Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, we have been arguing that like the onset of the second Sino-Japanese War in 1937 that started WW2, the invasion was the start of WW3…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 26/08/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 31/08/2023 - 13:59
The fifth stage of the Five Stages of Empire is one that produces some very frightening outcomes, which start with constrictive thinking. In the case of America today, this stage of decline…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 24/08/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 09/10/2023 - 10:13
The phenomenon where investors buy highs and sell lows, in response to collective herd movements, is not restricted to markets but also includes any human endeavour that is by definition…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 21/08/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 09/03/2024 - 20:52
In our Murrination The Next Commodity Surge Has Commenced, we warned that the next commodity surge had started and would be driven by the process of commodity constriction. This will be led by the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 17/08/2023 - 09:45
Last Update: Tue, 10/09/2024 - 10:37
6.0 Leaving the UK Defenceless
Wallace would have us believe that his proudest achievement is the war he waged in Whitehall for defence. One which he believes he won – but we have argued…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 15/08/2023 - 08:15
Last Update: Fri, 12/01/2024 - 10:23
As we have discussed many times, war is the ultimate forced human adaption process, as each side seeks to out-adapt its enemy. We have no doubt that Ukraine, in combination with NATO resources, is…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 11/08/2023 - 08:15
Last Update: Fri, 18/10/2024 - 16:00
5.0 Wallace’s current view is that higher defence spending is not just vanity but a necessity which he justifies by the picture that he painted recently of the risks ahead.
“Towards the end…Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 10/08/2023 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 27/02/2025 - 12:23
Since the Invasion of Ukraine, we have been arguing that NATO nations must put their economies and armed forces on a war-time footing. We described this specifically with respect to the process of…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 08/08/2023 - 12:00
3.0 The war in Ukraine
During the time when the defence department and Whitehall officialdom (aka the linear-thinking Blob) thought Britain should not get involved, Wallace, with the support…
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