We have regularly warned about the collective war-blindness in the West and remain surprised at how slow…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 05/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 02/09/2025 - 13:02
1.0 - Dissonance & Decline: Hypernormalisation & the Illusion of Western Stability
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 03/06/2025 - 11:30
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:00
6.0 - Nuclear Strike Warning
What happens if a nuclear weapon is launched? In both the United States and Russia, early warning systems are designed to detect the thermal signature of a missile…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 02/06/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:02
Introduction
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Across the Western world, both our economies and our collective health are in visible decline. Our societies are becoming more…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 01/06/2025 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 21/04/2026 - 16:13
Introduction
Image
The Prime Minister is expected to launch the Strategic Defence Review (SDR) from a UK dockyard tomorrow in an act of symbolism of…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 30/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:05
4.0 Surviving a First Strike
The strategic nuclear triad is the foundation of a nation's nuclear deterrence strategy, consisting of three distinct delivery systems: land-based intercontinental…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 29/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:06
Introduction
In the context of total warfare, a "Hail Mary" refers to a last-resort military action—bold, risky, and strategically desperate—undertaken when a nation or force is facing imminent…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 28/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:07
Introduction
Five years ago, I wrote Red Lightning to warn the Western world about the strategic threat posed by the Chinese PLAN’s development of a vast anti-ship ballistic missile capability—an…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 27/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:07
Introduction
As of May 25, reports from Moscow suggest that the Russian government was conducting a "Continuity of Government" operation, with key officials being moved to secure locations…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 26/05/2025 - 12:30
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:08
The Big Interview
This extensive interview lasted for over 4.5 hours and is not in the public domain. However, Grant has kindly made our conversation available to Murrination Gold Subscribers.…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 22/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 18/03/2026 - 16:13
Introduction
In warfare, a "Hail Mary" refers to a last-resort military action—bold, risky, and strategically desperate—undertaken when a nation or force is facing imminent defeat or overwhelming…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 21/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 11/04/2026 - 09:25
Introduction
Whilst we are still only a fraction into Trump’s second term, it is already shaping up to be a disaster. As predicted, Donald Trump has emerged as an agent of entropy, accelerating…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 20/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 17/04/2026 - 08:04
Introduction
Putin’s “shadow fleet” refers to a covert network of over 100 oil tankers and cargo ships used by Russia to evade Western sanctions and sustain its wartime economy. These vessels…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 19/05/2025 - 14:00
Last Update: Tue, 22/07/2025 - 12:55
Introduction
Despite his promises to the contrary, we have long predicted that very linear Starmer would seek to reverse Brexit, and that profoundly concerning forecast is now becoming reality.…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 19/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:13
Introduction
It is the first time in the Navy’s 500-year history that its First Sea Lord has faced a formal misconduct probe. The forced resignation of First Sea Lord Admiral Sir Ben Key,…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 16/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:13
Introduction
Global Forecaster has been bullish on gold since the $1,650 low in October 2022. Since then, the price has nearly doubled, and we believe its ultimate target is $10,000 by the 2030…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 15/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:14
Introduction
In our Theory of the Five Stages of Empire, we describe the rise of a system as being driven by a spirit of collective purpose over individual self-interest. While its decline is…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 13/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:14
Introduction
The age of the battleship came to a close as advancements in military technology extended the effective range of combat far beyond the line-of-sight engagements that once defined…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 12/05/2025 - 11:45
Last Update: Mon, 23/02/2026 - 13:54
Introduction
In the very week the Western world marked the 80th anniversary of the end of the Second World War, we were starkly reminded of our Failure to honour the Hard Lessons of VE Day. Chief…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |