Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Thu, 26/06/2025 - 10:03
Summary

This extensive analysis, drawn from Global Forecaster’s long-standing predictions since 2009 and reiterated in Putin’s Game (2022), argues that Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine was…

Last Update: Mon, 04/04/2022 - 12:06

Murrinations readers will know we have been predicting an attack by China on Taiwan and possibly simultaneously on South Korea by North Korea in 2022. Further to our reasoning, we now add the …

Last Update: Sun, 06/03/2022 - 12:38

So far ...

In our Murrinations Insight published on 10th January, Putin's Game, we explained our working thesis for Putin's strategy explaining why we were so certain that Putin would…

Last Update: Fri, 04/03/2022 - 09:23

The narrative in the West is that Putin is completely mad and has started a war he cannot win – a war that is going badly and that has united NATO. Boris’s bluster is that it may be hard but we…

Last Update: Sun, 06/03/2022 - 12:20

Putin’s Russia, just like the USSR in the Cold War, is a commodity-driven economy that to many is best described as a ‘Petro country’. Indeed, the revenues that have flowed as a result, since the…

Last Update: Fri, 24/10/2025 - 11:02

 

Introduction

Before Putin started his war, he purposely conducted nuclear response exercises to show the West that his capability…

Last Update: Sat, 19/03/2022 - 11:11

It is a well-known proverb that ‘no battle plan survives contact with the enemy’, a sentiment that Putin is likely pondering as we write because his operational plan for…

Last Update: Wed, 02/03/2022 - 11:42

We have been warning of a dangerous confluence of events that would be brought about by Biden’s weakness as a leader combined with the last third phase of the current…

Last Update: Mon, 20/06/2022 - 09:28

Yesterday, we awoke to a new age of war in Europe. Made all the more shocking by Putin’s threat to use nuclear weapons if his forces were to be interfered with, a tactic…