The Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at last week’s Davos conference warned of the similarity between the current situation of the Chinese rise of military power to…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Put simply, the sun's radiation speads out through the solar system and then interacts with the earth's atmosphere to warm our planet's surface and oceans. While the…
In my next book The Roads to Wars I outline a ten step process that nations walk before they initiate a war of expansion. Key to that process is the commitment to…
In a strange way the peaceful conclusion of the Cold War may well have lulled us into a false sense of security with respect to the risk of all out world war in the…
In order to understand more thoroughly Nelson Mandela’s magnificent achievements, one has to appreciate the geopolitical context of his life and to do that it is…
History abounds with many clear lessons on the limiting of a nation’s acts of aggression in the early stages of militarization, as China is now. If in 1936 Britain and…
As readers of my articles you are by now well acquainted with my view that Iran is currently in an expansionary stage of its development and as such its intentions to…
Our view over the September and October period has been that the stock market rally in the US and Europe has been going through a topping process that marks the end of…
The first time Turkey defied NATO, and specifically US interests, was during the Second Gulf War when it denied access to the US Army’s 4th division which sought to…
With deadlock in Washington and default date looming on the 17th there seems to be a general feeling that when the time comes one party will blink and the problem will…
When one views the current civil wars across the Middle East within the context of a BTCH regional civil war, there are only a few countries that appear to be…
If you enjoyed our blog on China's Africa: How America has dropped the ball, you might appreciate the following recent interviews given by David on Africa:
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I have always been fascinated by the relationship between the film industry and social mood not just in Hollywood, but indeed globally. At times film directors and…
As highlighted in Breaking the Code of History, one of the key requirements for an empire to grow successfully is to be able to expand into new territory and extract…
Just as the Suez crisis marked the end of the Britsih Empire, the question as to if and when the US punishes Syria for its flagrant use of chemical weapons is now …
Each of the five stages of empire as described in Breaking the Code of History has a distinctive dynamic and social profile and provides the approach to understanding…
The axiom that the Middle East is going through a civil war of regionalisation, as defined by the five stages of empire, continues to be an accurate and prophetic…
The new documentary that raises the question of whether flight AA 587 out of New York was shot down on November 12th 2001 with the loss of 260 people by a missile (…









