Despite a clear road to an escalation of WW3, There is Collective Western Denial That WW3 Has Started. However, the reality is that Chinese Lethal Aid to Russia is Now almost Inevitable whilst The…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 31/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 26/07/2024 - 16:49
Brexit did not fail, rather, none of the policies that were associated with the promise of Brexit have, as of yet, been enacted (apart from the process of actually legally leaving the EU). Since…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 30/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/06/2023 - 11:11
One of our predictions around the emergence of a new Global Britain was that as American power waned, we predicted that the UK would seek to fill that vacuum as the EU also followed the US path.…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 26/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 12/06/2023 - 10:34
One of the great ironies is that our Murrinations at times seem to attract more attention from the West’s enemies than they do from our linear British and American political leadership, whom they…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 25/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 15/06/2023 - 08:47
Liz Truss may be a strange fish, but to her credit, she has consistently highlighted the correct strategic priorities, which only a lateral thinker would see as the critical path forward for the…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 24/05/2023 - 10:00
Last Update: Fri, 16/06/2023 - 15:58
As we explained in The Battle for Ukraine 43: What Next? our conclusion remains that despite Russia’s best efforts to employ combat adaptations (see The Battle for Ukraine 40; Russian War-Fighting…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 24/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2026 - 10:30
4.0 The Massive Future Social Impact of AI
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The advantages of AI are obvious and include streamlining any iterative…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 23/05/2023 - 13:15
Last Update: Sun, 19/04/2026 - 15:08
3.0 AI Weaponisation and the Terminator Scenario
The delusional, liberal and optimistic scenario is that AI development will be focused on the common good of humanity. It…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 22/05/2023 - 09:00
Last Update: Mon, 16/02/2026 - 13:19
1.0 AI: The Revolution is Upon Us All
The AI revolution is upon us. In this case, I do not use the word 'revolution' lightly, because it will bring with it sweeping short and long-term…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 19/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 25/02/2025 - 17:27
The parallels between Britain facing up to the hegemonic challenge of Germany in the lead-up to WW1 and America today facing China's hegemonic challenge are considerable. The main one being the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 18/05/2023 - 09:00
It has been a few weeks since King Charles III's coronation captivated the nation and world, and so the press coverage has died down. However, the importance of the event deserves some reflection…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 16/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 26/02/2025 - 16:42
As we explained in NATO, Led by the UK, Seeks to Finally Allow Ukraine to Win the War, Russian forces are in a no-win situation. Putin's spring offensive was limited in its strategic capability,…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 15/05/2023 - 16:30
Last Update: Wed, 21/05/2025 - 13:42
The failure to recognise that large-scale reconnaissance, such as that conducted by Putin’s subsea assets, always has aggressive intentions, has resulted in a total failure to effectively counter…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 15/05/2023 - 12:30
Last Update: Mon, 15/05/2023 - 13:55
History is replete with nations whose armed forces sought to challenge larger hegemonic powers, and to do so they built an asymmetrical advantage into their calculations. Putin followed just such…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 12/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 14/03/2025 - 14:51
1.0 Lessons From WW2 and General Model
One of WW2 and Germany's greatest generals, with a reputation for constantly skilled command in both attack and defence, has now faded into the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 11/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 15/05/2023 - 20:37
Red Lightning was written in 2020 and published in early 2021. Hence there are a number of geopolitical changes that we would make today, if we were writing the book again three years later. But…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 09/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 23/02/2026 - 16:52
Introduction
In November 1917, after spending the whole war in an offensive mode, Sir Douglas Haig knew that in response to the revolution in Russia, Germany would release up to 55 divisions to…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/05/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 05/08/2024 - 08:08
"Tora" means "tiger" in Japanese, and was the codename for the strike by the Japanese Imperial Navy during their attack on Pearl Harbour. Hence the rally cry of the Japanese bombers making their…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |