For an empire in a challenging state of hegemony such as China today, expansionism is a state of being that it exudes in every aspect of its relations with neighbours and competitors alike. The…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 04/12/2021 - 12:00
On 5th January 2020, Global Forecaster warned that a weapons-grade virus was making its way from Wuhan, which would engulf the world in a major pandemic. At the time, 99.9% of both the leaders and…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 03/12/2021 - 16:00
Last Update: Sat, 04/12/2021 - 07:23
4.0 The Age Of The Doomsday Bubble
Today, we are living in the time of the biggest market bubble in financial history. So the topic of bubbles and understanding them is of critical…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 02/12/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Thu, 02/12/2021 - 16:06
One of Global Forecaster’s Mission Statements is to confront and expose malign and destructive energy wherever it may manifest itself in human systems. Our objective is to raise awareness of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 02/12/2021 - 08:00
3.0 The Efficient Market Hypothesis And Roman Rectangular Dice
In Ancient Greece, scientists of old used to come up with a theory and then do a host of…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 01/12/2021 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 30/12/2025 - 11:07
Introduction
The Five Stages of Empire model is based on a self-organising human system in which leaders express the collective needs…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 30/11/2021 - 11:00
2.0 The Collective Super-Organism Of Humanity
The product of our human hardwiring is that collective human behaviour dominates mankind's actions, making us, in…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 29/11/2021 - 13:50
Last Update: Mon, 09/03/2026 - 16:12
Introduction
The emergence of new COVID-19 variants and the differing regional responses to the pandemic have continued to influence public health policy and economic…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 25/11/2021 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 30/12/2025 - 11:26
1.0 Consciousness Or Catastrophe?
Global Forecaster has described this decade as the moment of consciousness or catastrophe for humanity. It is a decade…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 22/11/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Mon, 13/12/2021 - 12:15
Today is the official launch of our Confront China Campaign. Please take the time to read our Thesis and action plan and then spread the word to your friends and…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 19/11/2021 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 08:04
Introduction
The following is based on our Five Stages of Empire cycle and our study of what happened to past empires in terminal decline, when their pillars of state…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 18/11/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 07:14
Introduction
The Decline of Hegemonic Leadership
When hegemony declines, so does the quality of its leaders. Without exception, the vacuum created ushers in a period of major conflict, as…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 16/11/2021 - 16:00
Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 07:56
Introduction
The death of 85-year-old Frederik Willem de Klerk, on 11th November 2021, the last President of South Africa under apartheid, raises many ghosts. We have…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 13/11/2021 - 15:30
Last Update: Sat, 01/01/2022 - 11:06
When Joe Biden became President, we made a bold prediction that he would not survive in office longer than 18 months; based on his obvious symptoms of early-stage dementia that were apparent…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 11/11/2021 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 09:00
Introduction
Now if that title sounds confusing, I do understand! However, there is logic behind it that explains why wars have been an enduring and yet a dark but so-far essential unconscious…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 10/11/2021 - 19:30
Last Update: Mon, 29/12/2025 - 19:21
Introduction
Human collective behaviour is hard-wired into each of our nervous systems. Whilst autocracies minimise these herd…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 10/11/2021 - 08:00
Stalin supplied Hitler with all the commodities he wanted for his war efforts in the West, after he signed the Molotov–Ribbentrop non-aggression pact in 1939, hoping to buy time to build up his…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 09/11/2021 - 11:00
Last Update: Tue, 23/11/2021 - 12:34
The Chinese PLAN have built in the North-Western Taklamakan desert, a full-scale moving on rails, target mock up of the latest USN carrier the USS Gerald Ford, along with two full-sized escort…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |