Today, we are witnessing two fully fledged regional wars erupting simultaneously—one in Europe over Ukraine, and the other in the Middle East involving Israel. Both conflicts share a…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 19/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:44
Introduction
Although World War I was shorter in duration than the protracted conflicts of 1793 to 1815, it marked a dramatic escalation in the scale and intensity of modern warfare. It was the…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 18/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 20/09/2025 - 17:46
Introduction
History teaches us that the truth is often the first casualty of authoritarianism. As empires decline, the dissonance between reality and propaganda intensifies.
In high-…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 17/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:46
Introduction
Just days after the 80th anniversary of VE Day, it is time we fully appreciate the sacrifices our forebears endured—and the hard lessons they were forced to learn. We in Europe now…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 16/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:48
Introduction
I realise this series of Murrinations will not be easy to read, but the time has come to shed any remaining illusions that global peace will endure. The danger is very real, and we…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 16/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:49
Introduction: The New Tactical Nuclear Battlefield
As tensions rise across Eastern Europe and the broader global security landscape, the unthinkable is once again becoming plausible: the…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 14/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:50
Introduction
Followers of Global Forecaster will recall that we have long argued COVID-19, originating from Wuhan, was not only lab-engineered but likely released intentionally. We have…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 13/06/2025 - 18:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:51
1.0 Introduction
Upon returning to power in 2024, Trump advanced a so-called peace agenda characterised by a dangerous mix of self-interest, transactional pragmatism and strategic disengagement.…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 12/06/2025 - 10:15
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:52
Introduction
We have been warning that a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities was inevitable, as outlined in Iran’s War on Israel 11; Imminent Nuclear Breakout and the IDF and American Response.…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 12/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 28/01/2026 - 20:33
Introduction
On the Ukrainian front lines, First-Person View (FPV) drones have transformed areas up to 15-20 miles behind the front into lethal kill zones, marking a decisive shift in the nature…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 11/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:57
Introduction
Hegemonic wars are vast, multi-year struggles for global dominance which occur roughly every 112 years. These conflicts demand not only formidable military capability but also…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 10/06/2025 - 08:30
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 15:58
Introduction
We warned in our Murrinations Human Malevolence 3; Will Trump End American Democracy? and The End Of the American Republic As We Know It that Trump would seek to consolidate all the …
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 09/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 16/02/2026 - 19:35
Introduction
China may be slowing economically, but strategically, it remains the most formidable rival the United States has ever faced. This moment demands clarity, a radically new containment…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 08/06/2025 - 10:00
Last Update: Mon, 22/09/2025 - 07:59
Introduction
On fringe forums and in private chats, MAGA supporters have long floated the idea of the “Dark Enlightenment”—the belief that America doesn't need a traditional politician at the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 06/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 25/08/2025 - 11:40
9.0 - Impact on the UK & U.S.
In examining the single or limited nuclear war scenario, we will start with one such weapon, the Topol (SS25), which has a range of around 7,000 miles, leaving…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 05/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 02/09/2025 - 13:02
1.0 - Dissonance & Decline: Hypernormalisation & the Illusion of Western Stability
We have regularly warned about the collective war-blindness in the West and remain surprised at how slow…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 03/06/2025 - 11:30
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:00
6.0 - Nuclear Strike Warning
What happens if a nuclear weapon is launched? In both the United States and Russia, early warning systems are designed to detect the thermal signature of a missile…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 02/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:02
Introduction
Image
Across the Western world, both our economies and our collective health are in visible decline. Our societies are becoming more…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |