12.0 Contested landings are no longer viable. Once the British fleet had completed the uncontested (from the shore) amphibious landing of its ground forces…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 09/09/2022 - 08:48
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 11:05
Introduction
Amongst the many monarchs of British history, it is the three great queens who truly stand out along the five stages of the British Empire and the new cycle of Global Britain:…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 09/09/2022 - 08:00
11.0 The Surveillance Battle; the old battle adage that if you can't find me you cannot kill me was once more proven correct. Argentine forces were only configured to…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 07/09/2022 - 08:00
10.0 Fighting spirit and systems reliability is a critical component to winning any war. With very few exceptions, British forces expounded a remarkable fighting spirit across every level of their…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 05/09/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:10
9.0 Brutal Air Defence Lessons After the sinking of the Sheffield, the war became a battle for air supremacy as the Argentinians attacked British ships with iron bombs dropped at an ultra-low…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 02/09/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 06/04/2025 - 09:39
8.0 Preparing For Surprise Shocking and Decisive Attacks With the Argentine Navy neutralised before the British surface fleet approached the Falklands, the British refocused on defeating the air…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 31/08/2022 - 08:00
7.0 Sub-sea Dominance and Blockade Argentina invaded the Falklands on 2 April 1982, swiftly capturing the islands as they over-whelmed a single Royal Marine Company. Three British nuclear-powered…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 29/08/2022 - 08:00
4.0 Distance and Military Logistics Argentina was a mere 400 nautical miles (nm) from the Falklands, whilst Britain was 7,800 miles away. The immense distance forced…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 28/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 11:19
Introduction
One of the key economic predictions that Global Forecaster has made since the March 2020 pandemic low was that the decade-long B wave of the current K wave cycle ended with the…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 27/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 13/09/2022 - 13:38
Followers of Murrinations will be familiar with our warnings for well over a decade, of the Chinese arms build-up, specifically designed to challenge America and the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 26/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:32
3.0 Victory was a close-run thing. War is a very precarious human entropic activity. As many commanders of armies and navies before have experienced, such as Wellington at Waterloo, or the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 25/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 21/04/2023 - 11:26
One of the key theories discussed in Breaking the Code of History was that The K wave cycle was the drumbeat of war. From the moment in 2000 when we identified a new 56-year K wave cycle had…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 23/08/2022 - 11:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:37
2.0 War is The Failure Of Deterrence – the lesson from the Falklands starts with one of failed political intention. In the months preceding the invasion of the Falklands in 1981, HM Government had…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 22/08/2022 - 13:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:08
Introduction
With the energy crisis in full swing, the subject of Putin’s stranglehold on the EU and NATO via his creation of almost total dependence on Russian gas has been well reported.…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 21/08/2022 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 23/08/2022 - 11:44
1.0 The Shape of the China-US War to Come
The military lessons from the Falklands conflict have been one of the most studied wars at the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 19/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:27
Introduction
Inflation is rising globally at an alarming rate, and in the UK and other countries it has become the number one political hot potato. Indeed, in the UK it has become the focus of…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 17/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:29
4.0 The Key components of Inflation Today From Global Forecaster's perspective, we have watched politicians, Central banks, and Market participants all being caught totally by surprise as the K…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 15/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 07/09/2022 - 19:48
In our recent Murrination The Tide Of The War In Ukraine Has Turned Against Putin we highlighted that he is now coming under increasing pressure as his military campaign once more falters.
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© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |