Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Mon, 19/01/2015 - 10:09

1. 2015 With America and Europe in decline, that only leaves Britain on an upward trajectory within the old Western Christian Super Empire.

Last Update: Thu, 15/01/2015 - 16:05

1. 2015-2017 We are currently in a two year deflationary period that will effect commodities and equities, and drive bond yields lower (except in the case of a US/…

Last Update: Wed, 14/01/2015 - 11:00

1. 2015 America has been in decline for over a decade, but this process has been disguised by the printing press, which has created an artificial impression of growth. The reality is that the…

1. 2015-2016 The European model of a forced agglomeration without demographic expansion has failed, with no hope for rejuvenation due the entrenchment of Brussels' bureaucracy.

2. 2015-2016…

Last Update: Thu, 15/01/2015 - 13:32

This is the revised edition of yesterday's blog, with apologies from the editor for the few typos.

1. In 2015 initially, China will continue to mount an…

Last Update: Fri, 09/01/2015 - 13:27

Sadly 2015 looks set to be potentially another 2008 with respect to a very large market decline in stocks (30-50%), real estate (10-20%) and commodities.

One of the foremost principles of BTCH is that the primary reason why mankind fights wars is over resources. This fascinating image of the world's commodity importers and exporters clearly shows…

Last Update: Wed, 07/01/2015 - 15:18

The Board and executives of Sony must be consumed by not only embarrassment, but also the realisation that they failed to enact the appropriate security measures to…

During the Christmas Holidays I spent some time reviewing the ongoing evidence for climate change and updating my climate change sector in BTCH.

Last Update: Tue, 23/12/2014 - 13:46

Britain and America have since 1945 produced the most effective nuclear attack submarines. The Royal Navy’s Astute class subs are said to be the best in the world,…

Last Update: Mon, 12/01/2015 - 11:56

Carriers and amphibious forces need escort vessels to be protected against subsurface, surface and airborne threats. Without highly capable escorts a carrier is a…

Last Update: Mon, 03/03/2025 - 12:17

Carriers have been the capital ships of the oceans since 1939, especially in the vast Pacific Ocean which will potentially be the combat theatre of any US-Chinese…

The BTCH analysis is that China is a rapidly expanding power that seeks to challenge and relieve America of its super power status. Thus, the key question is: “Can…

Last Update: Tue, 16/12/2014 - 13:54

Viewed from the perspective of Al-Qaeda, the greatest success of the 9/11 attacks was not the destruction and hugh loss of life, but that it resulted in America…

Last Update: Tue, 16/12/2014 - 10:48

In previous Murrinations, we have predicted that Britain is the only nation within the old SWCE (the Super Western Christian Empire) that is in phase of expansion,…

Iran represents the Shia World within Islam and was responsible for leading the challenges to the western geopolitical architecture in the region. However since then,…

Last Update: Mon, 07/07/2025 - 11:28

Revolutions in military affairs can be originated by either the dominant or the challenging empire. However, the challenging empire is most likely to seek to take…

Last Update: Tue, 04/11/2014 - 11:43

BTCH defines wars into different categories and in so doing is able to provide better understanding of their character and prognosis. One such classification is a…