Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Wed, 26/08/2020 - 15:52

2020 is an election year. There is an old trading adage that states equities' always rally in an election year. Silly me for thinking otherwise! However, the year is not…

Last Update: Tue, 17/01/2023 - 11:41
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The above diagrams show the Typhoon class submarine (top), until recently the largest submarine ever built, compared…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 12:25

Until only recently, Britain and the West have severely underestimated Putin. NATO nations have been guilty of appalling sloppiness in not adapting their foreign policy…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:21

The first of the significant warning signals at the start of 2020 that indicated a major demand slump and impending financial crisis was the behaviour of the commodity…

Last Update: Thu, 20/08/2020 - 17:59

In today's rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape, lessons drawn from history are more vital than ever. In my new book, The Road to Wars, I discuss the algorithmic expansion of an aggressive and…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 12:31

According to Sun Tzu, the prevention of conflict is essential to a sound military strategy: war itself is a last resort, high cost choice. This perspective is particularly critical for older…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 12:30

This maxim specifically applies to America's strategy that should be focussed on deterring China from aggression and a potential WW3 through the critical commodity cycle peak of 2025 to 2027. Key…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 12:27

The world we live in is being changed beyond recognition by the increasingly rapid growth of China. In this process of transformation, the Chinese have an important advantage over the West. While…

Last Update: Tue, 09/12/2025 - 11:43
Introduction

History repeatedly shows that great-power conflict is often driven less by ideology than by internal economic pressures and the strategic choices they force upon expansionist states…