As a regular reader of Murrinations you will be aware of my concern at the rise of Chinese power over the past decade. This includes a strengthening alliance with Russia combined with a strategy to seek control of major Sea Lanes such as the Cape Route and The Straights of Hormuz. Only recently there was news that:
1. The Russian and the Chinese are conducting a trilateral naval exercise with South Africa in the strategic waters off the Cape of Good Hope. Called, Moris, this is the first time that the three countries have worked together in such exercises. This reflects the growing weight of China and Russia in South Africa’s security calculus and Pretoria’s growing political distance from the West.
2. Meanwhile, Iran has said that it plans to hold joint naval drills with Russia and China in the turbulent waters of the Persian Gulf.
As Christmas is on its way I thought you might like two books that will give you an independent perspective on the magnitude of the challenge China represents.
China’s Vision of Victory
I have known Jonathan for almost a decade and a half since we started discussing my theory based on Breaking the Code of History, that the rise of China which I predicted, would be far from benign to the western world of democracy and freedom... Since then he has studied and researched and sought to understand the details of how China thinks and its strategic plan. Working from a deep sense of national destiny, the Chinese Communist Party is guiding a country of 1.4 billion people towards what it calls "the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation," and, with it, the end of an American-led world. China's Vision of Victory brings the reader to a new understanding of China's planning, strategy, and ambitions. From seabed to space, from Africa to the Arctic, from subsurface warfare to the rise of China's global corporations, this book will illuminate for the reader the new great game of our lifetime, and how our adversary sees it all. Jonathan’s work and insight are excellent and confirm my worst fears with respect to Chinas intentions. For those of you that need detail to change your mind, I recommend you read his book from cover to cover.
About the Author
DR. JONATHAN D. T. WARD has been studying the rise of China for over a decade. From travels with truck caravans in Tibet and across the South China Sea by cargo ship in his early twenties, to accessing Communist Party archives that have now been closed to the world while a PhD candidate at Oxford, to consulting for the US Department of Defense and Fortune 500 organizations, he has brought experience of a traveler, the discipline of a scholar, and the insight of a strategy consultant to one of the toughest, biggest pictures of our time: what does China want, how will it try to get it, and what should America do? Dr. Ward is Founder of Atlas Organization, a consultancy focused on the rise of India and China, and on US-China global competition. He speaks Chinese, Russian, Spanish, and Arabic.
How Political Neglect Is Choking American Seapower
The challenges to American security in the Western Pacific, Chinese Seas, the Persian Gulf, and even the Atlantic are growing significantly. Consequently, U.S. military commanders seek more naval forces to protect America's interest in the safe transit of American goods, to create an effective deterrence in a proliferating world. At the same time, until the arrival of Trump the US political system had lost its commitment to pax America causing U.S. defence budgets to shrink. Consequently American seapower has not been as small as it is today since before World War I. Seablindness explains the risks and remedies as it looks at the consequences of neglect including the effect of increased deployments on families, and the widening risks to American interest in the immediate future. A must-read for anyone who is concerned for the future of global peace and stability.
Seth Cropsey served as Deputy Undersecretary of the Navy in the administrations of Ronald Reagan and George H. W. Bush. He was an officer in the U.S. Naval Reserve from 1985 to 2004. Cropsey is a Senior Fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington, DC and Director of Hudson's Center for American Seapower. His previous book, Mayday, published in 2014, examines the history of U.S. naval power, the fate of other maritime states that have given up or lost their power at sea, and policy options for the future.