7.0 Sub-sea Dominance and Blockade Argentina invaded the Falklands on 2 April 1982, swiftly capturing the islands as they over-whelmed a single Royal Marine Company. Three British nuclear-powered…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 29/08/2022 - 08:00
4.0 Distance and Military Logistics Argentina was a mere 400 nautical miles (nm) from the Falklands, whilst Britain was 7,800 miles away. The immense distance forced…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 28/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 11:19
Introduction
One of the key economic predictions that Global Forecaster has made since the March 2020 pandemic low was that the decade-long B wave of the current K wave cycle ended with the…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 27/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 13/09/2022 - 13:38
Followers of Murrinations will be familiar with our warnings for well over a decade, of the Chinese arms build-up, specifically designed to challenge America and the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 26/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:32
3.0 Victory was a close-run thing. War is a very precarious human entropic activity. As many commanders of armies and navies before have experienced, such as Wellington at Waterloo, or the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 25/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 21/04/2023 - 11:26
One of the key theories discussed in Breaking the Code of History was that The K wave cycle was the drumbeat of war. From the moment in 2000 when we identified a new 56-year K wave cycle had…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 23/08/2022 - 11:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:37
2.0 War is The Failure Of Deterrence – the lesson from the Falklands starts with one of failed political intention. In the months preceding the invasion of the Falklands in 1981, HM Government had…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 22/08/2022 - 13:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:08
Introduction
With the energy crisis in full swing, the subject of Putin’s stranglehold on the EU and NATO via his creation of almost total dependence on Russian gas has been well reported.…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 21/08/2022 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 23/08/2022 - 11:44
1.0 The Shape of the China-US War to Come
The military lessons from the Falklands conflict have been one of the most studied wars at the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 19/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:27
Introduction
Inflation is rising globally at an alarming rate, and in the UK and other countries it has become the number one political hot potato. Indeed, in the UK it has become the focus of…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 17/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 14:29
4.0 The Key components of Inflation Today From Global Forecaster's perspective, we have watched politicians, Central banks, and Market participants all being caught totally by surprise as the K…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 15/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 07/09/2022 - 19:48
In our recent Murrination The Tide Of The War In Ukraine Has Turned Against Putin we highlighted that he is now coming under increasing pressure as his military campaign once more falters.
…Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 12/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 25/08/2022 - 12:18
Introduction Global Forecaster's application of the K wave has allowed us to be well ahead of the curve in predicting its impact on our world as it entered the most ferocious phase of its C wave…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 10/08/2022 - 11:30
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 16:45
Introduction
The tide of the war in Ukraine is now turning against Putin as we would argue that his forces have reached their high water mark. Much as Hitler's/Rommel’s…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 08/08/2022 - 09:15
Last Update: Fri, 01/08/2025 - 08:59
Global Forecaster predicts that history will view Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine as the start of WW3. A war between the autocratic powers of Russia, China, and North Korea facing off against the…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/08/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 03/08/2022 - 10:04
From a field of eleven candidates, there are now only two in the leadership race, Sunak and Truss.
4.0 Sunak-Judged As Johnson's Nemesis.
Sunak’s political career as Chancellor has…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 02/08/2022 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 10/02/2026 - 15:20
Introduction
We are now in the 4th Taiwan straights crisis, that we fear will not resolve peacefully this time.
In 1996 the Chinese…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 01/08/2022 - 11:00
Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 16:32
Introduction
Global Forecaster is in the business of creating models that accurately represent human behaviour and then making predictions that others might not perceive. Sometimes our…
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