Murrination Insights

14.0  Accurate and Timely Intelligence and Readiness are the only safeguards against surprise attack. The British failure to anticipate the Argentinian response, which was a desperation tactic by…

Over five weeks ago in The Battle For Ukraine 12; Putin's Options, we detailed what Putin's options would be as the war in Ukraine reversed suddenly against him. Since then that…

In our Murrination released on Wednesday 10 August 2022, over five weeks ago – The Battle For Ukraine 11; The Tide Has Turned Against Putin – we predicted that:

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12.0  Contested landings are no longer viable. Once the British fleet had completed the uncontested (from the shore) amphibious landing of its ground forces…

Amongst the many monarchs of British history, it is the three great queens who truly stand out along the five stages of the British Empire and the new cycle of Global Britain:…

11.0 The Surveillance Battle; the old battle adage that if you can't find me you cannot kill me was once more proven correct. Argentine forces were only configured to…

10.0 Fighting spirit and systems reliability is a critical component to winning any war. With very few exceptions, British forces expounded a remarkable fighting spirit across every level of their…

9.0 Brutal Air Defence Lessons After the sinking of the Sheffield, the war became a battle for air supremacy as the Argentinians attacked British ships with iron bombs dropped at an ultra-low…

8.0 Preparing For Surprise Shocking and Decisive Attacks  With the Argentine Navy neutralised before the British surface fleet approached the Falklands, the British refocused on defeating the air…

7.0 Sub-sea Dominance and Blockade  Argentina invaded the Falklands on 2 April 1982, swiftly capturing the islands as they over-whelmed a single Royal Marine Company. Three British nuclear-powered…

4.0  Distance and Military Logistics Argentina was a mere 400 nautical miles (nm) from the Falklands, whilst Britain was 7,800 miles away. The immense distance forced…

One of the key economic predictions that Global Forecaster has made since the March 2020 pandemic low was that the decade-long B wave of the current K wave cycle ended with the…

Followers of Murrinations will be familiar with our warnings for well over a decade, of the Chinese arms build-up, specifically designed to challenge America and the…

3.0 Victory was a close-run thing. War is a very precarious human entropic activity. As many commanders of armies and navies before have experienced, such as Wellington at Waterloo, or the…

One of the key theories discussed in Breaking the Code of History was that The K wave cycle was the drumbeat of war. From the moment in 2000 when we identified a new 56-year K wave cycle had…

2.0 War is The Failure Of Deterrence – the lesson from the Falklands starts with one of failed political intention. In the months preceding the invasion of the Falklands in 1981, HM Government had…

With the energy crisis in full swing, the subject of Putin’s stranglehold on the EU and NATO via his creation of almost total dependence on Russian gas has been well reported.…

1.0 The Shape of the China-US War to Come

The military lessons from the Falklands conflict have been one of the most studied wars at the…

Inflation is rising globally at an alarming rate, and in the UK and other countries it has become the number one political hot potato. Indeed, in the UK it has become the focus of…

4.0 The Key components of Inflation Today From Global Forecaster's perspective, we have watched politicians, Central banks, and Market participants all being caught totally by surprise as the K…

In our recent Murrination The Tide Of The War In Ukraine Has Turned Against Putin we highlighted that he is now coming under increasing pressure as his military campaign once more falters.

Introduction Global Forecaster's application of the K wave has allowed us to be well ahead of the curve in predicting its impact on our world as it entered the most ferocious phase of its C wave…

The tide of the war in Ukraine is now turning against Putin as we would argue that his forces have reached their high water mark. Much as Hitler's/Rommel’s…

Global Forecaster predicts that history will view Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine as the start of WW3. A war between the autocratic powers of Russia, China, and North Korea facing off against the…

From a field of eleven candidates, there are now only two in the leadership race, Sunak and Truss.

4.0 Sunak-Judged As Johnson's Nemesis.

Sunak’s political career as Chancellor has…

We are now in the 4th Taiwan straights crisis, that we fear will not resolve peacefully this time.

In 1996 the Chinese…

Global Forecaster is in the business of creating models that accurately represent human behaviour and then making predictions that others might not perceive. Sometimes our…

Johnsons aspirations for power have now come to an end in a destructive act of extreme bunker narcissism, that forced the majority of his cabinet to resign to force him out. His deluded…

In our previous Murrinations on accelerating the lateralisation of Society by engaging lateral/dyslexic thinking, we have highlighted that lateral thinkers comprise some…

The end of Boris Johnson as PM has been one of our core predictions for 2022. His betrayal of conservative values and incompetence in every policy sphere, coupled with his extreme…

Dyslexia is not a ‘disorder’ but an evolutionary advantage that can be harnessed in times of entropic change. Because the dyslexic gene appears to be the personification…

The concept of the symbiotic lateral-linear human society is poorly recognised and thus poorly understood, but is one of the core Global Forecaster…

​Global Forecaster has been running a campaign of Adaptation Through Lateralisation which is based on recognising that unless a government, military or company is sufficiently lateralised it is…

In part two of our series on drones and the revolution in military affairs that they represent, we are focusing on the Naval revolution that will inevitably…

Global Forecaster started to warn that Johnson was displaying poor judgment in April 2020 over the incorrect choice of lockdowns, versus the less restrictive Swedish…

In our Murrinations of The West Is In An Economic War With Putin That It Cannot Win published on 08/03/2022  we explained why Western sanctions would not impact Putin’s behaviour and that the West…

For those of you that follow our theories and predictions that go back two decades and have accurately predicted the path to this moment, you will know that the Western world sits on the edge of…

WW3 is racing towards the West at frightening speed and we are all asleep. As such, it is time to lateralise and adapt or be swept away.

1.0 American Decline

We have on numerous…

Germany invaded Poland on 1st September 1939, officially starting WW2 in Europe. However, between then and 10th May 1940, when Germany invaded France, the intervening eight…

1.0 An Elastic Limit. This is the highest force that can be applied to an object without permanent loss of elastic properties, such that it will retain its shape. Beyond that point it experiences…

The collective outpouring of emotion during the celebration of the Queen’s Platinum Jubilee was not just deeply moving to observe and share as a British…

Among the many monarchs of British history, it is her three great queens that truly stand out along the five stages of the British empire and the new cycle of Global…

Top Gun is the story of the archetypal maverick hero's life path over the past four decades living in the West. Our hero has struggled to survive in an institution that…

Top Gun: Maverick is the movie of 2022. A romping, engaging film that appeals to both the Top Gun 1 generation as well as the youth of today. It is truly fun and visually stunning. The combat…

7.0 What To do About The MOD?

In our Now Or Never report, we highlighted that the MOD was not truly fit for purpose and through its inefficient structure and use of funds had been…

Whilst the Navy can be applauded for fighting to stay in the game through two decades of defence cuts, the Army just allowed the cuts to wash them away and the RAF has ignored the air defence…

In our Vision Global Britain 2025 campaign, we articulated based on the Five Stages of Empire cycle, that Brexit was the regional civil war of Britain's new cycle, which started in 1980 with…

The following section may be considered technical, but please do not be put off. By understanding its content, you will be able to appreciate how dire…

The greatest political scandal today is the state of Britain's toothless defence capability, as the onset of a new age of war has raised the risk of WW3 to almost inevitable…

As we predicted a month ago, The K Wave Cycle Crisis: Food Security has risen to the fore of public consciousness as wave 1 of the wave C wave of the current 2000 to 2025 K wave cycle has already…

Based on our Theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems and Theory Of Warfare, we have in numerous Murrinations highlighted that expansive empires act like predators that…

Major industrial wars, like the one taking place in Ukraine, always accelerate changes in warfare, i.e. essential shifts in the way a war is fought. When they are profound, they…

In our last update on the Battle for Ukraine, we warned that Putin’s new focus on the east would result in victory unless the West supplied offensive weapons to Ukraine…

One of our core ten predictions for 2022 – The Year To Look Up was with reference to the COVID pandemic and came in two parts.

Part one was the only good news of the year – that the COVID…

We loudly applaud Boris Johnson's initiative to build defence alliances with Sweden and Finland, especially when they could be isolated and exposed (before they can join NATO) to Putin's potential…

One of our core ten predictions for 2022 – The Year To Look Up was that stagflation would increase as inflation remained high even as assets fell in price. This…

1.0 We have been warning that the Doomsday Bubble reached its peak in its bell weather index, the NASDAQ, just before Thanksgiving in 2021.

A peak in the NASDAQ price at 16740 that we…

Tomorrow, the UK will hold its local elections for its councils, which will act as a proxy judgement by the British electorate of Johnson's tumultuous 2.4 years of leadership as Prime Minister.…

Once a war has started, it often takes on a life and pathway of its own as the combatants become locked in a life or death struggle. When each side's resolve remains to fight because defeat is…

Since correctly predicting and calling the real-time high of the NASDAQ at 16740, we have been warning that a significant stock market fall in excess of 60% was going to unfold in 2022. Since then…

Forty years ago, an Exocet anti-ship missile sounded a deadly alarm by sinking HMS Sheffield. Last week, we were reminded of the power of sea-skimming anti-ship missiles with the sinking of the…

1.0 Global Forecaster has accurately predicted the past two decades of election results in the UK and US, but has shied away from making any predictions about France and its elections until now.…

The above image is the imposing picture of The Great Wave (Kanagawa Oki Nami Ura) which is the best-known work by Japanese artist Hokusai Katsushika (1760–1849), one of…

When Putin invaded Ukraine, the general expectation was that his forces would overwhelm Ukraine's resistance in a matter of days and weeks. However, this was not to be, for the reasons that we…

Every hegemonic arms race in history has a new weapon or tactical mechanism that epitomises the arms race and subsequent conflict as the dominant weapons system. In the run-up to…

1.0 Political Incompetency 
Well, here we are in another fine mess. Recently, there was a commentary in the press that a UK cabinet meeting discussing the cost of…

We have written about the Battle for Ukraine in numerous Murrinations Insights over the past weeks. The nature of our work requires us to look at the…

In this Murrinations Insight, we will link the fate of Ukraine to the successful conclusion of the Brexit process and the leadership of Boris Johnson though the crisis, and his re-…

NLAWs and Javelin anti-tank missiles are the priority threat that the Russian army needs to negate to shift the balance of power on the battlefield. The many pictures like those below attest to…

Our theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems explains why human societies keep fighting each other, in a constant test of entropy. Quite simply, it is Darwinism between…

1.0 Peace, But Not In Our Time

As we publish this article, the airwaves are full of the news of Russia's announcement that it was pulling back from Kyiv. Once more, the Western press and…

The Western press would like to portray that Ukraine is winning its war, that the Russians are wilting under sanctions and that Putin will fall under the pressure. However, the…