Murrination Insights

In the short term, the race to roll out these new quantum technologies is execrably linked to the unfolding arms race between democracy and autocracy, as discussed in The Quantum…

Quantum engineering is an interdisciplinary field that applies the principles of quantum mechanics to the design, development, and deployment of advanced technologies. This cutting-…

2.1 - Fascism in Britain pre-WW2

The pre-war 30s saw the rise of two opposing ideologies, Communism and Fascism. Communism became covert when the war started and reared its ugly head in…

The origins of quantum theory trace back to the early 20th century, marking a monumental shift in how scientists understand the nature of matter and energy. It began with Max Planck'…

Before 1914, British attitudes towards Germany were shaped by a complex interplay of cultural, royal, intellectual, and political connections, alongside emerging rivalries. The prelude to WW1…

The last significant hegemonic war cycle, spanning 112 years, was marked by Germany's challenge against Great Britain, beginning in 1914 and entering its second act in 1939. Before the escalation…

Spying is as old as mankind. Only recently, it was revealed that in 1749, a Spanish spy known under the pseudonym Mr Josue penetrated British society to steal shipbuilding…

We have recently entered the third year of the war in Ukraine. To mark this diabolical milestone, we have created an extended analysis, looking to the year ahead in this titanic war. We continue…

To the observant, it appears that the West has been duped and manipulated by its autocratic enemies in ways unimaginable during the Cold War. A terrifying string of strategic manipulations has…

Join us for a unique journey of discovery at Global Forecaster, where we'll push the boundaries of your thinking and empower you to embrace…

The US has moved to stop Israel's invasion of Rafah with the civilian population in place, as Biden has claimed that his patience has run out. Hence, he is pushing for a United Nations vote…

The execution of Navalny by Putin represents the final blow to the dream of a democratic Russia, a dream that, in reality, ended with Putin's invasion of Ukraine and which has now been utterly…

America's financial fragility stems from two forms of destruction of the real value of money. Because America's final phases of decline have been dominated by prolific debt issuance and the …

Railguns and electromagnetic launch systems are emerging as key technologies in next-generation warfare. Railguns use electromagnetic force to launch projectiles at hypersonic speeds,…

'Nothing is new in war' is a phrase we are relearning on a daily basis. One such example is the power of propaganda when it is used to undermine and destabilise an enemy.

In WW2, 'Lord Haw…

Following the third Taiwan Straits crisis in 1996, when the US Navy forced the Chinese to back down from their grab of Taiwan by sailing two carriers and an MEU in a demonstration of absolute…

In WW2, German wonder weapons jumped off the Nazi drawing boards onto the battlefields, from the best tanks of WW2 to jet fighters like the jet-powered Messerschmitt Me 262, V1s, V2s…

We have been warning for over two decades that Chinese strategic thinking is the most sophisticated covert and nuanced in the world, contrasting with a much more overt and obvious Western form of…

The unfolding of Iran’s war on Israel in The Battle for the Sinai Sea Lanes has resulted in the effective blockage of the Red Sea, forcing over 90% of shipping to re-route around the…

In our theory of Anti Entropy in Human Systems, we have explained the drivers of wars and their repetitive appearance in human history. Notably, wars are the ultimate highest fractal of human…

Over the past ten days, we have witnessed the NATO nations finally emerging from their slumber to hear the wake up call that war is looming with Russia and that we must prepare, as our ancestors…

The past 10 days have exposed the delusional defence policies of Sunak and his government, as well as the systematic incompetence of the MOD. Indeed since the UK joined the US in…

Our key predictions concerning the US elections were outlined in our predictions for the year:

1.0 - A move to the right in the US means that a Republican will be the next president. Our…

America today is not a nation but an empire, one that directly follows in the footsteps of the British Empire's global maritime hegemony – a simple fact that many Americans seem to be oblivious to…

Since the invasion of Ukraine, we have warned that history would identify that moment as the start of WW3. However, few at the time thought of it as such a key moment as the governments of the …

North Korea is a threat to the US and its allies in the peninsula region that we have been tracking closely for well over a decade. The key to divining the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea's…

On 7 October, the state of Gaza, run by the Hamas government, started a war with the state of Israel by its heinous act of barbaric aggression. The next day, we published  WW3; The New Age of War…

Global Forecaster uses unique models for human behaviours to better understand current geopolitical and market dynamics and then predict future events. There have been numerous successes over the…

War is a blight that has not receded into the history books - we are still living in its shadow today, having failed to engender a culture amongst our leaders and populations that encourages them…

We named 2023 The Year To Take Cover, and we expect 2024 to be a continuation and intensification of the unfolding entropic trends, we have called 2024 The Year To Stay Under Cover!

With funding from the US and EU blocked, the appeasers of autocracy and traitors to democracy (the extreme members of the GOP and Hungarian PM, for example) are claiming that Ukraine can never win…

Our main predictions for 2023 were outlined in a series of posts published in early January called The Year To Take Cover (as below). They have all been quietly building momentum, much like the…

As memory gradually fades, today we tend to only remember our victories in WW1 and WW2. But we should not forget how those wars started, or how unprepared we were to fight them.

In WW1,…

Since 27 October when the Houthis started firing missiles and drones at Israel, and ships connected with Israel, we have seen the use of a new type of anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) - a…

Unlike America and Israel, the European countries have neglected their missile defences since the Cold War – but they have started to take notice since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Germany,…

Israel's missile defence has been considered key to the country's survival for decades, living as they do on a speck of land surrounded by enemies. The threat mainly comes from Iran and her…

Before the invasion of Ukraine, the neglect of the UK's defences was, as we argued in Now Or Never, both negligent and irresponsible. See also: Sunak 2; Wartime Chancellor Or…

1.0 Introduction

History provides us with powerful and useful lessons when it is drawn from the Five Stages of Empire roadmap. In the 1930s, the RAF held…

The world we live in is being changed beyond recognition by the increasingly hegemonic challenge of China to Pax America. In this period of great entropic flux, the Chinese have an important…

The most dangerous moment for Israel was in the opening moments of the 7 October attack, when its leadership did not know if a multi-front war had opened up to include Hezbollah and Iran in an…

Our Theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems describes how the human survival strategy is based on creating social structures that maximise human anti-entropy to push back the…

The power and wealth of the seaborne hegemonies of Pax Britannia and Pax America were, and are, based on their ability to control the world's sea lanes. Hence the campaign being…

In my Theory of Warfare, I postulate that expansive nations behave much like predators in the animal kingdom, and playground bullies. Indeed, the nations of the Asian Autocratic Alliance are all…

Xi Jinping put China on an industrial war footing the moment Covid arrived on Western shores in March 2020. Which, as we have explained, was his equivalent of Hitler's four-year plan initiated in…

The discussion over immigration has become highly emotive and polarising one in Western politics.

1.0 Immigration the Political Hot Potato of the Day

To see just how divisive it…

Events in Ukraine are now coming to a desperate head, with the Russian forces relentlessly attacking the Avdiivka salient with 40% of their combat power and more human waves. Such that it seems…

Whilst the ground war has stalled, the Ukrainians have been hard at work in the Black Sea, demonstrating determination and innovation in their maritime campaign, a campaign that has…

The question of the day is: can anyone afford to rely on America as an ally? Because today America, as an empire, is hell-bent on committing hegemonic suicide. Despite being reliant on its web of…

The beating heart of a democracy is free debate and a free press. An agency that is under attack on all fronts from the Axis of Asian Autocracy, seeking to control and mute free speech in Britain…

As you know I have been raising the alarm that China is now well-positioned for a surprise attack that could be devastating to the current international system. I even based one of my books, Red…

As a Murrination reader, you will already be aware of our theory that the K wave is in fact a wave of entropy that surges through global human systems every 56 years, as outlined in …

This piece follows on from Red Peril 22: Warning – Xi’s War is Close At Hand, and the storm clouds of war are gathering. The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) retreat in San Francisco on 17…

Having worked so hard to enact Brexit, Farage and the Brexit Party performed a commendable act of patriotism when they stood aside in the 2019 general election, allowing a clear path for the…

As we outlined in Iran's War Against Israel 3; How Far Did Israel Fall Into The Hamas Trap?, the ceasefire is a major victory for Hamas, demonstrating how well they have shaped their battlefield.…

For Sunak and his linear cronies, the Argentinian election result should be another warning that time is up. One that superimposes itself on the reality that Brexit was the construct within which…

Populism encompasses a range of political views that emphasise the idea of "the people", often in contrast to "the elite", holding the reins of power. As such, today and in the past, they are…

Israel is under attack from Hamas to the west and Hezbollah to the north, but the real enemy is Iran. Indeed, Israel was attacked by its neighbour state, under a Hamas government, in a heinous act…

Global Forecaster's aspiration is to predict future events using our various human behavioural models. These essentially predict that the optimal outcome for Britain at…

The clear strategic intention behind the Hamas/Iranian attack was to create an external provocation similar to 9/11 so heinous that it would consume Netanyahu and the Israeli nation with hatred…

Global Forecaster has, for over a decade, described the Iranian aspiration to dominate the region as part of a regional civil war in the Middle East. One that has been rumbling on for years, as we…

For almost a decade, we have successfully modelled our analysis of the ebbs and flows of British politics on a regional civil war within the Five Stages of Empire cycle. With, of course, one key…

3.0 The Biggest Fault Line

Today the biggest fault line of global polarisation is taking place between the nations of democracy and those of autocracy, centred around America, the last of…

Today the modern world seems to be one of chaos, with division everywhere, particularly between democratic and autocratic nations in a heightened state of competition. But we are also witnessing…

 Zelenskyy has confirmed that critical ammunition deliveries are drying up, as 155mm shells are redirected to Israel (some 57,000 plus). This dire situation, coupled with the…

Previous hegemonic wars have spanned up to 30 years from their onset to the peak of the K wave, often unfolding in chapters of roughly 10 years. So we are going to conservatively assume that WW3 (…

3.1 Napoleonic Wars
Once the French navy had been chased down across the oceans, and out of the Mediterranean and Egypt, the war zone was contained to continental Europe, where huge land…

Both WW1 and WW2 commenced with surprise flanking attacks, by Germany and Japan respectively. Surprise was the tactic of choice because the aggressors were weaker than the nations that they sought…

We really do hope that this prediction thread does not come to fruition, but with the decay of the geopolitical picture, the time has come to plan for the worst and hope for the best. To that end…

Today is the 11th of the 11th. The day when Britain and its Western allies remember our war dead from WW1 onwards. However, the question has to be asked, have we really honoured our lost…

As we outlined in The Battle for Ukraine 62 ; The End of the 2023 Summer Counter Offensive, America and NATO have squandered the opportunity of The Make or Break Big Push to expel Russia from…

There are literally rivers of blood on the hands of some NATO leaders, and especially Joe Biden and his national security advisor Jake Sullivan. The brutal reality is that with the great skill and…

Having seen his initial invasion fail, Putin has adopted a strategy to capitalise on Western political weakness. One which, having gained an iron grip over the Russian state and populous, seeks to…