It is a well-known proverb that ‘no battle plan survives contact with the enemy’, a sentiment that Putin is likely pondering as we write because his…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 25/02/2022 - 17:00
Last Update: Wed, 02/03/2022 - 11:42
We have been warning of a dangerous confluence of events that would be brought about by Biden’s weakness as a leader combined with the last third phase of the current…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 25/02/2022 - 10:40
Last Update: Mon, 20/06/2022 - 09:28
Yesterday, we awoke to a new age of war in Europe. Made all the more shocking by Putin’s threat to use nuclear weapons if his forces were to be interfered with, a tactic…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 24/02/2022 - 12:48
Last Update: Fri, 25/02/2022 - 08:49
First and foremost, our hearts go out to the people of Ukraine, upon whom Putin has perpetrated the worst of human crimes by starting a war of expansion without any just cause for his own…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 23/02/2022 - 15:00
The Violation. On Monday, Putin effectively annexed and invaded two provinces of Ukraine after he had recognised the two states’ independence as his troops rolled across…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 23/02/2022 - 12:00
Last Update: Fri, 20/02/2026 - 16:59
Introduction
On Monday, we witnessed Prime Minister Boris Johnson triumphantly announce the end of all COVID measures in England. Rather than being a victory over an enemy, the irony is that he…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 22/02/2022 - 15:35
Last Update: Thu, 19/02/2026 - 15:11
Introduction
The text examines how differences between authoritarian and democratic political systems, along with economic cycles and public psychology, influence the timing and initiation of…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 19/02/2022 - 18:40
Last Update: Wed, 24/01/2024 - 08:19
Terrifyingly, the invasion of Ukraine is now inevitable. A full-scale, high-intensity war will be unleashed against the Ukrainians that will see casualties on a level…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 17/02/2022 - 12:40
Last Update: Sat, 07/05/2022 - 09:32
Two of our main market predictions for 2022 The Year To Look Up have been that inflation will remain high as assets fall, creating stagflation and social unrest and that…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 15/02/2022 - 19:30
Last Update: Fri, 20/02/2026 - 17:26
The day predicted by Western intelligence when Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was to commence now draws near, i.e. tomorrow. As hope of a diplomatic resolution seem to be live in the press, we…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 13/02/2022 - 17:00
Last Update: Fri, 18/02/2022 - 10:16
The invasion of Ukraine, as we have been predicting, is now imminent. History will record that it was a direct consequence of many years of European neglect of its defences, coupled with the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 10/02/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 20/02/2026 - 17:31
Introduction
Concepts from modern physics—especially fractals and quantum theory—are applied to financial markets by treating price movements as patterns produced by collective human behaviour,…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 09/02/2022 - 09:20
Last Update: Wed, 15/05/2024 - 17:46
Many years ago, when I was looking for models to explain how markets behaved, I sought to employ my training as a physicist and translate our understanding of the physical universe into guidelines…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 07/02/2022 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 24/02/2026 - 21:33
Introduction
On the day that the Winter Olympics opened in Beijing, which should have been celebrating peace to all nations, we were met with an image of two dictators…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 04/02/2022 - 12:00
Last Update: Sat, 12/02/2022 - 10:36
Putin's move against Ukraine comes after years of persistently expansive and aggressive behaviour by Russian forces against those of NATO and the West, especially the UK’s and NATO’s naval forces…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 02/02/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 25/02/2026 - 16:50
The Future Of Human Society
There seems to be two options looking forward.
The first is that the democracies of the world are overrun by the Chinese Communist Party, and individuality and…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 01/02/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 24/02/2026 - 22:19
Hierarchy Versus Democracy
6.1 The Evolution Of Democracy
The traditional tribal human hunting unit was probably not different from a pack of lions, with an alpha male that dominated the…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 31/01/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 25/02/2026 - 16:57
Introduction
Remembrance of past conflicts is insufficient without applying their lessons to present strategy. The Falklands War is framed as a “pilot war” — a limited peripheral conflict that…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |