Since 2011, the UK appeared poised to transition from a regional to an imperial power, following its Brexit-driven civil shift toward lateral governance and energetic national identity.…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Why is the West's future highly dependent on Ukraine and Israel being victorious against their Russian and Iranian protagonists?
To reach the answer, we must all step back from our…
Lebanon is once more a major battlezone in the Middle East. In this Murrination, we seek to assess the course of this campaign within the larger context of Iran's war on Israel.
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The UK’s energy and industrial policy, now under Ed Miliband’s leadership, is accelerating a self-destructive trajectory of deindustrialisation in the name of decarbonisation. Critics…
For those who have studied history, appeasement is an unpleasant and derogatory term that most probably believe has been consigned to the history books. However, a disastrous foreign policy…
For well over a decade I have consistently argued that Obama laid down the foundations of the decline of American global hard power and influence, allowing China to rise as he slept. He gave away…
Following on from The Next US President Part 1; Biden's End we predict that Harris will be the next US president. In our Murrination predictions for 2024 – The Year To Stay Under Cover | David…
Our persistent warnings over the past four years about a Chinese super Pearl Harbor - based on mass saturation attacks - are now reaching the mainstream. These warnings have been reinforced by the…
The clearest manifestation of China's expansive military intentions can be seen in the growth of its navy, which we argue is integral to the execution of China's Grand Plan. This process is, as we…