Murrination Insights

We have written about the battle for Ukraine in numerous Murrinations over the past three weeks. The nature of our work requires us to look at the…

Today, in Russia, Putin has clamped down on any dissent within his society and is exerting total iron control over the Russian media, to ensure that his distorted view…

The war in Ukraine has demonstrated to the world that human nature has not changed or advanced. We've seen that dictatorships especially are still capable of…

The portrayal in the Western press that Ukraine can win this war is, in our assessment, wrong. Rather, Putin is inexorably winning his war. As the war map below from the UK defence intelligence…

The indications are that, over the next 7–12 days, will see a very high risk of a watershed moment in the war in Ukraine – one where NATO is potentially forced to intervene in…

This is a Now Or Never moment when NATO will have to face down Vladimir Putin's nuclear threat.

Over the past 15 years, Putin has…

Boris Johnson has failed in his primary obligation to defend the realm of Great Britain. We make this accusation knowing that he was warned of the threats in our Now Or…

A widening European conflict is examined through the lens of historical escalation, where economic pressure, rearmament, propaganda and nuclear signalling gradually shift a regional…

In the Western press and across the airwaves we are hearing about the greatest wave of sanctions in recent history that are being applied to Russia. These are sanctions…

The response of America and NATO to the recent attack on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant has revealed the true dynamic behind Western thinking over Ukraine. Our working assumption is that a…

This extensive analysis, drawn from Global Forecaster’s long-standing predictions since 2009 and reiterated in Putin’s Game (2022), argues that Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine was…

Murrinations readers will know we have been predicting an attack by China on Taiwan and possibly simultaneously on South Korea by North Korea in 2022. Further to our reasoning, we now add the …

So far ...

In our Murrinations Insight published on 10th January, Putin's Game, we explained our working thesis for Putin's strategy explaining why we were so certain that Putin would…

The narrative in the West is that Putin is completely mad and has started a war he cannot win – a war that is going badly and that has united NATO. Boris’s bluster is that it may be hard but we…

Putin’s Russia, just like the USSR in the Cold War, is a commodity-driven economy that to many is best described as a ‘Petro country’. Indeed, the revenues that have flowed as a result, since the…

Before Putin started his war, he purposely conducted nuclear response exercises to show the West that his capability was fully operational. He followed…

It is a well-known proverb that ‘no battle plan survives contact with the enemy’, a sentiment that Putin is likely pondering as we write because his…

We have been warning of a dangerous confluence of events that would be brought about by Biden’s weakness as a leader combined with the last third phase of the current…

Yesterday, we awoke to a new age of war in Europe. Made all the more shocking by Putin’s threat to use nuclear weapons if his forces were to be interfered with, a tactic…

First and foremost, our hearts go out to the people of Ukraine, upon whom Putin has perpetrated the worst of human crimes by starting a war of expansion without any just cause for his own…

The Violation. On Monday, Putin effectively annexed and invaded two provinces of Ukraine after he had recognised the two states’ independence as his troops rolled across…

On Monday, we witnessed Prime Minister Boris Johnson triumphantly announce the end of all COVID measures in England. Rather than being a victory over an enemy, the irony is that he…

The text examines how differences between authoritarian and democratic political systems, along with economic cycles and public psychology, influence the timing and initiation of…

Terrifyingly, the invasion of Ukraine is now inevitable. A full-scale, high-intensity war will be unleashed against the Ukrainians that will see casualties on a level…

Two of our main market predictions for 2022 The Year To Look Up have been that inflation will remain high as assets fall, creating stagflation and social unrest and that…

The day predicted by Western intelligence when Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was to commence now draws near, i.e. tomorrow. As hope of a diplomatic resolution seem to be live in the press, we…

The invasion of Ukraine, as we have been predicting, is now imminent. History will record that it was a direct consequence of many years of European neglect of its defences, coupled with the…

Concepts from modern physics—especially fractals and quantum theory—are applied to financial markets by treating price movements as patterns produced by collective human behaviour,…

Many years ago, when I was looking for models to explain how markets behaved, I sought to employ my training as a physicist and translate our understanding of the physical universe into guidelines…

On the day that the Winter Olympics opened in Beijing, which should have been celebrating peace to all nations, we were met with an image of two dictators…

Putin's move against Ukraine comes after years of persistently expansive and aggressive behaviour by Russian forces against those of NATO and the West, especially the UK’s and NATO’s naval forces…

There seems to be two options looking forward.

The first is that the democracies of the world are overrun by the Chinese Communist Party, and individuality and…

6.1 The Evolution Of Democracy

The traditional tribal human hunting unit was probably not different from a pack of lions, with an alpha male that dominated the…

Remembrance of past conflicts is insufficient without applying their lessons to present strategy. The Falklands War is framed as a “pilot war” — a limited peripheral conflict that…

5.1 The Horizon Of Awareness 

The total collective knowledge of any human society at any time represents a horizon of awareness. These constructs are adopted almost…

The Cycle Of Empires Linked To Lateral And Linear Leadership

During the steady-state low-entropy environments that have endured for many years, there will always…

3.1 Two Sub-Types Of Humans Operating Symbiotically

The evidence is that humans have very different physical appearances and…

2.1 The Evolution Of The Human Brain 

The human brain has evolved over millions of years, with the Basel Ganglia first, followed by the limbic (emotional)…

We first articulated our Theory of Human Collective Systems some three years ago. Since then we have expanded this construct into a more-complete model, comprising seven principles, which we now…

I have, in many Murrination Insights, discussed the concept that this is likely to be the decade where mankind faces the very real prospect of…

Principle 9: Love = Anti-Entropy. The power of attraction bonds human collective systems; the stronger the bonds between…

Humans, to date, have failed to transcend individual mortality but have instead relied on a different genetic strategy to beat entropy by building…

Since writing Breaking The Code Of History and formulating the Theory of Human Collective Systems we have continued to seek enhanced concepts that explain human…

Ray Dalio has claimed that the conditions in place in America are such that they make a second civil war and the political impasse at the next election in 2024 almost…

Ray Dalio's public platform to appear to act as Xi's propaganda arm in America is based on two very powerful components that mean that no one seems to be…

1.0 Lockdowns Were Disastrous

When history looks back on the pandemic, the evidence is very clear that any leader and government that enacted lockdowns will…

Global Forecaster has been warning for some time about the longstanding and widespread CCP influence programme that has penetrated deeply into every level of our Western democracies. Their…

The CCP has been enacting a covert war against the major Western Democracies for over two decades, one that has gone unnoticed until recently. Its key…

Global Forecaster was founded to help our clients navigate an exceptionally challenging decade ahead. Our Murrinations Insights are investment-grade information, provided to the…

America and the West face three interlinked military crises points that in all probability will flare up in Q1/Q2 of 2022: the invasions of Ukraine and Taiwan and the…

Putin has played a long game that very few in the West comprehend whilst riding a commodity cycle that has defined the Russian economy for a century. As such, there is great danger that the West…

We have been warning that the Doomsday Bubble would finally end and that, when it burst, it would produce a bear market collapse even bigger than that triggered by 1929. For those following our…

1.0 First Contact

I first became aware of Ray Dalio’s new book, rather ironically titled ‘Principles For Dealing With The Changing World Order', when I received numerous emails and…

Recent naval incidents involving U.S. and UK aircraft carriers highlight vulnerabilities in Western anti-submarine warfare capabilities and signal a shift…

4.0 The Predictive Power Of Breaking The Code Of History

Breaking the Code of History has become more popular over the last 13 years than when it was first published. Why? Because it has…

2.0 The Key Theories Of Breaking The Code Of History

My observations were soon to be supported by a complete fives stage of empire cycle that was driven by…

It has been over 13 years since Breaking The Code of History was published and almost 21 years since its theories were first developed. Today the world is now close the to dangerous…

Britain has been relatively quick to recognise that climate change is real and is a clear and present danger to the nation. However, it has been very slow to recognise that, to achieve their bold…

If you have not yet seen the new Netflix film ‘Don’t Look Up’, we recommend you do so as quickly as you can. Rarely has a film captured a society's mental state of total delusion and denial and if…

Today, we live in a world on the cusp of a new era of potential peer-to-peer conflicts; with Russia over Ukraine, Iran as it attempts to deploy nuclear weapons and, most…

Debate surrounding the Omicron variant emerged during a period of uncertainty about the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic. The discussion centres on the…

Lord Frost’s resignation as one of the most effective and competent ministers of Johnson's government is the final nail in Johnson's political coffin, much as Geoffrey…

7.0 Infiltration Met By Courage

The CCP has infiltrated all of our Western international organisations, just as they did the WHO, which only became apparent…

We have written many Murrinations on the threat posed by the hegemonic challenge of China and wanted to summarise for our readers the key points as to why we, in America and all the free…

COP-26 ended in a predictable failure to make any meaningful ingress against climate change, despite the heroic efforts of the conference chairman MP Alok…

Following our recent Murrinations Insight, Omicron – Darkest Before The Dawn, a review of the COVID statistics shows that the testing rate remains constant…

The Brexit civil war was a historic moment for both Britain and mankind because the energy of regional civil war is one of the most powerful social dynamics within the lifecycle of a human system…

Brexit was not an error or momentary mistake driven by populism or made by thoughtless, maverick Brexiteers. Rather, it was the product of a predictable…

Global Forecaster has always maintained that Brexit would have far-reaching consequences not only for the UK and then the EU, but for the whole of the Western Christian…

Our Vision Global Britain 2025 campaign harnesses the predictive power of the second stage of the Five…

For an empire in a challenging state of hegemony such as China today, expansionism is a state of being that it exudes in every aspect of its relations with neighbours and competitors alike. The…

On 5th January 2020, Global Forecaster warned that a weapons-grade virus was making its way from Wuhan, which would engulf the world in a major pandemic. At the time, 99.9% of both the leaders and…