Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Fri, 01/08/2025 - 06:58
2.0 The year named

We named last year The Year to Look Up, based on the Netflix film Don’t Look Up. Because rarely has a film so captured a society's mental state of total delusion and denial. A…

Last Update: Thu, 31/07/2025 - 23:52

1.0 The big risks; hegemonic challenge continues to increase global entropy

Global Forecaster's core thesis of Anti Entropy in Human Systems describes why humans…

Last Update: Tue, 06/01/2026 - 11:56

The following  is an appraisal of our 10 main geopolitical predictions made at the start of 2022. This does not include any of the subsequent predictions that we have made during the year.

1.…
Last Update: Fri, 03/10/2025 - 08:18
Introduction

Since the commencement of the new Global Britain cycle of empire, we have seen a clear alternation of leadership between lateral- and linear-thinking prime ministers. For those of…

Last Update: Tue, 11/11/2025 - 07:39
Introduction

History does not just rhyme; it repeats over and over again and will do until we enshrine its lessons in our thoughts and actions. We have already written about the analogy between…

Last Update: Sat, 07/01/2023 - 13:41

The Biden administration’s decision to provide the highly capable surface-to-air area defence Patriot System to Ukraine is extremely significant. Foremost because it…

Last Update: Mon, 22/04/2024 - 10:04

Global Forecaster anticipated both the invasion of Ukraine months beforehand, and that it would be the start of a protracted conflict that would be known in the future as WW3. Consequently, on 22…

Last Update: Thu, 01/06/2023 - 10:23

There are two kinds of government: peacetime leadership, which can be lateral or linear and alternates on the cycle of empires and nations; and wartime leadership, which to be effective and…

Last Update: Fri, 21/04/2023 - 09:36

China, in its arms race with America, has, for the past two decades, focused on denying the region within the third island chain to the US and its allies' warships. It has done this by building a…