BTCH has long argued that the Brexit debate represents the energy of a civil war of regionalization acted out for the first time in mankind's history, peacefully through a democratic process. An enormous leap forward in humans affairs. However, core to that process is a Darwinistic mechanism, to remove the old weak leadership and replace it with a more effective leadership that can both heal the great rift and present a vision that can be implemented for the nation to move forward after the end of the conflict.
In that regard, nothing has really changed within parliament to date. But inevitably the social transformation must be completed. However, such a process is constrained by various legal boundaries such as the 5-year term of government and the 11 month wait period before a new conservative leadership challenge can be mounted. Thus the departure of MPs from their respective parties on both sides of the house this week is the only way that change can be expressed. So what should we expect next in this process?
Starting with The Labour Party’s recent history, since the last election when they gained ground the most common fear amongst Conservatives is that Labour is hard on their heals and a very real threat in the next election. However, BTCH has argued since 2017, that the Labour party is not a primary threat and that its success was the last dying gasp based on the unelectable nature of Mrs May. This prediction was based on the observation that in late regionalization and the second stage of expansion to the empire the nation needs wealth creation politics to manifest its growth, and certainly not wealth distribution politics as expounded by Labour today under Corbyn. Indeed the chart below (courtesy of one very talented Tony Plumber) shows a very clear pattern of declining Labour support.
It is ironic that like all systems in decline, the labor party has eaten itself into destruction, driven by the trade unions who were determined to move the party back to the left where it originated and away from its electable central position in UK politics, expounded by Blair. In so doing they chose to support weak leaders like Miliband Junior and Corbyn so that they could manipulate the party and country. In expounding wealth distribution politics for their own ends their timing could not have been worse, as the needs of the nation were the very opposite, requiring wealth creation before there was any chance of distribution. It is ironic that systems in terminal decline, are stripped of the niceties of social camouflage and their essential nature is revealed. Whilst The Labour Party was founded in 1900 and outwardly sought social justice, which was a valid cause at the time. That positive energy also cloaked the politics of envy and jealousy. Today the completely unacceptable growing levels of anti-Semitism are an echo of just such an energy. An energy that is rightly the death knell of The Labour Party as we know it. As such the departure of Labour MPs to an independent group, can only be applauded and recognized as the beginning of the end of the now dysfunctional Labour Party.
Recognizing that Britain needs wealth distribution politics, this collective need will ultimately move both of the main parties to the right. BTCH has long argued that to secure their ground, the Conservatives need to move to the right to their traditional policies (with one primary modification). The ERG is the closest group that fits this framework at present but is not quite in a form that is electable and as such it would be better for them to win the internal battle within their party than to become a new separate party.
The most likely outcome is that the new independent group becomes a new party that attracts the center MPs of The Labour Party and Conservatives. Leaving the radical left running Labour into the ground. Meanwhile, the Conservatives will be forced to move to the right to define themselves. Initially, they will be perceived as very exposed, as for the past 30-years, the center has dominated British politics. However, in the next few years before the next election, their traditional wealth policies will gain traction if they can elect a strong leader. If they can further expose a unique dual policy of simultaneous wealth creation and distribution linked to social justice their position will become as unassailable as May's position as leader will become untenable.
The winds of change are now picking up speed which will forever change the British political landscape.