One of my core theories applied to this decade's geopolitical dynamic is the pronounced shift to the right in Western politics. However, as we outlined in The Essential Principles of…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 02/05/2025 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:18
Introduction
Trump’s ‘Historic’ Meeting with Zelensky at the Pope’s Funeral Marks a Watershed Moment in the Ukraine War. As Trump’s unexpected and symbolically powerful meeting with Zelensky at…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 02/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 15/02/2026 - 14:12
Introduction
Trump promised that peace in 24 hours would be easy to negotiate based on his deluded view of the world. Meanwhile, GF predicted that we would only see escalation of the conflict,…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 30/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 13/12/2025 - 07:41
Introduction
During World War II, escort carriers (designated CVEs) became indispensable workhorses that played an outsized role in protecting Allied convoys and in shaping the decisive North…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 29/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/01/2026 - 17:36
24 Xi Jinping: The Chinese Emperor
Xi Jinping wields incredible power, which should be analysed through the lens of narcissistic personality traits, which influence his leadership style and…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 25/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 01/06/2026 - 17:10
Introduction
The air war over Ukraine has become a testing ground for a deadly form of long-range air-to-air sniping. Russian MiG-31s, equipped with Cold War–era R-37M missiles, can launch lethal…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 24/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:22
Introduction
Following on from Trump 12; The Zelensky Ambush; Peace or the Path to WW3?, Trump’s strategy in Ukraine has taken on the character of coercive expropriation — a superpower muscling a…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 22/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 24/04/2025 - 07:23
In our Murrination, Trump The Betrayer we highlighted what Putin has been doing, but the big question remains: how does he control Trump? We suspect that Kompromat played a role at the beginning…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 20/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 21/04/2025 - 09:27
The boundaries between fiction and foresight blur intriguingly in the works of David Murrin and the concept of psychohistory, introduced by Isaac Asimov through his character Hari Seldon. Though…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 16/04/2025 - 10:15
Last Update: Thu, 11/06/2026 - 08:16
Introduction
For over a decade, I have warned that allowing a strategic competitor like China to own critical parts of Britain’s—and the wider West’s—infrastructure was nothing short of…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 15/04/2025 - 12:00
Last Update: Wed, 16/07/2025 - 08:19
Introduction
Today, as we watch Trump and the MAGA party attempt to strike a bargain with Putin, it would be wise for him and his supporters to revisit the events surrounding the sinking of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 11/04/2025 - 16:10
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:25
Unlike the nations of the Axis of Autocracy, the West, and especially America, is underpinned by free capital markets. While Trump might have duped a sufficient number of Americans to gain power,…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 11/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 30/04/2025 - 16:58
Having examined the Dark Psychology of Trump’s Narcissistic character, it is time to look at his nemesis. Putin’s psychological megalomaniac profile is often described in the understatement of…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 08/04/2025 - 10:00
Last Update: Thu, 15/05/2025 - 13:46
Narcissists with NPD can never be wrong or admit defeat. The more extreme their denial the more energetic their justifications become as they are double down. For a messianic narcissist like Trump…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 04/04/2025 - 09:30
Last Update: Wed, 14/05/2025 - 10:02
Britain is at a Crossroads and needs to navigate the Entropic rapids ahead and seize its opportunities. Whilst enacting a policy of ever-greater and Strategic Independence. Because the world is in…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 03/04/2025 - 10:15
Last Update: Sat, 02/05/2026 - 18:00
Introduction
Yesterday, Trump escalated his trade war to a global scale, implementing an economic policy driven by delusion—one that may well be the final nail in the coffin of the American…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 03/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 31/08/2025 - 14:24
Introduction
Alfred Thayer Mahan, the father of American naval strategy, derived his thesis written in 1890 on the Influence of Seapower on History (1660-1783) from the lessons from the success…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 31/03/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 14/04/2026 - 08:45
Introduction
In Dark Psychology 2: Narcissism and War Cycles, I explained how dark narcissists have been instrumental in the majority of hegemonic wars. This brings us to today as I argue that…
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