Murrination Insights

History is clear when it comes to the nature of hegemony. Specifically, that It is very lonely at the top where there are no such things as friends,…

History is replete with events that change the course of history. The Wuhan Pandemic is just such an event, whose repercussions will echo through eternity.

8.0 The World Has Forever…

Our working theory over the past quarter has been that the Doomsday Bubble has comprised of not one single bubble, but rather a flock of bubbles. That they would not…

The resignation of Matt Hancock in a single sweep has shifted the power within the inner circle of government. The 'quad', as it was nicknamed, comprising of Boris Johnson, Ritchie Sunak, Michael…

The pandemic represents a structural shift in global security, where biological threats move from a peripheral risk to a central domain of strategic competition between major powers…

6.1 The Evidence For Laboratory Origin is Very Strong

In previous sections, we have examined the evidence for the natural versus laboratory origins of SARS-CoV-2, and on balance there is a…

The recent reports of the HMS Defender (A Type 45 Destroyer) incident off the Crimea should be raising alarm bells in No. 10 Downing Street and across Britain. Instead,…

When we think of America, we often think of Silicon Valley and its technical innovations and successes. Whilst 20 years ago its lead was unassailable, …

Technological development and scientific capacity play a central role in shaping power during phases of national expansion.

2.0 China; The perfect example of innovation and…

Science has been Integral to the rise of mankind, driven by competition and our unique ability to harness invention into new technologies that enhance our survival and competitive…

UK policy is assessed as misaligned with emerging geopolitical realities, particularly the shift toward renewed great power competition and rising military threats from states such…

Over the past 18 months America's absence from the global stage has been sorely missed. During a time when democracy has been reeling under the impact of the pandemic. Thus last weeks G7 and NATO …

The press coverage of the G7 has, as is typical of our times, been uninformative as to the magnitude of this event, on many levels. The G7 summit marked a…

For those that are regular readers of Murrinations, you will have noted that History has provided clear lessons as to the only  way to avoid a conflict, when there is an expansive aggressive…

Warfare and individual combat are but fractals of the same process in which two energetic systems join in conflict to decide a victor. Understanding both the macro and micro dynamics of conflict…

Since we started this series of articles, the possibility of SARS-CoV-2 having originated from a laboratory in Wuhan has recently started to be debated in the Western…

Military competition between the United States and China is intensifying and increasingly resembles historical pre-war escalation patterns. Rising political tensions, expanded…

The Rise of China's industrial power over the past 20 years is a frightening occurrence. One reminiscent of the rise of Germany's into 1914 and the expansion of its heavy industrial power. Some…

China, the Western press, specialist scientific journals, and political establishments have all sought to close down debate about possible lab origins.  They have insisted on…

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative. However, with recent Congressional hearings, the topic…

Since the start of the Wuhan pandemic, the West has seen a radical shift in Secondary polarisation within our societies, with a stark recognition of what the CCP…

In the third part of our Murrination series we continue looking at the expanding of our Flat Earth thinking and so will touch on many of the areas where we believe there is significant evidence…

There is an old saying that the only constant in the universe is change. However, the body of a human system will by its very nature seek to go against the universe by maintaining the continuity…

The idea that the Earth is a sphere was proved by ancient Greek philosophers such as Aristotle (384–322 BC) who obtained empirical evidence after travelling to Egypt and…

The origins of SARS-CoV-2 remain uncertain, but the lack of definitive evidence for natural spillover has increased focus on laboratory-related explanations, particularly given…

The repetition that human history displays is at times truly breathtaking. For example, America completed its regional civil war in 1864 and, due to the vastness of its…

The above image shows an Australian Holbert class air defence destroyer and crew.  Geography shapes history such that nations face similar threats from different enemies…

The Middle East is characterised as an ongoing multi-actor regional conflict shaped by declining Western influence and rising competition among regional powers, with broader…

In our previous Murrinations Insight, Indifference To Incompetence linked To The Cycle Of Empires, we explained why Britain has been so indifferent to its decade of incompetent leadership. However…

Asset inflation in the West is extending beyond equities into other sectors, with the UK housing market emerging as a key area of excess driven by monetary policy and government…

Since the earliest days of the Pandemic, global popular opinion has been shaped to believe that SARS2 was the third in a series of bat viruses that jumped to humans,…

Following the publication of my new book Red Lightning in which I describe the road to WW3 in 2025 with China, I have had several questions from readers as to why I …

The importance of correctly commemorating Britain’s WW1 Empire soldiers is embodied by respect to those that made the ultimate sacrifice and by being the accurate portal…

We in the West seem to be living in the biggest financial bubble in Western history since the South Sea bubble of 1720 which was driven by the implosion of the 1711 established South Sea Company (…

Tensions around Ukraine are shaped by shifting great power dynamics, particularly the growing alignment between Russia and China and the weakening of Russia’s domestic position.…

The US withdrawal from Afghanistan is framed as a strategic inflection point, raising questions about American credibility, deterrence, and the broader balance of power in an…

The UK Parliament’s recognition of human rights abuses in Xinjiang reflects a growing tension between democratic values and economic ties with China, highlighting a shift toward more…

8.0 First Build in the US, Japan or China?

All three of the US, Japan and China navies are already committed to the evolution of the multi-mission destroyer, so are well on the road to…

The cost of modern warships such as the Type 26, Type 45 and Arleigh Burke-class has considerably increased per unit over the decades. This has resulted in a reduction in the number of units…

1.0 Time for a New Dreadnought-Type Innovation in Warship Design

In a time when battleships usually took several years to build, the construction and launch in…

Since December 2020 we have been warning that tensions around Taiwan are reaching critical levels. This has been primarily driven by Xi’s agenda of expansion, recently…

In the following Murrination we seek to better understand the Duke of Edinburgh's remarkable life, highlighting the Iconic Leadership he embodied within the context of Britain’s…

The UK’s pandemic response is framed as a case of policy distortion driven by fear-based communication, with implications for democratic accountability and strategic focus.During the…

The use of fear as a tool to influence public behaviour has periodically shaped UK policy and public perception across major political and social events.Although Britain personifies…

In Breaking The code of History in chapter 7 on Polarisation, we explained how the Nazis subverted German society and then persecuted any good German who resisted this shift in collective identity…

In our  Theory of Human Collective Systems (THCS), we outlined the structure of our modern human civilizations and our potential to evolve beyond our current patterns of…

The emotion of fear has been a critical part of human social evolution, yet it is a topic rarely examined in public discourse until recently with the UK government's use of fear to encourage…

The Western World has since WW2 lived in a comparative state of peace. Even though the cold war life on the home front continued unabated. Thus, under the tribal model…

Historical social structures and the evolution of warfare provide context for gender roles in conflict and the gradual shift toward greater female participation in modern military…

Shifts in women’s rights across different societies highlight diverging political and cultural trajectories, with implications for equality and broader societal roles.

The above images shows the many casualties of this Command Paper. Losses that will almost certainly translate into actual loss of life in the future. Because the…

The much anticipated Strategic Review contains a fundamental flaw that runs through the review;

3.1 Denial 1; The Failure To Recognise The Imminent  Chinese…

The UK’s Integrated Defence Review is assessed as a pivotal but flawed attempt to redefine national security strategy in a rapidly evolving geopolitical environment. The wake up…

In our Global Forecaster Now or Never report summary, we used historical analogies to demonstrate the danger that Britain is now in, as it faces an expansive and…

The blockage of the Suez Canal by the 224,000 tonne (gross tonnage) Evergreen-operated container ship Ever Given, should be a major wake-up call as to the importance of…

This book follows our Now Or Never Global Forecaster Review that was published in October 2020 and sent to the UK Treasury, The Ministry of Defence, and 10 Downing…

In our previous Murrination we examined the collapse of the Doomsday Bubble, which has been created by the excess levels of debt. In this Murrination we look at how the accumulation…

The Bubble of All Things (or Doomsday Bubble) when it collapses, will have implications way beyond a 1929 style collapse, as it will significantly weaken America and the…

Global forecaster makes predictions that have a high track record of success, but when we get it wrong we like to admit it, so we can learn from those mistakes. So here…

Seeking effective guidelines for a new integrated China containment policy, we have used the lessons of the past to create eight key tenants for a UK strategy focused on…

2.1 The All Out Arms Race

Many people have been taught that WW1 erupted by accident in 1914 through miscalculation. However, my work has revealed that nothing could be further from the…

A systemic rivalry is emerging between China’s CCP-led autocratic model and Western democratic systems, reflecting a long-standing historical pattern in which rising powers challenge…

Extreme speculative bubbles follow repeatable behavioural patterns, where asset prices detach from underlying value, expand through mass participation and financial innovation, and…

Team Boris did a fabulous job of completing the Brexit process against all the odds and created as smooth a transition as possible into the new Global Britain. During the negotiations, the one…

Speculative bubbles in new asset classes follow consistent psychological and structural patterns, where rapid price appreciation driven by belief and momentum ultimately gives way to…

There is now no doubt that over the past months the market has been in the grip of a Bubble of all Things. Where money that was printed on a scale never seen before has …

The above image is the Fall of Constantinople (May 29, 1453)

The dwindling Byzantine Empire came to an end when the Ottomans breached Constantinople's ancient…

Following a recent presentation, I thought you might be interested in some of Global Forecasters Predictions and services.You can find the audio here and the associated …

Systemic failures exposed by the pandemic have revealed structural weaknesses in the UK healthcare system, creating the conditions for large-scale reform driven by efficiency,…

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During our Murrinations since the pandemic outbreak in early January, we have been well ahead of the curve and predicted the unfolding of events well ahead of time. This has included the…

Public tolerance of leadership quality follows cyclical patterns, where periods of decline normalise incompetence until rising national pressure forces a shift back toward…