue, 25/02/2025 - 17:37

Our collapse of the doomsday Bubble prediction is very much ongoing, and we believe on the cusp of an acceleration lower. In our Long/Short Strategies November 2022, we explained why we have been…

Last Update: Tue, 29/07/2025 - 10:25
3.6 Failure 5: The UK Urgently Needs a New Economic and Social Construct

The Tories have refused to maximise the potential advantages and Brexit delivery is in the doldrums, when inflation has…

Last Update: Fri, 14/03/2025 - 15:19

Within our theory of Human Collective Systems, under Principle 3, we outline our theory on the lateral/linear symbiotic dynamics in human systems. Specifically that during the expansionary phase…

Last Update: Fri, 14/03/2025 - 15:24

3.2  Failure 2: Brexit Left Northern Ireland Behind

3.2.1 An Unexploded Bomb (UXB) Under Brexit

The Northern Ireland Protocol was a metaphorical bomb left…