Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Thu, 30/04/2020 - 16:49

I am the first to recognise the Brexit process exemplified British national character, one of self-determination. This is something that provides hope for the future.…

Last Update: Fri, 14/06/2024 - 08:26

Norway 1940 All Over Again

Whatever bad advice has been given to the leadership Boris must take responsibility for…

Last Update: Tue, 19/05/2026 - 10:41

The first of the big warning signals that my Arkent scenario was right was the behaviour of the commodity sector, especially oil. In a world where economic numbers were…

Last Update: Mon, 20/04/2020 - 10:24

The Wuhan Virus mutates in proportion to the number of people it infects. When it mutates it then produces new strains/types that could create simultaneous pandemics. This is of…

Last Update: Wed, 28/10/2020 - 12:29

Yesterday marked Phase 2’s end in the Wuhan Market Crisis. For those of you who are not Arkent Scenario subscribers, Phase 1 was the first leg of the equity drop. Phase 2 was the corrective bounce…

Last Update: Tue, 14/04/2020 - 11:32

When fighting a war, it is critical to analyse an enemy's weaknesses in order to achieve victory. One of those weaknesses in the Wuhan Virus is it’s codependency as it needs our…

Last Update: Sun, 03/05/2020 - 12:26

One of the main weapons of the Wuhan Virus against humanity, is to break down human social cohesion as we isolate to prevent infection. This effectively reduces…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:16

Situation Report

The spread of the Pandemic has officially infected 1,699,500 and killed over 102,800 people. However, the real numbers will be far higher.…

Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2020 - 12:59

Where Are We Now?

Since September last year, I have been following my Arkent scenario that mapped out the key stages running up to the equity markets’ peak…

Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2020 - 13:01

5.1 Lessons from British History.

Wars, as I have explained before, are entropy tsunamis and similarly so is this Wuhan Pandemic. They are survived by the nation with the strongest…

Last Update: Sun, 28/06/2020 - 08:36

The role of National Security Advisor in America is one of the key roles in the US administration. Yet, in the British government, the role of the National Security…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:14

1.0 The Vital Importance of Testing

Examining the responses of nations and their success in combating the Wuhan Virus one trend is very clear; greater testing leads to improved containment…

Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2020 - 13:03

Applying the analogy of Noah’s Ark by likening it to the economic shutdown of the Western economies, I note that it has been 41 days since my Murrination of February 22nd - LESSONS…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:15

1.0 Accessing Historical Collective Experience and National Energy

My study of Empire Cycles suggests that Britain has a unique history from which it can draw…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:15

During the  Battle of Britain in 1940, the RAF faced the overwhelming odds of Goering's Luftwaffe. However, Air Chief Marshal of Fighter Command Hugh Dowding was a unique innovator…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:14

1.0 Why Do Humans Fight Wars?

My conclusion in Breaking the Code of History is that human systems fight over only one essential thing;…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:12

Voices from History

In another time, America responded to the Japanese occupation of key airfields in French Indochina by freezing Japanese assets on July 26, 1941. America then tightened…

Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:12

The Failure To Prepare for this Wuhan Pandemic

Historically, modern democratic states have never been ready for the aggressive actions of a rising expansive nation in…