In Red Peril; Appeasement is back we outlined the danger of Biden's attempts to appease Xi, which unsurprisingly have now been echoed by Rishi Sunak, the boy scout, as his…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 17/11/2022 - 09:00
Last Update: Wed, 15/11/2023 - 14:17
Nobody votes Conservative to pay more tax. The doctrine of Tory administrations since 1979 has been to cut taxation by stimulating growth and reducing public spending. In line with this…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 16/11/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 01/08/2025 - 07:28
In many circumstances, the lessons of history do not just rhyme but repeat remarkably precisely. Because, as we have proven in Breaking the Code of History and our human systems theories,…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 15/11/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 07/01/2026 - 14:33
We have been trying to warn the Western world of the dangers of Chinese expansionism for two decades. In China's Expansionism, published nine years ago on 29/11/2013, we warned that signs were…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 09/11/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/01/2026 - 11:56
Introduction
Having listened to Rishi Sunak's first address as PM of the UK, sadly in our opinion it totally failed to focus on the real threats to our nation as will…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 08/11/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 23/01/2024 - 19:58
Despite the numerous shortfalls already apparent in Sunak’s policies, there is one clear policy weakness that stands head and shoulders above all others;…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 07/11/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 12/05/2024 - 05:34
India is today following the path of empire behind Japan and China, and has the potential in the decades ahead to become a global hegemony.
Stage 1; Regionalisation…Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 04/11/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 08/01/2026 - 13:53
Summary
Sunak’s Policy Construct reflects his linear way of thinking, which will be acutely dangerous for…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 03/11/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/09/2023 - 07:54
Brexit in the Context of the Process of Revolution explained the revolutionary process that frames British politics today and its potential continued…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 02/11/2022 - 17:53
Last Update: Sun, 18/01/2026 - 13:28
Introduction
History shows there is a distinct pattern to the path of revolutions, that are much like the swings of a pendulum. The process of revolution…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 01/11/2022 - 12:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/01/2026 - 11:58
Image
Absent Western Leadership
The political challenges currently facing Britain and the Western world…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 28/10/2022 - 12:00
Last Update: Sun, 18/01/2026 - 14:09
Introduction
In The Battle for Ukraine 19 we explained how Putin’s nuclear threats have slowed Ukrainian progress. Consequently, although Putin is under huge pressure on the battlefield in…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 28/10/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 18/01/2026 - 14:23
The Ukrainian army has, over the past few months, made significant advances into Russian-held territory using Blitzkrieg-style advances in the north around Kharkiv, and…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 27/10/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 14/06/2024 - 08:00
Post-1996, Jiang Zemin's response to the overt demonstration of American power in the 3rd Taiwan Straits crisis was to change tactics from an overt challenge to a covert challenge. One that would…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 26/10/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/01/2026 - 11:49
Introduction:
Xi, like the totalitarian dictators before him, is now beyond reproach, beyond criticism, and beyond doubt. His word is absolute law. So he is now free to execute his long-…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 25/10/2022 - 13:00
Last Update: Wed, 05/04/2023 - 19:15
It comes as no surprise to Global Forecaster that Xi Jinping was chosen for a third five-year term as general secretary of the party. Overturning a long-established two-term limit as head of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 22/10/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/01/2026 - 12:18
Introduction
We have often pointed out the synchronicity between films and concurrent themes in society. Those who are following the new Game of Thrones prequel series…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 20/10/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 11:13
China has followed our predictions made in 2002 (published in 2009 in Breaking the Code of History), that it would follow an exponential economic growth path that would see it militarise and…
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