Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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The above image is the imposing picture of The Great Wave (Kanagawa Oki Nami Ura) which is the best-known work by Japanese artist Hokusai Katsushika (1760–1849), one of…

Last Update: Fri, 22/04/2022 - 07:46

When Putin invaded Ukraine, the general expectation was that his forces would overwhelm Ukraine's resistance in a matter of days and weeks. However, this was not to be, for the reasons that we…

Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:03
Introduction

Every hegemonic arms race in history has a new weapon or tactical mechanism that epitomises the arms race and subsequent conflict as the dominant weapons system. In the run-up to…

Last Update: Tue, 23/08/2022 - 09:09

1.0 Political Incompetency 
Well, here we are in another fine mess. Recently, there was a commentary in the press that a UK cabinet meeting discussing the cost of…

Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:40
Introduction

We have written about the Battle for Ukraine in numerous Murrinations Insights over the past weeks. The nature of our work requires us to look at the…

Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:47
Introduction

In this Murrinations Insight, we will link the fate of Ukraine to the successful conclusion of the Brexit process and the leadership of Boris Johnson though the crisis, and his re-…

Last Update: Mon, 04/04/2022 - 17:44

NLAWs and Javelin anti-tank missiles are the priority threat that the Russian army needs to negate to shift the balance of power on the battlefield. The many pictures like those below attest to…

Last Update: Mon, 04/04/2022 - 12:10

Our theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems explains why human societies keep fighting each other, in a constant test of entropy. Quite simply, it is Darwinism between…

1.0 Peace, But Not In Our Time

As we publish this article, the airwaves are full of the news of Russia's announcement that it was pulling back from Kyiv. Once more, the Western press and…

Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:58
Introduction

The Western press would like to portray that Ukraine is winning its war, that the Russians are wilting under sanctions and that Putin will fall under the pressure. However, the…

Last Update: Thu, 12/02/2026 - 13:14
Introduction

Our theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems explains why human societies keep fighting each other, in a constant test of entropy. Quite simply, it is Darwinism between human social…

Last Update: Wed, 13/04/2022 - 10:10

As Putin's war grinds into a temporary stalemate on the ground, his personal position is looking increasingly tenuous as his risk of being overthrown increases as the…

Last Update: Tue, 04/03/2025 - 13:49

There can be no doubt that Britain is in an economic war with Putin, and one that has exacerbated energy prices and given the politicians a scapegoat for the price increases (which, by the way,…

Last Update: Mon, 03/07/2023 - 09:57

There comes a time when the true nature of a leader is exposed by their response to events around them, with Britain now deep in war with Russia that has every chance of…

Last Update: Thu, 12/02/2026 - 13:34
 Introduction

The conflict is portrayed as far more than a regional war, instead part of a wider strategic confrontation between Russia and the Western alliance, where political hesitation,…

Last Update: Thu, 12/02/2026 - 12:47
Introduction

We have written about the battle for Ukraine in numerous Murrinations over the past three weeks. The nature of our work requires us to look at the…

Last Update: Wed, 01/02/2023 - 08:18

Today, in Russia, Putin has clamped down on any dissent within his society and is exerting total iron control over the Russian media, to ensure that his distorted view…

Last Update: Fri, 18/03/2022 - 20:46

The war in Ukraine has demonstrated to the world that human nature has not changed or advanced. We've seen that dictatorships especially are still capable of…