Britain's referendum on European membership

The announcement by David Cameron that if the Tories are re-elected in 2015 they will hold a yes no referendum within that term, is a manifestation of the economic failure of Europe.

The growth of the global population in the 21st Century

With a global human population currently totalling some 7 billion and expected to grow by a further 2 billion before 2050, everyone should be concerned about the consequences from the resource competition that this trend implies.

December outlook - equity markets and reality

America        I have felt for some time that the US equity market has made its high of the year, and that the move to the lows of November were the first part of the decline in a new bear market, and the rally in the second half of November was in effect a wave two counter trend bounce, before the next phase of the decline. These bearish patterns are very clear in the NASDAQ, and the bellwether Apple stock.

The world's aircraft carriers

After 50 years of service and the accolade of being the US Navy’s first nuclear carrier the USS Enterprise was retired in November 2012, leaving only ten carriers in service.   It must be a matter of some considerable concern that, with the requirement for maintenance and training schedules,  this will only allow the US to deploy five carriers at any one time to police the world’s oceans. As capable as these vessels are, they cannot be in more than one place at a time!

An Alliance of the Americas

As human populations continue to grow, so larger organisational structures will need to be formed as an extension of a higher degree fractal of regionalisation, a concept I describe as 'super regionalisation'. The first real example of this is the European Union, although this structure is fatally flawed by the negative demographics at the heart of the old Europe. There will no doubt be other 'super regions' to come and one of these could well be an 'alliance of the Americas'.

Brazil and the regionalisation of Latin America

The process of the regionalisation of Latin America has clearly seen Brazil emerge as the dominant single nation in the region, with some 193 million of a total of 572 million population on the continent, contributing to 40% of the region's total GDP. This massive success is partly  due to the underlying power of the demographic expansion of Brazil, as well as the pragmatic nature of its people, and has taken place despite the less than optimal policies of the country's popular President from 2003-2010 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

Argentina: decline or rebirth?

Argentina has a rich history which is closely linked to its European origins and one that defines its very nature. It was the Spanish who first came for the silver, but after independence from Spain was declared in 1816, when the Argentine flag was officially adopted by the rebels, the ensuing Argentine War of Independence attracted disenfranchised ex French Bonapartists and Italians whose influence dominated for a few decades.

Gaza, and the ongoing war between Israel and Iran

There is no doubt that Israel's PM Benjamin Netanyahu believes that the Iranian nuclear programme represents a clear and present danger to Israel, a risk that involves the potential destruction of his country. He is a hard liner and a very determined man who has been pushing against American attempts to prevent him from executing a pre-emptive strike on Iranian nuclear facilities for years. 

Obama's victory; America's decline

In Chapter 5 of BREAKING THE CODE OF HISTORY I discussed the social changes of the American empire over its life span and focused especially on the significance of Barack Obama's election as President four years ago.

Lesson from the Cold War

The Western world and Japan has lived with the spectre of nuclear war for over 65 years now. Thankfully the once ever-present danger of annihilation has abated since the end of the Cold War. However, we must not become complacent and through negligence allow the risks to once more escalate. This film made in 1965 is a stark reminder as to why we must never take our eye of the nuclear ball as the stakes are just too high.....


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