Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Fri, 20/02/2026 - 17:31
Introduction

Concepts from modern physics—especially fractals and quantum theory—are applied to financial markets by treating price movements as patterns produced by collective human behaviour,…

Last Update: Wed, 15/05/2024 - 17:46

Many years ago, when I was looking for models to explain how markets behaved, I sought to employ my training as a physicist and translate our understanding of the physical universe into guidelines…

Last Update: Tue, 24/02/2026 - 21:33
Introduction

On the day that the Winter Olympics opened in Beijing, which should have been celebrating peace to all nations, we were met with an image of two dictators…

Last Update: Sat, 12/02/2022 - 10:36

Putin's move against Ukraine comes after years of persistently expansive and aggressive behaviour by Russian forces against those of NATO and the West, especially the UK’s and NATO’s naval forces…

Last Update: Wed, 25/02/2026 - 16:50
The Future Of Human Society

There seems to be two options looking forward.

The first is that the democracies of the world are overrun by the Chinese Communist Party, and individuality and…

Last Update: Tue, 24/02/2026 - 22:19
Hierarchy Versus Democracy

6.1 The Evolution Of Democracy

The traditional tribal human hunting unit was probably not different from a pack of lions, with an alpha male that dominated the…

Last Update: Wed, 25/02/2026 - 16:57
Introduction

Remembrance of past conflicts is insufficient without applying their lessons to present strategy. The Falklands War is framed as a “pilot war” — a limited peripheral conflict that…

The Cascade Of Change

5.1 The Horizon Of Awareness 

The total collective knowledge of any human society at any time represents a horizon of awareness. These constructs are adopted almost…

The Cycle Of Empires Linked To Lateral And Linear Leadership

During the steady-state low-entropy environments that have endured for many years, there will always…

Last Update: Wed, 25/02/2026 - 16:22
The Hidden Lateral/Linear Structure Of Human Societies

3.1 Two Sub-Types Of Humans Operating Symbiotically

The evidence is that humans have very different physical appearances and…

Human Herding Is Hard-Wired

2.1 The Evolution Of The Human Brain 

The human brain has evolved over millions of years, with the Basel Ganglia first, followed by the limbic (emotional)…

We first articulated our Theory of Human Collective Systems some three years ago. Since then we have expanded this construct into a more-complete model, comprising seven principles, which we now…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 08:49
Introduction

I have, in many Murrination Insights, discussed the concept that this is likely to be the decade where mankind faces the very real prospect of…

Last Update: Tue, 24/02/2026 - 22:14
6.0 Anti-Entropy And The Power Of Love

Principle 9: Love = Anti-Entropy. The power of attraction bonds human collective systems; the stronger the bonds between…

Last Update: Wed, 25/02/2026 - 16:48
4.0 Longevity Through Human Social Structures

Humans, to date, have failed to transcend individual mortality but have instead relied on a different genetic strategy to beat entropy by building…

Last Update: Fri, 21/01/2022 - 22:15
1.0 An Introduction To Entropy

Since writing Breaking The Code Of History and formulating the Theory of Human Collective Systems we have continued to seek enhanced concepts that explain human…

Last Update: Wed, 19/01/2022 - 09:57

Ray Dalio has claimed that the conditions in place in America are such that they make a second civil war and the political impasse at the next election in 2024 almost…

Last Update: Tue, 18/01/2022 - 09:30

Ray Dalio's public platform to appear to act as Xi's propaganda arm in America is based on two very powerful components that mean that no one seems to be…